libera/##covid-19/ Sunday, 2020-03-08

twomoonsljl: why are you scapegoats?00:00
LjLtwomoons, because the virus is already growing exponentially in the *other* regions00:02
slash_how long do you guys estimate until 1M cases worldwide?00:02
LjLbut it started here, so hey, let's do it here00:02
twomoonsahh00:02
LjLjust like the original 50k people quarantine area is ultimately scapegoats00:02
LjLit makes no sense anymore to keep them locked there00:03
slash_can we even get to 1 million cases with so many countries doing such limited testing?00:03
tinwhiskersyes, there's plenty of testing capability for 1M00:04
slash_we can do 20k since this week00:04
slash_not per day, or per week00:04
slash_but TOTAL00:04
tinwhiskersno. waaay more than that00:05
ubLIXamerica (allegedly) plans to put out $M test kits next week00:05
tinwhiskersA single lab can do 60K tests a day00:05
ubLIX*4M00:05
tinwhiskerserr. 6K tests a day00:05
tinwhiskerssome can do 10K tests a day00:05
slash_tinwhiskers in the future yes, but as of last friday we have 20k test in total (like 3k used so far)00:06
tinwhiskersslash_: wordlwide?00:06
slash_no00:06
tinwhiskersoh00:06
slash_in my country, Netherlands00:06
tinwhiskersIf you're talking about US then yes, pitiful testing00:07
twomoonsljl do you think there is some coordination between reddit and twitter?00:07
tinwhiskersOh. ok00:07
LjLtwomoons, doubtful00:07
LjLtwomoons, but there may be some coordination between the italian government and twitter asking to suppress particular "trends"00:07
slash_tinwhiskers US does seems like very very little testing...00:07
twomoonsdo you think twitter has a way of determining if someone who got banned on reddit owns a certain twitter handle ?00:07
slash_for so many cases and such a big country it is really really weird00:07
twomoonsLjL, i see00:07
LjLanyway, the news is now saying that some regional governors (likely the government of Lombardy) have protested against the decree, and so it has not yet been signed00:07
tinwhiskersouch00:08
Albrightslash_: Yeah, I agree about more control. But I also just don't think another 1776 is practical in the modern day, especially given the current surveillance state and the steadily-increasing arms control laws. So maybe my method of change is impractical, but so is all-out violent revolution. Anyway, all I really can control is myself.00:08
LjLin theory it was to enter into force... 8 minutes ago00:08
slash_twomoons just make multiple reddit accounts, I have like 5 lol00:08
twomoonshaha00:08
slash_Albright what do you mean with another 1776?00:09
slash_Albright can't gain independence twice :P00:09
Albrightslash_: 1776 is when the US declaration of independence was signed00:09
tinwhiskersThe Chinese have shown that with sufficient controls on the movement of people it's possible to slow the spread down well below what the hospitals can cope with. I don't think we should even aim for that much control because that is only delaying the inevitable, but we need some controls or millions of people will die unnecessarily.00:10
Albrightslash_: Right, wellโ€ฆย civil war, then.00:10
slash_Albright you all seem pretty independent00:10
slash_Albright but, won't that mean splitting the US?00:11
Albrightslash_: Speaking of myself, I'm not as independent of government influence and control as I want to be.00:11
BruntLIVEHotel in China being used for coronavirus quarantine collapses with 70 inside, reports say. https://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/news/2020/03/07/coronavirus-china-hotel-used-quarantine-collapses-70-inside/4985415002/00:11
Albrightslash_: Yes, which is one reason I'm not advocating for it. Some people disagree with my ideals, but I don't want to go to war with them.00:11
AlbrightBruntLIVE: Holy crap.00:12
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +15 cases (now 106022), +3 recoveries (now 58444) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +17 cases (now 418) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +4 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +3 recoveries (now 55524)00:12
tinwhiskersThat's chinese steel for ya00:12
BruntLIVEEarth wants a reset00:12
Specglobal pandemics aren't new00:12
ryoumai'd prefer we get to the political mayhem after the virus is somewhat controlled pretty please?00:12
Specand this isn't even a pandemic yet :)00:12
AlbrightAlways interesting to see official CN news sources publish news via Twitterโ€ฆ00:13
Specryouma: that's when the real excitement begins, doesn't it?00:13
ryoumaor no mayhem at all beacuse humans start to act responsibly?00:13
ryoumawell it's lookoing like my survival (bedridden, not prepared) is low00:13
slash_Albright I understand, I don't think any sensible person wants a new civil war00:13
AlbrightDamn, those photos are terrible.00:14
tinwhiskersryouma: I feel similarly00:14
slash_Albright we're all still human beings, if I disagree with someone I can just call them an asshole, no need for bloodshed00:14
ryoumaidk why you think the following; you jgth be muich more of an expert than i am but if china had banned livbe anuimal markets that are most dangerous and countries outside china had the strict measures they use now back then we might be in btter shape.  15:53 <tinwhiskers> ryouma: that's just silly00:15
Albrightslash_: Agreed.00:15
ryoumanot to mention larger stockpiles of masks, better plans in advance, etc.00:15
tinwhiskerserrr... ok.00:15
BruntLIVEvaccine will be issued by income, high incomes first. (they drive economy) 00:15
tinwhiskersbetter plans, yes00:15
AlbrightYou know, I've actually eaten breakfast on a street in Shanghai while chickens were being beheaded in a stall next door. It's just the way they do it there.00:16
LjLmap of the likely locked-down parts of Italy: https://i.imgur.com/SpxMyVz.png00:16
slash_Albright Also, at this point I think I have to agree with the WHO, all of humanity has a common enemy right now and we have named it COVID-1900:16
twomoonsnice map ljl00:17
slash_Albright and I am not a fan of the WHO, but they are right about this00:17
AlbrightWell, a stopped clock, etc etc.00:17
slash_true00:17
tinwhiskersryouma: I don't think banning meat markets is feasible and I don't think it will prevent novel viruses from crossing over from wild animals.00:17
tinwhiskersmaybe we should just ban wild animals from existing00:18
BruntLIVEwarm beef00:18
slash_Albright even the assholes are right sometimes eh :P00:18
twomoonswe should just eat pork00:18
AlbrightI had bacon this morning. :P00:18
slash_ahh shit bacon00:19
AlbrightMapo tofu00:19
slash_what is the best way for long term storage?00:19
AlbrightXiaolongbao00:19
Albrightdamn00:20
AlbrightLong term storage of bacon? You could probably freeze itโ€ฆ00:20
tinwhiskersBats shit on my roof all the time. If a bat was infected there's a chance I could get infected. This happens over vast areas all the time. That the last couple of viruses emerged in meat markets does not mean stopping meat markets will prevent crossover.00:20
tinwhiskersBats are considered a delicacy here too00:21
slash_how often do you need to go onto the roof?00:21
tinwhiskersMy drinking water is rain water, that I collect from my roof00:21
tinwhiskersas it is in many many places00:22
tinwhiskersthere isn't a single river in this entire country00:22
twomoonsdo you have a tin roof tinwhiskers ?00:22
slash_which country?00:22
tinwhiskersI do :-)00:22
tinwhiskersTonga00:22
twomoonswow, nice setup. i hope you collect rain off your plastic roof though00:22
tinwhiskersno, it's a tin roof00:23
slash_1 case in Tonga now right?00:23
tinwhiskersSo I have a "first flush" device that diverts the initial rain that contains most of the shit away from the tank, but it's broken now so I'm doing it manually. Most people don't have a first flush device00:23
tinwhiskersslash_: unconfirmed (no labs here)00:23
tinwhiskersWhen you live in the wild there is always risk of getting diseases from wild animals. Banning meat markets is not a solution.00:24
slash_tinwhsikers to be clear; Tonga in the pacific ocean right?00:25
tinwhiskersyeah, just near Fiji00:25
twomoonsfirst flush is a good idea, i kinda thought of that before but didn't have any good idea for implementing it00:25
slash_tinwhiskers alright00:26
slash_tinwhiskers shit ban all visitors for like 6 months tbh lol00:26
twomoonsbanning overly centralized meat markets that get too much foot traffic could be a good thing though tinwhiskers 00:27
tinwhiskersyou only need one person to be infected for it to spread outside the meat market. the size doesn't make much difference.00:27
tinwhiskersif you broke it down into 50 smaller markets instead that doesn't change the chance of a crossover occurring as far as I can see00:28
twomoonsthe size is what allows those viruses to mutate fast enough before dying off to become a thing00:28
twomoonsthe density and size00:28
tinwhiskersthey are not mutating *in the market*00:29
twomoonsi think they are00:29
slash_tinwhiskers what is your government doing now to prevent spread?00:29
twomoonsand they mutate faster when there's a high density and the right conditions. meat markets are probably perfect since the temp must be kept lower00:29
twomoonsbut i don't know anything00:29
tinwhiskersnothing, although they've declared one island will be used for quarantine. It's just an island with trees on. No buildings, no water, so I guess they are planning to just leave people there00:30
slash_lol00:30
slash_well at least that is a better quarantine that most western EU nations tbh00:31
tinwhiskerspeople are not keeping bats in the market. The catch them in the wild, bring them to the market and sell them. The mutations occur in the wild and it's just the bringing of those bats into contact with people that allows the crossover to occur.00:31
slash_Robinson Crusoe 2: Quarantine00:31
tinwhiskersthe size of the meat market may change how many people get infected initially but that makes little difference once a crossover occurs.00:32
slash_tinwhiskers but those bats are native right?00:32
tinwhiskersyeah00:32
slash_the distance between you and larger islands is pretty big so it's unlikely that these bats have the virus00:33
twomoonsbut tinwhiskers the density of that marketplace or the city itself is what allows the virus to find a host in which it doesn't just 'fizzle out'00:33
slash_but maybe a NEW CORONAVIRUS!00:33
tinwhiskersoh, there's no bats here with the virus. I'm talking about bats in China00:33
tinwhiskersI mean, I guess they could pick it up but that's not a concern.00:33
slash_tinwhiskers you import bats from china?00:33
tinwhiskersno00:33
tinwhiskerswtf00:33
tinwhiskersI'm talking about the chances of diseases emerging from wildlife (bats) in Chinese meat markets00:34
slash_well bats are disease carriers for humans, but if they have no relation to other areas then I would not worry00:34
dunnphow is there a case in Tonga? is there a lot of tourism?00:34
tinwhiskerserr. yeah00:34
slash_but your concern about Chinese meat markets is valid idd00:35
tinwhiskersdunnp: it's the quiet time of year but there's always a trickle.00:35
tinwhiskersslash_: I don't have a concern about the chinese meat markets. That's my point.00:35
dunnp'Tonga was named the sixth most corrupt country in the world by Forbes magazine in 2008.'00:36
dunnpwoah00:36
tinwhiskerslol. yeah, and I'm from NZ the *least* corrupt on that list so it takes some gettin gused to00:36
twomoonsi wonder what corruption feels like down there00:37
tinwhiskersI just don't have the skills to slip someone some money00:37
slash_tinwhiskers really? they are quite unhygienic and have already facilitated birdflu, SARS and possible COVID-19 jumping to humans00:37
twomoonsit might just be you gotta show up to the village chief's party and give a gift or you don't get treated so nicely later00:37
swift110hey all00:38
tinwhiskersslash_: ffs. the entirety of what I was saying was countering exactly what you're repeating00:38
swift110The way the media is handling this whole Covid-19 thing is really annoying to me00:38
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +17 cases (now 106039) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +16 cases (now 434) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +3 recoveries (now 55524) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chongqing, Mainland China: +5 recoveries (now 526)00:39
slash_tinwhiskers I am sorry, but you where talking about bats being caught in China? that might have possible spread disease00:39
swift110When you see a population of folks that are sick then you need to quarantine the area immediatly00:39
tinwhiskersslash_: sorry, I give up00:39
swift110'if you quarantine the area then the pathogen can be restricted in it's spread and can be dealt with a lot easier than when you allow people to spread this mess all over the world and put others lives at risk as a result00:40
dunnptinwhiskers: doyou have a farm or anything?00:40
tinwhiskersI have a farm back home in NZ. Here I have 8 acres of mostly forest.00:41
swift110how many cases are in Russia despite it being right next to China?00:41
dunnpon the main island?00:41
tinwhiskersno, out on a little 25 acre island00:41
swift110tinwhiskers, wow 8 acres of forest sounds amazing00:41
tinwhiskersI have 3 beaches!00:41
dunnpyou have neighbors there?00:41
swift110tinwhiskers, inherited from the family?00:42
dunnpyou own 1/3 of the island00:42
dunnpcrazy00:42
swift110would be nice to own the entire thing00:42
tinwhiskersYes, down the other end of the island there's 3-6 other people depending when you look. It's about 15 minutes by bush track to see them, or by boat. Mostly we see them when we go over to the mainland though.00:42
tinwhiskersdunnp: lease, not own. No foreign ownership here in Tonga, which I wholeheartedly support.00:43
dunnpah we so you aren't all alone then00:43
tinwhiskerswe see their dog quite often00:44
slash_tinwhiskers why are you annoyed with me? they trade wild bats in Chinese meat markets00:45
tinwhiskersI'm not annoyed with you. I just don't care to say the same things over again.00:45
swift110tinwhiskers, are you in Tonga?00:45
dunnptinwhiskers: do you do any diving?00:45
tinwhiskersI do a bit of snorkelling but not scuba00:46
tinwhiskersthere is about 2-3 km of coral reefs heading east from me, and deep water on the other side.00:46
slash_tinwhiskers alright, fair enough mate00:48
Spectinwhiskers: so uhh00:49
Spectinwhiskers: whatcha doin on that island :P00:49
tinwhiskersnot a lot :-)00:50
tinwhiskersfishing, walking, irc...00:50
tinwhiskersI'm unemployed/retired00:51
swift110oh well00:51
slash_you live on the main island I assume?00:51
tinwhiskersslash_: I'm not annoyed with you. I just don't care to say the same things over again.00:51
tinwhiskers:-/00:51
tinwhiskersno00:51
slash_tinwhiskers you've already said that to me :p00:52
tinwhiskersyes00:52
tinwhiskers[12:41:37 pm] <tinwhiskers> no, out on a little 25 acre island00:52
Spectinwhiskers: oh, retired, nice00:53
Spectinwhiskers: brt, gonna build a boat and head on over00:53
tinwhiskersheh00:53
Specyou've got gigabit networking, yeah?00:53
tinwhiskerslol00:54
Spec:D00:54
tinwhiskersThere's a cell tower on another island about 3km away. I get about 500KB/s on a good day.00:54
slash_well at least it's a quiet place to lice00:55
slash_live00:55
slash_here you're gonna have to pay 500.000+ euro to live near a forest00:56
twomoonsand what would a cheap town in holland cost you?00:57
slash_you can go cheap sure00:57
tinwhiskersyeah, it costs a lot to get a beach back home so that's pretty much why I ended up here. It's cheap because it's so corrupt many land deals fall through so people are afraid to come here.00:57
slash_you can get 150k small house in a little town in nowhere00:57
tinwhiskersbut it's very safe here and the people are mostly honest. They may "borrow" something but you'll usually find it somewhere if they don't return it.00:58
slash_maybe need to travel 2 hours each way for a job though00:58
twomoonswhat about a suburb of amsterdam...like 20km away from amsterdam or majorcity00:58
tinwhiskersI pay about US$700 per year, so it's pretty cheap by most standards.00:58
twomoonscould i live on $15k a year there?00:59
slash_tinwhiskers $700 a MONTH would be cheap for most western countries haha :P00:59
twomoonslet's say i rent a house00:59
tinwhiskerstwomoons: that would be pushing it if you rented a house here. You'd expect to pay about $400-$500 per month to rent a house on the mainland.01:00
slash_twomoons 20km away expect an apartment around 200k minimum01:00
slash_twomoon but Amsterdam is literally the most expensive region, not sure why to start there01:01
twomoonsoh ok01:01
tinwhiskersI leased this land without a house on and built one so in reality the cost is a lot more than $700 if you pro-rata the cost of the house into the annual cost.01:02
swift110oh wow01:03
tinwhiskersI made a raft and towed all the building supplies over with my little dinghy.01:04
swift110oh wow thats cool tinwhiskers 01:04
swift110slash_, I pay $700/mo for rent01:05
slash_twomoon I mean there are cheaper places, but paying โ‚ฌ150k for 40m2/430ft2 does not seem like a good deal to me01:05
slash_swift110 well here $700 a month is quite cheap, unless you're renting a closet01:06
slash_I mean, for the netherlands01:06
twomoonsi'm just trying to figure out if there's a cheaper place to live all in all than mississippi01:06
python476hi back01:06
tinwhiskersOh, when I said $400 per month that was in local currency. You'd rent a house on the mainland for about US$200 per month01:06
LjLRAI TV reports hundreds of people have been rushing to Milan Garibaldi station to leave Milan in a hurry before the quarantine takes effect01:06
tinwhiskersLjL: dang. that's not ideal01:07
twomoonsok i'm gonna move to tonga but i might get rejected by their gov01:07
twomoonsthey might deny me a year long visa or something like that01:07
tinwhiskersprobably not unless you have a criminal record.01:07
fructosehttps://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/03/07/coronavirus-in-russia-the-latest-news-march-6-a6911701:07
tinwhiskersthey would deny you that since there is no such thing :-)01:08
twomoonsok well i need to let the virus stuff pass tho01:08
fructoseRussia seems to be performing better than the US01:08
AlbrightLjL: ROFL. That's the opposite of the desired effect.01:08
tinwhiskersyeah01:08
twomoonsdon't wanna get treated as a virus vector01:08
slash_twomoons for Europe, maybe countries like Hungary might be cheaper?01:08
swift110I have an apartment for that much01:08
twomoonshungary, romania01:08
twomoonsyou have to realize that in the nederlands there aren't mobsters tho01:08
twomoonsthat's worth something01:08
slash_twomoons but in general the US has a lot more places with cheap housing prices than Europe[01:08
tinwhiskersI hear Arizona is cheap01:09
twomoonsyeah it does but the weather is also worse01:09
slash_twomoons no we have mobsters too01:09
tinwhiskersSomeone here is just about to move there01:09
slash_twomoons theres a big mobster trial right now01:09
tinwhiskersVietnam and cambodia the *the* places to retire cheap imo. 01:10
twomoonsoh ok01:10
tinwhiskersThere's a few other decent options. Tonga is not one of them.01:10
twomoonslol yea never heard of anyone takling about Tonga01:11
tinwhiskersheh01:11
slash_twomoons also landlords are terrible here01:11
twomoonsslash_, but mobsters don't fleece your restaurant for money in the netherlands01:11
twomoonsoh really? landlords here are one reason i've gotten annoyed01:12
LjLAlbright, yes, but it's also to be expected, as it happened in Wuhan before01:12
LjLmaybe governments never learn, and keep using the "China has gifted us with time" excuse just to... air their own mouths01:12
tinwhiskersLjL: do you think they shoul dhave kept it under wraps until they announced it?01:12
slash_twomoons I guess, one of them left a decapitated head in front of a restaurent here though01:12
LjLalso, these emergency measures are coincidentally being taken after one member of government tested positive01:12
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 00:08 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: US cases top 400 as growing number of states declare emergencies โ†’ https://is.gd/K5bpyH01:13
LjLand now the government is rumored to only meet over Skype01:13
twomoonsgeez slash_ 01:13
slash_twomoons I think landlords are terrible worldwide tbh01:13
tinwhiskershey, I'm a landlord :-(01:13
LjLtinwhiskers, i'm not sure they should have done it at all, but, under the assumption it's a good idea, YES, definitely, it should be a complete surprise, or else you actually get a large spreading event01:13
slash_tinwhiskers there are exceptions ;)01:13
tinwhiskersmmm01:13
tinwhiskersslash_: :-)01:14
slash_tinwhiskers but damn, there's so many landlord jerks here :P01:14
LjLtinwhiskers, and again, if this hadn't been clear enough by logical reasoning alone... Wuhan showed us what happened. at least 100k people fled the city because they knew in advance01:14
tinwhiskersright01:14
LjL(some say 5 million, but that figure is really about something else)01:14
slash_tinwhiskers we call them "house milkers" over here01:16
tinwhiskersI think the important thing is cutting down on mass gatherings and getting people to stay home as much as possible, with far less frequent trips to supermarkets and whatnot. That some people leave ahead of it not that much of a problem considering it's not a containment strategy.01:16
twomoonswhat's the figure about ljl01:16
LjLtwomoons, it sadly happened just around Chinese New Year. so the 5 million were mostly people who went to or away from Wuhan to celebrate that01:17
LjLwhich probably contributed a lot to the spreading, but it wasn't "fleeing from quarantine"01:17
tinwhiskersBut really the other provinces should be getting the same restrictions too if not now, very soon.01:17
twomoonsoh that makes sense ljl. the 5M people theory always seemed a bit odd01:18
LjLtinwhiskers, i had told my parents we should go to our Alps place... two weeks ago? but they were always like no way. i wonder if they'll still be like no way, after we cannot go there anymore.01:18
tinwhiskersheh01:18
twomoonslol01:19
BruntLIVECorona just brewing to explode: https://tinyurl.com/rjwtorw01:19
twomoonsmobilizing 70+ year olds is hard ljl01:19
twomoonstake it from me01:19
LjL:\01:20
twomoonsmy parents are in good health but it's just hard. everything that comes out of my mouth is taken as a conspiracy theory01:20
slash_the elderly will suffer... hard :(01:20
LjLtwomoons, well, we go just fine when it's about holidays01:20
tinwhiskersBruntLIVE: Agreed. Here's mu picture ->   .    (earth from a distance with 7 billion people)01:20
BruntLIVElol01:20
LjLslash_, and if my dad... well, something happens, i'll always hate myself for not buying that oxygen concentrator.01:20
LjLspeaking of which, i have like... one package from eBay and two from Amazon due to come Monday/Tuesday. probably not a primary concern but i have a feeling they may not arrive in a timely fashion.01:21
slash_it makes me think a bit like it a conspiracy to clear up the housingmarket..01:21
slash_LjL fuck man :(01:21
LjLalso my ear/throat still hurts01:22
slash_LjL we do have to careful right now... protect the old people01:22
tinwhiskersWhy are there so many of us sick bastards here?01:22
LjLslash_, well, aside from having them stay the hell home, now i don't know what else i can do. i guess i can only go outside myself while wearing a mask... but we have one. 1.01:23
tinwhiskersLjL: did you see about salt coating your mask?01:23
slash_tinwhiskers are we sick bastards? I just want to be prepared tbh01:23
LjLthe merits and demerits of going to the Alps were IMO worthy of debate, but, not really anymore, not with this quarantine law, what if we find ourselves stranded along the way with a checkpoint suddenly appearing?01:24
LjLtinwhiskers, i saw something being linked about salt, but it seemed very scientific, more than i could udnerstand01:24
slash_LjL I don't think there is much else to do, just DO NOT visit old people when you have symptoms01:24
python476LjL: how are things going since before01:24
LjLtinwhiskers, we have one FPP2 mask with a valve (or a respirator, i'm not sure, it's still wrapped, was โ‚ฌ13 for a single one) and two remaining FPP1 masks (which are theoretically not enough, but i guess... i can dip them into salt? if that's the idea)01:25
tinwhiskersslash_: there's several of us in here nursing sicknesses that put us at higher risk of serious symptoms if/when we get covid-19, despite usually being healthy. Very bad timing.01:25
LjLslash_, unfortunately i live with my parents aka the old people01:25
LjLpython476, what do you mean since before01:25
python476since when we talked (kids in the park)01:26
tinwhiskersLjL: the gist is that dried salt crystals on the mask turn liquid when a droplet hits them then as they dry out again that destroys the virus with the crystals. It also makes the pore size on the mask effectively slightly smaller.01:26
slash_tinwhiskers yes those people are at high risk... and even if they are our loved ones we should minimize our phyisical contact with them in case we have the disease...01:26
slash_Better to nod know than a funeral next month...01:27
LjLpython476, oh, then you missed a lot. most of northern italy is apparently being put under lockdown.01:27
tinwhiskersLjL: however you need to be in a location where humidity will allow for the salt drying out again, and if you take it out in the rain or get it wet I assume it's screwed.01:27
python476yeah I just saw the title in the news 01:27
python476so it's gonna happen..01:27
LjLpython476, effective... in theory 1:30 hours ago, but since they didn't actually sign the law due to disagreements, then i don't know01:27
slash_LjL that is hard... but take the precautions01:27
python476ok.01:27
python476pretty weird confusion01:27
slash_LjL wash your hands and YOUR PHONE!01:28
LjLpython476, also people have been crowding the main Milan train station to scram in a rush, according to TV, and even scarier, health workers have expressed concern that they are "beyond the limits", and scariest of all, some anesthesiologists said they are "considering limiting treatment to age groups" (!?!?!?"01:28
slash_it is useless to wash your hands if you do not also clean your phone01:28
LjLthat last thing i haven't mentioned it01:28
LjLyet*01:28
LjLi can't type anymore01:28
tinwhiskerswtf01:28
python476LjL: which groups first though ?01:29
LjLtinwhiskers, if they know people >80 will die anyway, maybe best to just give them a large dose of morphine, eh? i mean i hadn't quite realized we were THERE yet, and i hope it was just some crazy panicking anesthesiologist saying this, but... i dunno01:29
slash_LjL what does that mean?01:29
LjLslash_, python476: you please do let me know if you find out01:29
tinwhiskersIf everyone is forced to stay home wuhan-style the hospitals will probably be able to cope and treat everyone. But people will scream bloody murder about freedom, politicians will balk and lots of people will die.01:30
pwr22So Italy is doing forced quarantine of areas?01:30
slash_LjL do they mean they are only going to treat higher risk age groups? Or the other way around?01:30
pwr22How are they going to enforce it?01:30
LjL%cases france01:31
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +8 cases (now 106047), +1 deaths (now 3559), +15 recoveries (now 58459) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +17 recoveries (now 55538) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 75) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chongqing, Mainland China: +5 recoveries (now 526) ๐Ÿ”ธ Heilongjiang, Mainland China: +6 recoveries (now 409) ๐Ÿ”ธ Inner Mongolia, Mainland China: +1 01:31
python476LjL: I will01:31
LjL%cases france01:31
LjLi said01:31
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, France, there are 949 cases, 11 deaths (1.2% of cases), 12 recoveries as of Sat Mar  7 21:33:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=France for time series data.01:31
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, France, there are 949 cases, 11 deaths (1.2% of cases), 12 recoveries as of Sat Mar  7 21:33:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=France for time series data.01:31
LjLBrainstorm, oh alright01:31
LjLpwr22, i have no idea, i can barely imagine them having enough police force to cordon the huge quarantine area*s* (since it's not even contiguous), but then, the part about limiting movement *within* the areas, i have no idea, really. but the draft decree does say that army mobilization is allowed if required01:32
slash_LjL do you have a link to the source?01:32
LjLpwr22, i linked this before, but just to reiterate... this is the areas that are going to be quarantined, it doesn't show the whole of italy but i assume you know the shape and can figure out how sizable a portion this is  https://i.imgur.com/SpxMyVz.png01:32
pwr22I guess we'll see how this goes then01:33
LjLslash_, the decree? sure, but it's in italian. tinwhiskers has posted a version for easier google translation01:33
LjLslash_, https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&sl=it&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Foffloop.net%2Fcovid19h%2Fbozza.htm01:33
LjLscroll down to the bold part01:34
LjLthe initial part is just blah blah01:34
slash_LjL ahh yes, I thought they had enforced additional measures due to your comment!01:35
slash_LjL at least your government is taking this really seriously now01:37
slash_fuck I wonder when they are going to wake up over here :(01:37
slash_probably only when they lose control01:38
ryoumabecause it matters much more --- 17:22 <tinwhiskers> Why are there so many of us sick bastards here?01:38
slash_Tonga has a way better chance of containing this than most of the rest of the world01:41
slash_don't let any of us foreign bastards in tinwhiskers01:41
slash_we're all diseased virus carriers!01:43
tinwhiskersWell, you give the authorities far more credit than is deserved. If you think Italy or US is poorly organised, you just have no idea how thoroughly disorganised people can be. It is astonishing just how hopeless everything is here. None of the other pacific islands have anything on Tonga. It's unique in its ineptitude.01:43
slash_well that isn't good news01:44
slash_we're all fucking incompetent here in Europe01:44
fructosetinwhiskers: Agreed. And even experts can be vulnerable to cognitive distortions.01:44
tinwhiskersyou have no idea what incompetence even looks like until you come here. It's not possible to put into words the worlds apart places can be.01:44
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +20 cases (now 106067), +22 recoveries (now 58481) ๐Ÿ”ถ U.A.E.: +16 cases (now 45), +2 recoveries (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +1 cases (now 80653), +20 recoveries (now 55558) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 75) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Guangxi, Mainland China: +5 recoveries (now 223) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +3 cases (now 437) ๐Ÿ”ธ Middlese01:45
slash_tinwhiskers: tl;dr we are boned01:45
tinwhiskersit's like the only people left here who haven't gone overseas don't actually have functioning brains. And I mean they make trump actually look like a genius, which is not something I say lightly. 01:46
ubLIXO.o01:47
slash_tinwhiskers I hate to admit it, at least Trump admits the virus is somwewhat of a problem, this cannot be said for the majority of the people of the Netherlands01:47
slash_tinwhiskers best we got is here is shitty memes01:48
tinwhiskersthe idea that events follow in order or that cause precedes effect or simple things like that don't even register. Education has entirely let them down to the point they are entirely incapable of performing basic functions but yet they run government departments,01:48
slash_tinwhiskers we have "world class universitities" and then 10 million idiots01:49
ubLIXtinwhiskers: you knew this before you moved there?01:49
tinwhiskersthe post office just has a pile of packages spread between the floor and a big shelf. they cannto comprehend to organise it in any form.01:49
slash_tinwhiskers you cannot beat stupidity01:50
tinwhiskersubLIX: yeah, it's still amusing to live with, but impossible to describe. 01:50
ubLIXtinwhiskers: i mean, weren't you worried about what life would be like with no one to talk to?01:50
slash_tinwhiskers shit man move back to NZ, live in the wilderness untill all of this blows over01:50
tinwhiskerspeople who come from the western world just cannot comprehend how people here think. There is no order here.01:50
ubLIX(if it's as bad as you make it out to be)01:50
slash_tinwhiskers also, do you need a roommat?01:51
tinwhiskerswell, yes, if I get it and serious symptoms I'm screwed.01:51
tinwhiskersso I just plan to hide01:51
slash_it isn't the end of civilization though01:51
tinwhiskersat the hospital the just wash needles with ethanol and reuse them01:52
slash_but lot's of things supply chains are disrupte01:52
slash_electronics like smartphones, TV's, laptops etc are going to become much more expensive01:53
slash_but, more importantly, lots of medicine will increase in price due to resource shortages01:54
ubLIXi guess the decision-path that terminates on a barely populated island in the Pacific must be motivated by a deeply solitary turn of mind01:55
tinwhiskers:-)01:55
slash_it is estimated that for the USA almost 95% of all medicine is manufactered in or needs products from China to be produced.01:56
tinwhiskersI enjoy meeting people for coffee when I go into town. There's a few expats around.01:56
tinwhiskers s/enjoy/crave/01:57
Brainstormtinwhiskers meant to say: I crave meeting people for coffee when I go into town. There's a few expats around.01:57
slash_what we call globalization should be called sinoization or something01:57
slash_the west is so dsman reliant on China it is ridiculous01:57
slash_ s/dsamn/damn01:58
tinwhiskersyeah, but if you had to rely on any single place they are probably a good one given their ability to control the disease spread.01:58
tinwhiskersI doubt many other countries will be so successful01:59
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +45 cases (now 106112), +1509 recoveries (now 59990) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +43 cases (now 80696), +1509 recoveries (now 57067) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 75) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Shandong, Mainland China: +10 recoveries (now 637) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +2 cases (now 439) ๐Ÿ”ธ Los Angeles, CA, US: +1 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ San Francisc01:59
slash_tinwhisker true, the issue is not relying on China, it is relying on one place01:59
tinwhiskersyeah02:00
slash_here in the Netherlands, we do not have any production for face maskss02:00
tinwhiskerswe don't even have the sale of facemasks02:00
slash_and now Germany has forbidden all face mask exports, and now my government is pleading in EU parliament to forbid this...02:00
tinwhiskersyipes02:00
slash_there should've been an EU wide stockpile of these essential goods tbh02:01
slash_but now it is every nation for itself02:02
tinwhiskerswell, I don't really see much difference to countries outside the EU being on their own02:02
slash_the EU companies that produce masks are in China02:02
slash_and China forces these companies to provide 90% of production to China first02:03
tinwhiskerswell, fair enough too02:03
slash_tinwhiskers agreed02:03
slash_EU should have necessary production within the EU02:04
tinwhiskersthe thing is although right now it looks like countries maintaining their own production of these things is a good idea it's not going to be profitable so no company is going to wan to do it.02:04
tinwhiskersmaintaining large country-wide stockpiles may be a good idea... maybe02:05
slash_well in China that does not matter though02:05
tinwhiskerswell, no02:05
slash_profitable or not, they must produce and must supply the Chinese government02:05
tinwhiskerserr. yeah, I'm talking about countries outside of China02:06
slash_timwhiskers ahh yeah02:06
slash_timwhiskers stockpiles not neccissarily02:06
slash_timwhiskers but at least a means of producing these supplies02:07
tinwhiskersI doubt that is practical or useful alone02:07
slash_timwhisker in general, that is true02:07
adventurerAustralian Government is going  to create a stockpile of antibiotics apparently.02:07
adventurerhttps://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-government-set-to-stockpile-antibiotics-amid-global-shortage-fears-20200307-p547ua.html02:08
slash_timwhisker but there should be some plan where the EU or US can produce these masks or other medical products if needed02:08
adventurerand they are releasing some of their stockpile of masks to people in the  medical field02:08
tinwhiskersAnything is possible if you throw money at it but it won't be many years before funding for such things is withdrawn in favour of some "better idea" that has already failed.02:08
LjLgreat, i can no longer install any pypi modules for my bot because as soon as i try, praw (the module i need for Reddit posting) complains it now only works on python 302:09
slash_tinwhiskers better ideas usually meaning outsourcing to cheaper countries02:09
LjLand i've repeatedly tried to convert the whole bot to python 3 but it beat me02:09
tinwhiskersMaintaining a factory to build medical supplies but not using it because it's not cost effective is not going to work.02:10
slash_tinwhiskers globalism is absolutely terrible for these sort of scenarios02:10
LjLi wanted to install a module for country population data to augment the contagion data02:10
tinwhiskersyeah02:10
tinwhiskersLjL: you want me to slap some populations in the next column of that csv file?02:10
LjLtinwhiskers, eh, it won't solve the general problem, but if it's easy for you to do that, sure02:11
tinwhiskerstrue02:11
slash_tinwhiskers well I guess a bunhc of western billionaires are really happy, but now many nations are completely reliant on the good graces of the Chinese Communist Party in a crisis like this02:11
tinwhiskersyeah :-)02:12
slash_dear Communist Overlords, please have mercy on our capitalist souls!02:12
LjLtinwhiskers, i already had it in mind to do this, but now i'm watching TV and they interviewed a couple epidemiologists... they said some rather chilling stuff, but aside from that, about the mortality rate in Italy, they were like, 1) they are not comparable because, say, Korea is using completely different testing criteria, and since this is deaths/cases, "cases" matters a lot, and 2) it's fatality, not mortality, because mortality is over the whole 02:13
LjLpopulation. so... let's remove the unknown, and see how it's affecting the whole population, i thought02:13
tinwhiskersI see02:13
tinwhiskersSounds good02:13
slash_tinwhiskers ugh we need LIBERTY PRIME02:14
slash_a giant robot from Fallout 4 spouting antin communist slogans02:15
slash_idk what else to do at this point02:15
slash_"COMMUNISM IS THE VERY DEFINITION OF FAILURE"02:16
slash_"DEMOCRACY IS NON-NEGOTIABLE"02:16
slash_"COMMUNISTS DETECTED ON AMERICAN SOIL. LETHAL FORCE ENGAGED."02:17
LjLbreaking, President Conte speaking now02:17
LjLjoatds[m]02:17
tinwhiskersI wonder if the population stats for China have been corrected for covid-19?    too soon?02:17
slash_tinwhiskers COMMUNISM MAKES NO MISTAKES, IT IS A MISTAKE02:18
LjLhe says it's unacceptable that the decree was leaked, basically02:18
tinwhiskersoops02:18
LjLgood thing they've censored my attempts to show it then!02:18
tinwhiskerswho did that?!02:18
tinwhiskerslol02:18
slash_but seriously, I think China is underrepporting02:18
LjLtinwhiskers, papers02:18
tinwhiskers"The LjL Post"02:19
LjLtinwhiskers, ah no i mean, Reddit and Twitter kinda suppressed my attempts02:19
tinwhiskersyeah02:19
LjLbut now he says the final version of the decree is created02:19
LjLhe explains what's going to happen: Lombardy and other provinces, many other provinces (sounding like whole nothern italy to me)02:19
slash_LjL are you committing a coup in Italy?02:20
LjLwill enact rigorous restrictive measures to those areas02:20
LjLthe rest of the country will have lighter restrictions02:20
slash_so that's a yes?02:20
LjLfor Lombardy etc, we won't be able to enter or leave02:20
LjLalso unable to move within the theory02:20
slash_all hail the new Roman Emperor LjL!02:20
LjLwe can only move only for important work reasons, or dire necessity or emergency02:20
LjLbut everyone can go back to their residences if they are currently not there02:21
tinwhiskersLjL: except somehow you'll be able to go to restaurants and bars02:21
LjLpeople with more than 37.5ยฐC fever are "strongly recommended" to stay at home and call the doctor. people who are found positive are required by law to stay at home.02:21
LjLtinwhiskers, yes, it's still rather unclear just how far we can go. maybe they'll give us a standard-issue leash02:22
tinwhiskersmmm02:22
LjLokay now i won't report the rest of what he's saying, he's just summarizing the decree as i already showed it02:22
slash_let's see if the dutch media is still awake02:22
tinwhiskerswow. that must feel a bit crazy02:23
slash_the Dutch media is not awake, the last message is about FB banning face mask advertisments..02:24
slash_So uhm02:25
slash_LjL I swear fealty to your New Roman Empire02:25
slash_HAIL LjL02:26
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +16 recoveries (now 60006) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +16 recoveries (now 57083) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 75) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Anhui, Mainland China: +2 recoveries (now 981) ๐Ÿ”ธ Guizhou, Mainland China: +2 recoveries (now 117) ๐Ÿ”ธ Sichuan, Mainland China: +3 recoveries (now 457)02:26
slash_when do I get my new passport?02:27
LjLslash_, Conte is still speaking, journalists may be busy taking notes02:27
slash_LjL alright02:28
slash_LjL let us know when it is finished, it must be important if it is this late02:29
LjLimportantly: Conte is now saying they are enabling a system of "regional solidarity", so if one region's hospitals are full, other regions will have to take some of the patients (may be taken for granted if you don't know how Italy's healthcare system works, but it's heavily regionalized these days)02:29
slash_Ljl yeah that makes sense02:30
LjLslash_, i think he decided to intervene after learning of the "assault" to the Garibaldi station with people demanding to take the last train to leave Milan, but it's just a hunch02:30
LjLa very obvious hunch though if i may say so02:30
slash_LjL are any new restrictions in place now?02:31
LjLslash_, new compared to the draft?02:32
slash_LjL I mean compared to those implemented earlier today02:32
slash_LjL it is quite late now, also in Italy02:33
LjLreporter is asking Conte about the region governors' critiques, and about the leak02:33
LjLslash_, i always go to bed late02:34
LjL"who will ensure people won't dodge the restrictions" "i'll answer right away: police force, who will be authorized to stop citizens and ask them why they are moving"02:34
slash_LjL same for me, but is it not 2:35 in Italy right now?02:34
LjL"will citizens in the Lombardy red zone area be able to move between a township (commune) and another?"02:35
LjLslash_, yes02:35
LjLhe didn't really answer, but basically, "no"02:36
LjL"what about trains, planes, all transport between parts of italy?"02:36
tinwhiskersLjL: ah, so what should happen for populations of regions/states?02:36
LjL"they won't stop, but we must all be more responsible, understand this is not the time to take advantage to have a party. stay home, read books, follow classes remotely."02:36
slash_LjL I think that alone is already pretty insane, you do not hold a press conference in the middle of the night if it is not important I think...02:36
python476'night02:37
LjL"how will your relationship with region governors change?" "unfortunately we had this unacceptable, unfortunately early leak that created much uncertainty and alarm, and we cannot afford that. whoever allowed this text to be leaked, in a draft version at that, and you will see the final version has some variations, whoever did this did not do any good to our citizens"02:37
slash_But, it does seem that Italy wants to get the news out ASAP02:38
LjLso i'm assuming he assumes one of the regional governors did the leak02:38
slash_even when it is 2 AM in the morning02:38
tinwhiskersdang02:38
LjLslash_, he had to speak up because people were all panicking due to the leak02:39
tinwhiskersWell, that's a good lesson for the rest of world as they follow suit02:39
slash_LjL I understand02:39
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test) at 00:46 UTC: Itโ€™s not just old people!: Sorry a bit of a rant. Please stop saying it only kills elderly. Iโ€™m only 39. Iโ€™m not THAT old yet! I am a cancer survivor with compromised immune system. I work in busy retail. If you feel unwell please donโ€™t come to my work. I canโ€™t afford sick time. If I catch it then chances [... want %more?] โ†’ https://is.gd/GY8aAf02:40
tinwhiskersThere's certain things we need a modern democracy to learn from that we couldn't possibly get from China's experience.02:40
slash_LjL still, doing this at 2:30 in the morning, they have my respect02:40
ubLIXi'm struggling to imagine who would leak that and why?02:41
LjLubLIX, the subtext from Conte said it was probably one regional governor, my guess would be Fontana, the right-wing governor of Lombardy, who had already had spats with Conte during this small issue we're having02:42
ubLIXso much for the who; but the why. because 'spats'?02:43
slash_uggh, 2:44 time to order Chinese food I guess02:44
tinwhiskersMan, there's going to be a lot of eyes on what happens in Italy over the coming days.02:44
slash_No Chinese food, the Turks have a discount!02:45
LjLubLIX, i'm guessing Fontana didn't agree with the quarantine at all, and he leaked it to the press in order to cause public outrage and the government to backtrack... but it didn't happen02:47
LjLubLIX, these things happen a lot in Italy02:47
ubLIXLjL: earlier you were expressing extreme displeasure at the idea of stricter lock-down; but if the alternative is weekly doubling, ... quicker, even..  i mean, what kind of alternative is that02:48
LjLubLIX, yeah, okay. but by now it's everywhere in italy. not entirely sure why just the north gets locked down. my once-mostly-light-hearted sentiments about/against southern people are somewhat strengthening, they've been since after i learned that while the google trends for "coronavirus" were predictably mostly in Lombardy and other affected northern regions, the google trends for "Amuchina" (italian standard-issue hand sanitizer) were overwhelmingly in 02:50
LjLthe south02:50
LjLnow, if you consider that things like masks and hand sanitizer all ran out, and then they started being sold on ebay/amazon for extortionate prices02:50
LjLwell, it makes me suspect that they, too, don't think much of their northern supposedly-fellow-countrymen02:51
LjLmaybe more than a "northern italy lockdown" this should be made into more of a czechia-slovakia split02:51
LjLadmit we just don't like each other, and split02:51
ubLIXthat's not an Italy problem, or a southern Italy problem; that's just humans02:51
LjLnot right now, though02:51
ubLIX(the profiteering, i mean)02:51
LjLubLIX, well, why weren't the searches mostly in Lombardy then?02:51
ubLIXidk02:51
LjLwell i feel i do02:52
slash_LjL things are still OK here, no panic buying yet02:52
slash_LjL but I've seen Italy and Australia, and I wonder, why do people think they need so much toiletpaper??02:52
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +120 cases (now 106231) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +22 cases (now 525) ๐Ÿ”ถ South Korea: +93 cases (now 7134) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 75) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Beijing, Mainland China: +2 cases (now 428), +5 recoveries (now 308) ๐Ÿ”ธ Henan, Mainland China: +2 recoveries (now 1246) ๐Ÿ”ธ Jiangsu, Mainland02:52
slash_like really, people buying 6 months worth of toiletpaper and shit?02:53
slash_why toiletpaper?02:54
LjLslash_, tbf i don't think there have really been any problems with toilet paper here. hand sanitizer, masks, and to some extent, food02:54
LjLi've heard about the toilet things wrt Japan and Australia, so far02:54
slash_ahh ok, I thought it was in Italy as well!02:54
slash_but yeah, don't you need food first lol02:54
LjLmaybe it was, but we've had no problems sourcing toilet paper here, that's all i can say for sure02:55
slash_you won't shit if you don't have food02:55
LjLslash_, well hopefully it won't come to the point where we're denied food02:55
slash_LjL I don't think food will become an actual problem in the EU02:55
LjLslash_, no, but, medicines and hospital beds will become worth more than bitcoins02:55
slash_LjL EU produces WAY more food than we consume as it is02:56
slash_LjL yes, medicine can become a problem02:56
LjLslash_, but most of the medicines are produced in India, with basic ingredients from China, and in China, Hubei is sort of pharmaceutical central, as i understand it02:56
slash_LjL a lot of that comes from China...02:56
LjLIndia have already announced export restrictions on drugs02:57
twomoonsomg02:57
slash_LjL yeah it's pretty bad... I hope this is a turning point tho02:57
slash_LjL EU should not rely on outside sources for essential medicine02:57
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 01:50 UTC: /u/mmm_toasty: Rob Edwards su Twitter: "JUST IN: Missouri is set to announce its first โ€œpresumptive positiveโ€ case of COVID-19 (#coronavirus). Governor Mike Parson and St. Louis County Executive Sam Page will hold a news conference at 7:15 tonight in Clayton. @ksdknewsโ€ฆ https://t.co/haYLWyakFT" โ†’ https://is.gd/v6sPH302:58
LjLplease, don't make me responsible for you hoarding things, though. get what you need, for a reasonable amount of time, if you really do need to take some meds or else it becomes an issue. don't deny others the same possibility02:58
tinwhiskersThe EU is not special in that regard. NO country should ideally but that's not practical.02:58
LjLbesides, it ain't even a country02:58
slash_LjL I got all I need for like 2 months+ and buying more02:58
slash_LjL but still, better a source in the EU as well, instead of just China02:59
dunnptwomoons: nothing wrong with Mississippi02:59
tinwhiskerslol. didn't mean to suggest EU was a country02:59
slash_tinwhiskers we need global production in multiple nations for essesntial medicine, the whole world cannot rely on just China03:00
slash_it's crazy03:00
tinwhiskersThat's ideological, not practical.03:01
tinwhiskersIt would be nice though03:01
slash_tinwhiskers well it isn't practical now?03:01
tinwhiskersit's no more practical now than last year03:01
slash_we should simply not rely on one nation for an essential supply03:02
slash_no country should03:02
tinwhiskersI agree03:02
slash_that is not ideology, that is just common sense03:02
tinwhiskersthat means paying someone more than you would pay chinese companies to keep it viable03:03
slash_yes03:03
tinwhiskerswell, there's ya problem03:03
slash_tinwhiskers oh most definately this is what created this whole issue03:04
tinwhiskersIt's easy to say that but over time, well... the market decides.03:04
tinwhiskersno, that didn't create this whole issue, but it hasn't helped.03:04
slash_well I mean, the infinite pursuit for more profit caused this03:04
tinwhiskersaye03:05
slash_and we disregarded national security03:05
tinwhiskersyeah03:05
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +2 cases (now 106233), +27 deaths (now 3586) ๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +41 cases (now 67707), +27 deaths (now 2986), +1511 recoveries (now 45011) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +27 deaths (now 3097) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 75) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Beijing, Mainland China: +2 cases (now 428),03:05
twomoonshi dunnp 03:06
LjLuh oh... they just said earlier that Hubei had had no new cases for two days03:06
LjLguess that's over now03:06
tinwhiskersbummer03:06
tinwhiskersyet Vietnam holds at no new cases for nearly three weeks03:07
tinwhiskerswtf03:07
dunnphi twomoons - nothing wrong with Mississippi :P 03:07
dunnpbeautiful place to live03:09
ryoumaare tehse numbers meaningful?  they keep saying tests are a problem.  a state in the us has only 100 kits and idk even if they have tested many ata ll or any.  is there accurate epidemiology?  are the kits ok?  and that is before we even get to the fact that govts do not appear to understand the concept of telling the truth for its own sake or doign the right thing for its own sake03:13
ryoumawe are tgalking about numbers but are they just sort of focus poitns for us that don't mean muych?03:13
dunnp%cases United States03:14
Brainstormdunnp: Sorry, United States not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.03:14
tinwhiskers%cases US03:14
Brainstormtinwhiskers: In all areas, US, there are 438 cases, 17 deaths (3.9% of cases), 15 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 03:00:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.03:14
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 01:58 UTC: US coronavirus cases top 400 as growing number of states declare emergencies: Gov. Andrew Cuomo declared a state of emergency on Saturday as the number of confirmed coronavirus cases in New York increased to 89. โ†’ https://is.gd/K5bpyH03:15
dunnpUS spring break is going to be a problem as people move all over the place03:16
ubLIXthe US has been setting up to be the worst covid-19 management so far03:17
ubLIXbut if Mike Pence's numbers of test-kit output are true, maybe that will soon be reversed03:17
dunnpgotta protect those markets!03:17
twomoonsdon't worry dunnp i wasn't dissing miss03:17
twomoonsshit i forgot about spring break03:18
ubLIX"good night, and good luck"03:19
dunnpasking people to self quarantine doesnt seem to be working03:20
twomoonsyeah it didn't work here03:20
twomoonsthey told someone to self quarantine upon arrival from italy and she just went right back to work 03:20
dunnpwheres that?03:21
twomoonssan diego area03:21
twomoonsyeah self quarantining is silly when ppl usually live with roommates and need money to pay rent and would prefer to go back to work 03:22
ryoumaif there were the ability to deliver food and all medicines to everybody and pay the rent then it would be less of a problem03:24
ryoumai.e. if it were covered03:24
twomoonswe need Yang's UBI idea03:25
twomoonsso employers have something to compete with and so people don't mind self quarantining 03:26
ryoumaubi?03:26
twomoonsuniv basic income03:27
ryoumatma -- too many acronyms03:27
ryoumathen those who are bedriddenw ould ont be able to pay for carers03:27
ryoumathen they would die03:27
twomoonsdidn't think of that03:27
ryoumanobodyever does03:28
twomoonsi'll think of a workaround for that03:28
ryouma:)03:28
ryoumabut when the law is passed, the workaround could be disappeared with the stroke of a pen03:28
ryoumathen they still die03:28
dunnphwo does UBI eliminate home care?03:31
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 02:20 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: China reports 44 new cases, US cases top 400 โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl03:33
twomoonsUBI would likely suck up the supply of cheap labor03:38
twomoonshe's probably right03:38
LjLso it is signed03:41
LjLlet's see03:41
ryoumafwiw https://www.propublica.org/article/i-lived-through-sars-and-reported-on-ebola-these-are-the-questions-we-should-be-asking-about-coronavirus03:41
LjLin the final version, bars and restaurants will only be open until 18:0003:43
LjLthat sounds more reasonable since allowing restaurants to just serve dinner, when we have all these other restrictions, well, that seemed weird03:44
dunnpwhats this limit LjL 03:44
LjLdunnp, what limit?03:45
dunnpwhat does this DPCM entail I mean03:45
dunnpbeyond restaurants03:45
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 02:46 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: South Korea reports 367 new cases as total crosses 7,100: South Korea reported 367 new cases, bringing its total to 7,134 cases. It had six more fatalities to a total death toll of 50. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl03:50
LjLThe final version of the decree seems substantially the same as the draft as far as Lombardy etc are concerned, but it extends some of the measures to the rest of the country, too03:50
LjLdunnp, it entails that Lombardy and much of northern Italy is under lockdown03:50
ryoumaself quarantine worked in hokkaido?  yes?  no?03:51
LjLwe can't leave, we can't roam away from our home without a justified reason03:51
ryoumawhat about needing food and medicine03:51
twomoonswhat's your roam range?03:51
LjLtwomoons, there's no specific range. you basically can be stopped by police and if they think you're too far from your home and don't have a good reason for it, well, you'll get taken back to your home, at best03:53
LjLthis is my understanding at this time anyway03:53
dunnpwow03:54
twomoonsi would love to make buddies with a cop while he's escorting me back to my house03:54
twomoonsseems like a cool way to pass the time03:54
dunnpyea what about food?03:55
dunnpI bought a bunch of cans of beans and tomatoes today03:55
twomoonslol me too03:55
dunnpcan eat chili for a few weeks03:55
twomoonswith beans and tomatoes and green chilies you can make something pallatable03:55
twomoonswhere u at dunnnp?03:55
dunnpUS03:55
twomoonsmiss?03:56
dunnpnah but I've lived there before03:56
dunnpbeen all over the place03:56
twomoonsahh ok03:56
twomoonsi wouldn't worry too much about food shortages03:56
twomoonsbut nice to not have to go to the store 03:56
dunnpmore about how to get the food if there is a lockdown03:56
twomoonsand deal with ppl who may be panic'ing03:57
dunnplike the mass toiler paper buying03:57
dunnpnot sure what they are expecting03:57
twomoonsi wouldn't wanna see people fighting over dried bags of beans03:57
dunnplucky for me I've got a prime pantry for toilet paper and I use it a lot slower than the delivery so I've got .. a shitload03:57
twomoonsyou don't have a costco near you?03:58
dunnpI do03:58
twomoonstheir TP ain't up to snuff 03:58
twomoonsfor you?03:58
dunnpjust easier to have it shipped03:58
dunnpim lazy03:58
dunnpand busy :P 03:58
dunnpbesides then there isn't room in my cart for the giant vodka bottles03:59
twomoonshaha03:59
dunnpI actually stopped being a member until recently because I would spend way too much04:01
dunnpgo in for some toothpaste and spend $500 somehow04:02
LjL<19dunnp18> yea what about food? โ† food stores will remain open, but will have to ensure each person can be no closer than 1m from other people, which will mean people queueing outside i guess04:02
LjLi hope we'll still be able to have food delivered04:03
LjLbut i don't know04:03
dunnpah yes food delivery is awesome04:05
tinwhiskersFascinating. LjL: You should try to get some sleep soon04:05
LjLbut i don't know if food delivery will be considered "essential work activities" that are allowed to be performed...04:06
LjLtinwhiskers, you are not wrong04:06
LjLi wish my ear/throat stopped hurting, i need to be feeling good, as soon as i'll be feeling sick, i know i'll panic04:06
tinwhiskersI can't wait to hear details from inside the Italian curtain tomorrow.04:07
tinwhiskersbut you really need to look after your health04:07
contingoso, I had some news back from my Chinese relatives04:07
tinwhiskersoh yeah?04:07
contingothey are all now either in KL or Singapore04:08
yuriwhobirds nest soup is a cure all?04:08
tinwhiskersoh. ok.04:08
tinwhiskerswell that's good news for them at least :-)04:08
contingoand they say to tell anyone who is pleased with China's progress according to the published stats to get a %^$% clue04:08
yuriwholol04:08
contingobut that's just hearsay :)04:09
tinwhiskerslol04:09
LjLtinwhiskers, i think there won't be many details forthcoming... i mean, we'll be stuck at home, not much can be seen from our balcony... i guess i can count how many people enter the train station (conceivably none)04:09
tinwhiskersMalaysia and Singapore are looking good still04:09
tinwhiskersLjL: nevertheless, it'll be interesting to hear04:09
contingomy relatives who live in China are Malaysian citizens04:10
tinwhiskersAh. I see04:10
twomoonswhy would they move to china04:11
twomoonsmalaysia is better isn't it04:11
contingowell, they have homes in KL, Singapore, China... China is where the factories are. And the swiftlet bunker fields for the bird's nest soup 04:12
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Guangdong, Mainland China: +13 recoveries (now 1250) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +1 cases (now 9), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 77) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hunan, Mainland China: +5 recoveries (now 965) ๐Ÿ”ธ South Korea: +6 deaths (now 50) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +1 cases (now 439) ๐Ÿ”ธ World: +3 cases (now 106236), +6 deaths (now 3592)04:13
twomoonsi hope that wildlife trade is not under threat now04:13
twomoonsor maybe it's considered farming04:13
contingoone branch of the family was quite settled in China because the patriarch was a HK soap opera star whose face is now on a lot of noodle packagings04:13
twomoonslol04:13
contingoit's a form of farming, the birds make new nests from year to year04:14
twomoonsi always wondered about that. 04:16
contingoI haven't looked too closely at the land use impacts, from a casual assessment it seems one of the more benign things to be producing04:16
contingoput it this way, my family is definitely profiting from far more terrible things than farming birds nests04:17
twomoonsi love all these cantonese ingredients that supposedly boost sex drive and slow aging simultaneously04:18
dunnpseems correlated to me04:18
twomoonsoh, and good for lung health too, during covid season04:20
contingoI have been coerced into eating so much nonsense by my Chinese family... never show any sign of illness around them04:24
twomoonslol04:25
LjLcontingo, any particular opinion on vitamin D as showing effectiveness in reducing incidence of respiratory infections, and whether that could remain true for COVID-19? (my guess is "no", but, well, i've been given this link and recommendation and stuff *shrug*)04:28
twomoonseat ginseng/chicken soup every day04:28
contingono LjL. But I'm taking the same dose you are I think04:30
LjLcontingo, ah, right. well, so is my mom. maybe we can get my dad on it just because.04:30
LjLcontingo, there is one... worrying, and yet comforting new addition to the final version of the emergency law04:31
LjL%tr รˆ fatta espressa raccomandazione a tutte le persone anziane o affette da patologie croniche o con multimorbilitร  ovvero con stati di immunodepressione congenita o acquisita, di evitare di uscire dalla propria abitazione o dimora fuori dai casi di stretta necessitร  e di evitare comunque luoghi affollati nei quali non sia possibile mantenere la distanza di almeno un metro.04:31
BrainstormLjL, Italian to English: An express recommendation is made to all elderly people or those suffering from chronic or multimorbable diseases or with states of congenital or acquired immunosuppression, to avoid leaving their home or home out of cases of strict necessity and in any case avoid crowded places where they are not it is possible to keep the distance of at least one [... want %more?]04:31
LjLcontingo, if this won't convince my sister she needs to STAY HOME i don't know what will04:31
twomoonsmultimorbable heh04:31
adventurerhttps://www.medicinenet.com/script/main/art.asp?articlekey=22869104:32
contingoI'm drifting off. Everybody.. just... Maintain.04:39
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 03:37 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: 50 rescued after hotel used for quarantine in China collapses: The hotel was used to quarantine people who had contact with coronavirus patients. Around 70 people were trapped in the rubble after it collapsed. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl04:43
LjLwell, it's also time for me to try to sleep and see what world i wake up to tomorrow04:43
LjLbye04:43
dunnpgnight04:46
Specoh04:46
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 03:55 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Italy locks down a quarter of its population: Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced that the entire region of Lombardy and a number of provinces in other regions were put under lockdown until April 3. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl05:00
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 04:05 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: Quarantined Wuhan kids hacked their way out of app-based schooling โ†’ https://is.gd/kenD1o05:18
swift110hey05:40
tinwhiskershey swift11005:41
swift110hpw r u tinwhiskers 05:41
tinwhiskersCould be worse. Yerself?05:42
swift110im good tinwhiskers 05:46
spybertlooks like my daughter's school is closing due to corona virus - http://blogs.egusd.net/pressroom/2020/03/07/media-statement-elk-grove-unified-closes-school-cancels-classes-and-cancels-student-related-activities-effective-march-7-to-march-13-2020/06:26
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +11 cases (now 106255), +1 recoveries (now 59995) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ British Columbia, Canada: +6 cases (now 27) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 26) ๐Ÿ”ธ Faroe Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +1 recoveries (now 57084) ๐Ÿ”ธ Anhui, Mainland China: +3 recoveries (now 984) ๐Ÿ”ธ Guangdong, Mainland China: +2 recoveries (now 1252) ๐Ÿ”ธ Henan, Mainland China: +1 recoveries 06:27
swift110hmm06:55
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 06:02 UTC: US coronavirus cases top 400 as growing number of states declare emergencies: Gov. Andrew Cuomo declared a state of emergency on Saturday as the number of confirmed coronavirus cases in New York increased to 89. โ†’ https://is.gd/K5bpyH07:15
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +8 cases (now 106263), +22 recoveries (now 60017) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +23 recoveries (now 57106) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ British Columbia, Canada: +6 cases (now 27) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 26) ๐Ÿ”ธ Faroe Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ India: +5 cases (now07:21
sneepThe hotel thing is crazy07:21
sneepThey renovated a building and removed something that was structurally important in the process07:23
tinwhiskersYou don't need to search very far to find copious amounts of evidence for poor construction, materials and adherence to standards in China, but it really is not related to covid-19 anyway. 07:27
twomoonshow's the humidity where you are tinwhiskers ?07:35
tinwhiskersAug 28, 2019, Building collapses in Shenzhen ; June 27 Shanghai building collapse; Oct 11, 2016 China multi-storey building collapse; May 16, 2019 13 storey building collapse... it's no huge surprise some people happened to have covid-19 in this particular collapse07:36
tinwhiskersusually around 80-90% here twomoons07:36
twomoonsawesome for my skin07:37
tinwhiskers:-)07:37
twomoonsi'm suffering from dry eyes and crackly skin07:37
tinwhiskers:-(07:37
dunnpugh humidity07:40
dunnpas long as there is wind07:40
adventurerThose Australian numbers are  old now.07:40
tinwhiskersadventurer: where are you seeing newer data? https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries shows it as 7807:41
adventureroh no they are right...my  mistake.07:41
tinwhiskersoh. ok07:41
adventurerAlthough they may or may not be double counting the Northern Territory case which is now included with the NSW number by the government.07:42
tinwhiskersah07:42
twomoonsdo you have a little motorboat?07:47
tinwhiskerstwomoons: yeah just a little 10ft tin dinghy08:04
dunnpmust be pretty close08:07
dunnpto the other island08:07
twomoonswow tinwhiskers you really wanted to live close to nature huh08:07
tinwhiskersIt's only about 1.5km to the mainland. 08:07
twomoonsi hope there aren't hurricanes08:07
tinwhiskersI can get up to about 12 knots which is reasonably fast; fast enough to catch yellowfin tuna.08:08
tinwhiskersThere's hurricanes most years. We had a category 3 hurricane this year.08:08
twomoonswow must've been scary08:09
twomoonsi'd imagine you're right at sea level08:09
tinwhiskersI'm about 6m above sea level. The house was on the leeward side of the island from this storm so it wasn't bad at all. I didn't even close up my large verandah shutter.08:10
twomoonsamazing08:11
swift110hmm08:14
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +20 recoveries (now 45031) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ British Columbia, Canada: +6 cases (now 27) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 26) ๐Ÿ”ธ Faroe Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ India: +5 cases (now 39) ๐Ÿ”ธ Jiangxi, Mainland China: +1 recoveries (now 91908:15
tinwhiskersThe down-wind/sheltered side :-)08:15
mefistofelesit still puzzles me how Germany doesn't have reported deaths from covid08:20
mefistofelesICUs per capita in germany is high, we know that. May that be related?08:21
tinwhiskersYeah. That is puzzling08:21
ryoumaare the numbers meaningful?08:24
ryoumaare there enough accurate test kits being used?  are they statistically meaningful?08:24
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 07:36 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Italy locks down a quarter of its population: Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced that Lombardy and a number of provinces in other regions were put under lockdown until April 3. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl08:43
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +51 cases (now 106314), +2 recoveries (now 60019) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +47 cases (now 847) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ British Columbia, Canada: +6 cases (now 27) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 26) ๐Ÿ”ธ Faroe Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ India: +5 cases (now 39) ๐Ÿ”ธ Kuwa09:21
tinwhiskersRegarding the no deaths in Germany thing. I don't think insufficient testing explains it because the testing has detected 800 cases. It's just that none of those have died which is a bit unexpected.09:36
tinwhiskersHaving more ICUs per capita might explain it if other countries ICUs were overwhelmed, but I don't think that's the case because we haven't been hearing about ICUs being unable to cope except in China (maybe South Korea - I don't recall though)09:38
tinwhiskersI'd say they are either somehow offering a better standard of care (unlikely) or have just been very lucky. 09:40
tinwhiskersUnless of course it's been engineered to not kill the master race!!!09:43
tinwhiskers /s09:43
tinwhiskersOther possibilities: off-label use of experimental drugs regimes (better standard of care?); not reporting deaths for some reason.09:48
tinwhiskersI don't mean experimental drugs, I mean experimental drug regimes using already tested drugs. China find AIDS drugs might help for example, there might be something related to ACE-2 receptors that people have been toying with. It seems a bit of a stretch but maybe they're getting success with some of these off-label uses of existing drugs. You'd think they would be reporting such things though so I tend to think it's just good luck.09:58
adventureris worldmeter an extremely credible source?10:10
tinwhiskersadventurer: it seems to be. The numbers align with the John Hopkins arcgis data but are updated a bit more quickly.10:20
tinwhiskersI haven't seen any examples of data at worldometer that JH didn't end up reporting as well but then I haven't rigorously checked.10:21
tinwhiskersIn saying that, they do list all the sources of their data and some comes from strange places (e.g. Twitter).10:24
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +3 cases (now 106519), +48 recoveries (now 60080) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +47 recoveries (now 57156) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Zhejiang, Mainland China: +1 recoveries (now 1161) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 recoveries (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +1 cases (now 447)10:28
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +2 cases (now 106521), +80 recoveries (now 60160) ๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +45 recoveries (now 45076) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +80 recoveries (now 57236) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bulgaria: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Jiangsu, Mainland China: +1 recoveries (now 612) ๐Ÿ”ธ Sh10:42
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +19 cases (now 106540), +10 recoveries (now 60170) ๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +77 recoveries (now 45153) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bulgaria: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +4 cases (now 23) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +4 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Indonesia: +2 cases (now 6)11:09
sneephttps://foldingathome.org/2020/02/27/foldinghome-takes-up-the-fight-against-covid-19-2019-ncov/ If anyone's interested11:19
BrainstormNew from Reddit Italy live at 10:10 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Coronavirus, presidente del Piemonte Alberto Cirio positivo al test โ†’ https://is.gd/uwuJtd11:20
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +5 cases (now 106545), +69 recoveries (now 60239) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +5 cases (now 80701), +79 recoveries (now 57315) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +1 cases (now 78) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bulgaria: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +4 cases (now 23) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +4 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Indonesia: +211:22
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 10:31 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Italy locks down a quarter of its population: Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced that Lombardy and a number of provinces in other regions were put under lockdown until April 3. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl11:38
mefistofeleswoah, 1/4 of the population :o12:13
mefistofelesLjL: you cannot really good out at all then?12:13
mefistofeless/good/go12:13
Brainstormmefistofeles meant to say: LjL: you cannot really go out at all then?12:13
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +749 cases (now 107294), +49 deaths (now 3643), +470 recoveries (now 60709) ๐Ÿ”ถ Iran: +743 cases (now 6566), +49 deaths (now 194), +465 recoveries (now 2134) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bulgaria: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +4 cases (now 23) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, H12:16
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +187 cases (now 107481), +5 recoveries (now 60714) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +64 cases (now 589) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +92 cases (now 939) ๐Ÿ”ถ Belgium: +31 cases (now 200) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bulgaria: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +4 cases (now 23) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +412:29
BrainstormNew from BBC Health at 11:11 UTC: Coronavirus: NHS will get whatever it needs, says chancellor: The chancellor says he is also considering more support for businesses and individuals in an epidemic. โ†’ https://is.gd/tViYeG12:30
fructosehttps://www.military.com/daily-news/2020/02/08/senators-tour-fort-detricks-usamriid-after-funding-withheld.html12:40
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +68 cases (now 107549), +3 deaths (now 3646) ๐Ÿ”ถ Switzerland: +68 cases (now 336) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Spain: +3 deaths (now 13)12:43
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 11:35 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Italy locks down a quarter of its population: Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced that Lombardy and a number of provinces in other regions were put under lockdown until April 3. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl12:48
mefistofeleshttps://www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v42/n05/wang-xiuying/the-word-from-wuhan pretty interesting read, recommended13:09
mefistofelesI mean, if you haven't read it already, that is13:09
mefistofeles%data Colombia13:09
Brainstormmefistofeles: In all areas, Colombia, there are 1 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Sat Mar  7 01:43:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Colombia for time series data.13:09
mefistofelesheh13:09
mefistofeles%data Argentina13:09
Brainstormmefistofeles: In all areas, Argentina, there are 9 cases, 1 deaths (11.1% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 01:03:17 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Argentina for time series data.13:09
mefistofeles%data Chile13:10
Brainstormmefistofeles: In all areas, Chile, there are 7 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 06:23:03 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Chile for time series data.13:10
mefistofelessorry for the flood :)13:10
mefistofeles%title13:11
Brainstormmefistofeles: From www.lrb.co.uk: Wang Xiuying ยท The Word from Wuhan ยท LRB 22 February 202013:11
python476hi 13:24
sneepmefistofeles: not really the most useful article. i think the number of governments that are going to be praised as having handled the situation in a good way is going to be a very low number13:26
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +12 cases (now 107561) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 cases (now 114) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 cases (now 158) ๐Ÿ”ธ San Marino: +10 cases (now 36) ๐Ÿ”ธ Spain: +3 deaths (now 13)13:36
aradesh%covid uk13:38
Brainstormaradesh: In all areas, UK, there are 209 cases, 2 deaths (1.0% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 04:13:13 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=UK for time series data.13:38
Brainstormaradesh: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.3% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 9.5% (considering only deaths and recoveries).13:38
sneep%covid aradesh13:47
Brainstormsneep: Sorry, aradesh not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.13:47
mefistofelessneep: oh, it's mostly useless, I wasn't implying otherwise13:47
sneepPhew13:47
mefistofelesjust a good written article on how some things went there13:47
aradesh:P13:48
mefistofeleswe don't just have to read "useful" things 13:48
python476https://old.reddit.com/r/Covid19_economics/comments/feu4j2/china_lights_go_on_but_no_one_goes_to_work/13:49
python476some data about china ~economic stats13:49
python476not linked to cases stats, but another hint at how numbers can be meaningless13:49
mefistofelesnumbers in this case are more qualitative than quantitative, still useful13:50
python476true13:51
python476but I want quantifiably verified quantitative quantities ><13:51
azyis there always a fever?14:01
adventurerazy, 87.9% of the time according to this article. So not always.14:03
adventurerhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_outbreak#Signs_and_symptoms14:04
adventurerso just over 1/10 have no fever14:04
LjLLombardy's governor is talking now, reassuring us that goods will still be able to travel, that people can still use both private and public transport to go to work, and that obviously we are allowed to go buy groceries14:05
adventurerAccording to that.14:05
LjLI think if going to work is blanket-allowed, the quarantine won't work great... despite the request (but not order) to make remote working as pervasive as possible14:05
python476can you still shoot refugees boat on the sea too ? 14:07
python476LjL: so the quarantine "simply" means no going out of your area, but keep living normally and safely ?14:07
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +16 cases (now 107577), +10 recoveries (now 60724) ๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +69 recoveries (now 45222) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 cases (now 114), +3 recoveries (now 58) ๐Ÿ”ธ Luxembourg: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +6 recoveries (no14:16
LjLLol TV is saying everyone (every southerner maybe) is trying to take trains out of Lombardy... Destination cities are putting police at stations but they just showed Lecce station saying on speakers "Passengers from the red zones are require to report to railway police immediately" suuuuuuure they will14:26
LjLpython476: well not exactly, since stores and all kinds of commercial activities are stopped on weekends and are required to implement measures to ensure people stay 1m from each other (which sounds kind of unenforceable but some supermarkets have already begun implementing limited-number entry)14:27
python476LjL: interesting14:28
python476beijing video last week showed tape placed in stores to give people some form of distance14:29
LjLpython476, we don't shoot refugee boats btw, that's Greece. during the previous government they didn't allow them to enter, but honestly, i feel we've been treating refugees a lot better than Greece and Spain, who have both sometimes shot at them14:29
LjL... and taken EU anger for it14:29
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +127 cases (now 107704), +1 recoveries (now 60725) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +16 cases (now 613) ๐Ÿ”ถ Singapore: +12 cases (now 150) ๐Ÿ”ถ Netherlands: +77 cases (now 265) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +12 cases (now 951) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hon14:30
LjLpython476, yeah hide away, so that you don't get to have to answer the question "how can a national state of emergency last for 5 years and where exactly in the Schengen treaty does it say you can keep it suspended for 5 years" :P14:37
LjLbut i guess all of this is pretty irrelevant now, and will be for a good while :(14:37
contingo5 years?14:38
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test) at 13:12 UTC: CoronaVirusInfo: Coronavirus: Northern Italy quarantines 16 million people - BBC News โ†’ https://is.gd/7ZVBKY14:50
LjLcontingo, they declared a state of emergency in 2015 after the Paris terrorism events, and then they just kept renewing both the state of emergency and the suspension of Schengen every time the time ran out, always using the terrorism justification14:51
contingoI see, does that pertain to the lawfulness of the present decree?14:51
LjLcontingo, no, that is about France14:52
LjLpython476 happens to be a detestable frogeater14:52
LjLTV is now asking the health minister about the rumors that treatment will not be given to people over a certain age14:53
LjLhe answers that they are working hard to avoid this very scenario14:54
python476one day I'll eat a frog14:54
LjLboth by keeping elderly people at home so they don't get sick, and by adding more ICU, infectivology, etc, beds, and also recalling retired medical personnel and hiring more14:54
LjL%cases Italy14:55
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +45 cases (now 107749), +2 deaths (now 3648) ๐Ÿ”ถ Sweden: +42 cases (now 203) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hungary: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Netherlands: +2 deaths (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 cases (now 159)14:55
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Italy, there are 5883 cases, 233 deaths (4.0% of cases), 589 recoveries as of Sat Mar  7 18:33:03 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.14:55
LjLstill stuck with yesterday's number, i guess no one has them more realtime than the official daily updates at 1814:56
LjL<Brainstorm> New from r/WorldNews at 05:51 UTC: worldnews: White House falsely claims the coronavirus has been 'contained' in the US โ€” from r/WorldNews at 05:51: Livethread: Global COVID-19 outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/sKtTzN14:57
contingothe BBC quoted the head of the crisis response unit for Lombardy saying alarming things about hospital spaces even as things stand14:58
LjLcontingo, yes, he did14:59
LjLcontingo, did you show me some paper that rebutted the S vs L strain "theory"?15:00
contingobut I believe you have significantly more beds, intensive care beds, and specialist pneumonia treatment equipment per capita, than we do here15:01
contingono, wasn't me15:01
LjLcontingo, the figure i heard yesterday on TV is we have around 5000 ICU beds, although they are now creating more as fast as possible. in Lombardy, we had... 900 i think i read? latium has 550, which is proportional to the respective populations. i suspect southern regions may be worse15:02
python476https://old.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ff8uxz/a_person_who_attended_a_gathering_that_included/15:04
python476POTUS might have caught covid15:04
python476\o/15:04
LjLugh, young people being interviewed on TV, not sure which city... they are "mingling" even more than usual, since no school, all party15:07
LjLat this point, okay, i also wish for the police to just be in the streets and shipping everyone back to their homes15:07
BrainstormNew from BBC Health at 14:00 UTC: Coronavirus: NHS will get whatever it needs, says chancellor: The chancellor says he is also considering more support for businesses and individuals in an epidemic. โ†’ https://is.gd/tViYeG15:08
LjLcontingo, yuriwho: what do you think of the statement (claimed by a supposed epidemiologist on TV last night, but i haven't seen their name) that this epidemic will inevitably only taper, "like all similar epidemics", after 15-20% of the population has been infected, and the virus starts finding it harder to land on new hosts?15:09
contingothere are S and L genotypes in circulation. Their genetic distance doesn't amount to their being different strains as normally defined. Some evidence points to L being more transmissible/infective, but not more lethal or capable of inducing more severe disease, and data is limited15:09
LjLcontingo, yeah it was yuriwho pointing to this rebuttal http://virological.org/t/response-to-on-the-origin-and-continuing-evolution-of-sars-cov-2/41815:10
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +43 cases (now 107792) ๐Ÿ”ถ Japan: +41 cases (now 502) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hungary: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Kuwait: +2 cases (now 64) ๐Ÿ”ธ Netherlands: +2 deaths (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 cases (now 159) ๐Ÿ”ธ Washington, D.C., US: +1 c15:10
yuriwhoLjL: that is true but herd immunity requires > 80% of population to have immunity15:12
LjLyuriwho, so it's only true if either a vaccine is developed, or >80% of the population is naturally immune to this?15:13
yuriwhoyes, but spread will start slowing once a sizeable portion (>20%) is immune15:14
python476what's the average recovery time btw ?15:14
python476yuriwho: you're trained in epidemiology or just smart ?15:14
yuriwhoI am a Ph.D. Chemical Biologist15:15
python476yuriwho: lame.15:15
python476just kidding15:15
contingoI don't know about that percentage, various estimates have been given attached to differing parameters of importance (seasonality, innate levels of human resistance or viral penetrance...). Also tapering doesn't entail eradication or preclude resurgence of a newly mutated strain, even a new annually recirculating viral disease15:16
contingois a chemical biologist a biochemist or is there some distinction?15:17
yuriwhowe do not know much about the human immune response to this virus so it's hard to predict much re the vaccines15:17
python476I was searching for high voltage sanitizer on youtube15:17
LjLApparently many people have managed to flee Lombardy before the quarantine was effectively in place, and now authorities are saying that people who came from the hotspot areas MUST (very stressed) stay home and call 112 and tell them they are coming from those areas15:17
python476there's an epidemia of "diy sanitizer". Trending hard15:17
JX7P%cases Scotland15:18
BrainstormJX7P: 3 lest ah googled (45 seconds ago)15:18
python476https://youtu.be/S77hmlh6Fzw?t=169 <= self sanitizing user interfaces (surface plasma based)15:22
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +66 cases (now 107858), +1 recoveries (now 60726) ๐Ÿ”ถ UK: +64 cases (now 273) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hungary: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +2 cases (now 80703), +1 recoveries (now 57333)15:23
python476can't we make plasma generating thin film to replace FPP2 masks ?15:23
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 14:22 UTC: OPEC deal collapse sparks price war: '$20 oil in 2020 is coming': The news is a sudden U-turn from previous attempts to support the oil market as the new coronavirus hammers global demand. โ†’ https://is.gd/82FgmI15:26
TraderOne[m]Are test kits from alibaba reliable?15:28
LjLTraderOne[m], i would assume "no"15:28
python476they probably come infected 15:28
contingolol15:29
TraderOne[m]I don't think live virus would survive few days in transit15:30
python476yeah unless it's express 2 days delivery15:30
LjLTraderOne[m], 1) why wouldn't you think that? 2) why would you trust something like a newly-developed test to be reliable as a home kit from alibaba?15:30
python476amazon prime considered harmful15:30
LjLto be vevry straightforward, that's a crazy concept15:30
LjLTraderOne[m], here's a review study on how long various coronaviruses can survive on surfaces https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0195670120300463/15:31
LjLwut, the Italian correspondent from London said the UK government is preparing to have 100k *dead* in the UK15:39
contingoas in, they prepared some contingency plan with that as their worse case scenario15:40
python476it's good to over size problems a bit15:42
LjLcontingo, yuriwho: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.04.20031104v1.full.pdf  "We find that 1.6% (1.4-1.8) of individuals infected with COVID-19 during that period with orwithout symptoms died or will die, with even more important differences by age group than suggested by the rawdata. The probability of death among infected individuals with symptoms is estimated at 3.3% (2.9-3.8), with a steep increase over 60 years old to reach 36% over 80 15:42
LjLyears old"15:42
LjL36% is a considerably larger number than 15%15:43
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 14:35 UTC: Italy locks down a quarter of its population: Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte announced that Lombardy and a number of provinces in other regions were put under lockdown until April 3. โ†’ https://is.gd/uFxZLl15:43
sneepLjL is still alive \o/15:48
LjLsneep, and will likely remain so, but that does not comfort me a whole lot really15:48
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +13 recoveries (now 45235) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 deaths (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hungary: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +2 cases (now 80703), +1 recoveries (now 57333) ๐Ÿ”ธ Gansu, Mainland China: +415:50
yuriwhoI had dinner with my niece (20) and nephew (24) last night, they both laughed it off as no big deal since they were young. I informed them that I was at risk being older and that some healthy young people have died from it too15:51
_io_its annoying when people try to minimize it. real courage is to recognize a danger and still be unafraid.15:53
_io_denial is not courage. it is foolishness.15:53
TraderOne[m]Courage is to fight fear15:54
LjLyuriwho, young people on TV were looking absurdly careless, and i can confirm that from seeing the park yesterday15:54
swift110hey all15:54
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 14:55 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Grand Princess to disembark passengers; New Hampshire reports new cases โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF16:01
shotakoe1btw folks living in apartments may want to have closer look at how their AC / ventilation system is built16:04
shotakoe1no idea / proof links on how it is possible to catch the virus from reused air, maybe someone knows16:05
aradeshjust had my mum visit and she had a runny nose >:/16:06
aradeshi hope i don't catch it16:06
shotakoe1in my case there was a positive pressure of dry air from corridor, coming through the unit door and bringing humidity in the unit down to 28% all the time until I figured it16:07
shotakoe1and also noticed that there is an air intake grid of my AC right next to the neighbour's exaust, so we often smell cig smoke or any junk she's cooking16:10
shotakoe1possibly that dry air during about 2 years caused my tonsils to worsen, which led to tonsilectomy eventually16:11
shotakoe1in case of respiratory illness, humidity level is important for healing16:11
shotakoe1not speaking of possible (?) infection16:12
shotakoe1sometimes it looks that services, goods and facilities are built to benefit everyone except the dude who pays for it16:13
shotakoe1I sealed the f-n door (finaly) and getting humidity levels steady around 45%, which means there's little air exchange in the unit16:14
shotakoe1mold is more likely to grow, but I don't care already..16:14
aradeshmold is not coronavirus16:18
aradeshso its ok16:18
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:17 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF16:18
aradesh:P16:18
shotakoe1hopefully it won't combine :)16:21
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +17 cases (now 107877), +3 deaths (now 3656) ๐Ÿ”ธ Algeria: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 63) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +1 cases (now 8) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 deaths (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hungary: +2 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ 16:44
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 15:51 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: It should be noted that at this time there are more active cases outside of China (23,722) than there are in China (20,273) โ†’ https://is.gd/IwMpGB16:53
mefistofelesnice stat there, also, nothing unexpected, of course16:54
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +29 cases (now 107906) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +17 cases (now 464), +2 deaths (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Algeria: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 63) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +1 cases (now 8) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +8 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ Greece: +7 cases (now 73) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong 16:57
sneephttps://www.vox.com/2020/3/3/21161724/coronavirus-symptoms-covid-19-sars-cough-fever aradesh: Having a runny nose isn't a common Covid symptom according to this17:04
mefistofelesindeed ...  โ€œUnlike the coronavirus infections that cause the common cold, it is not usually associated with a runny nose.โ€17:08
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +72 cases (now 107978) ๐Ÿ”ถ Westchester County, NY, US: +25 cases (now 82) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +67 cases (now 1018) ๐Ÿ”ธ Algeria: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +10 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +2 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tasmania, Australia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 63) ๐Ÿ”ธ Montreal, QC, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +1 cases (now 8) 17:11
LjLBrainstorm's updates are a bit too frequent again i think (not a good sign as far as the disease goes...)17:12
LjLi will probably change the +10 minimum limit to display an update to, i dunno, +30?17:12
mefistofelesso LjL , not sure if you answered and I missed it, how is the quarantine working there? I mean, you cannot leave the house at any cost?17:13
LjLmefistofeles, we can leave, but we can be questioned by police if found far from our residence, and will need to provide a valid reason to be, at least that's my current understanding, but i haven't left home today so...17:14
mefistofelesLjL: ok17:14
mefistofelesalso, why would policemen leave their homes? ;)17:14
LjLheh17:14
LjLi think that counts as "essential work activities" as defined in the decree17:15
LjLimportantly, they said most people *can* go to work17:15
LjLeven though the decree "encourages" remote working in all cases where it's possible17:15
LjLbut it doesn't mandate it, so, eh17:15
mefistofelesyes, I guess that's sane17:15
mefistofelesworking from home when possible17:15
mefistofelesor not working at all17:15
LjLpublic transport is also still functioning17:15
LjLexcept for trains that would lead you outside the quarantine area, i assume17:16
mefistofelesok17:18
mefistofelesthat's also good, I guess17:18
aradeshsneep: yeah... but everyone might think i have it! 17:19
mefistofelesaradesh: just wear a "I don't have covid-19" t-shirt17:20
LjLmefistofeles, well, it might be seen as a bit of an underreaction compared to what China did, i think. public transport may be needed by healthcare workers themselves, though17:20
mefistofelesthey are selling like hell right now17:20
mefistofelesLjL: exactly, and I'm guessiong not all people can actually get supplies to stay at home for days/weeks, so they have to get out at some point17:21
mefistofelesguessing*17:21
mefistofelestourists, exchange students, etc.17:21
LjLmefistofeles, yes, but i am not so sure about the appropriateness of letting everyone go to work. that may mean that public transport will be nearly as crowded as during normal times. the economy is important and everything, but my money won't be any use to me when i'm ddead17:21
mefistofelesdarsie: heh, nice, I guess17:22
mefistofelesLjL: chances of dying are low anyways17:23
sneepdarsie: don't get a vitamin overdose17:23
LjLmefistofeles, not for my parents, i wouldn't say so.17:23
mefistofelesand it just the less harmful situation, I guess17:23
mefistofeles*it's17:23
mefistofelesLjL: sure, I agree, but they cannot afford shutting everything down because of the vulnerable people, I guess. Specially when they can stay home and such.17:24
darsiesneep: I overdosed vitamin B12 a little, since otherwise it would last me >50 years. I reduced my dose now.17:24
mefistofelesI'm not even at my country right now, and I cannot afford buying that much food, so I take my chances :P17:25
LjLmefistofeles, it's been shown by now that i (or a child) are equally as likely to catch it than an 80 year old, just less likely to get serious consequences from it. so if i catch it by going to work, let's say, it's almost certain my parents will catch it since i live with them. and... uh, well, China did shut pretty much everything down, and they finally have it under control17:25
LjLsaying we cannot take drastic measures "for vulnerable people" is something i cannot get on board with17:26
mefistofelesyeah, I think they are doing what they can, China could take more drastic measures, but youc annot even compare to China, no country can, tbh17:27
mefistofelesnow, countries/governments should've foreseen this previously, that's true17:28
mefistofelesbut it was also hard to prepare for it, even since it was first publicly known from China cases17:28
LjLif they could make the law they made (it's probably unconstitutional, but nobody's gonna question it in time), they could equally as easily make one that also said "no working except for essential services"17:28
LjLit wasn't hard to prepare for it. it was just unpopular for democracies17:28
LjLbecause if you are the government in a democratic system, and you take strong measures to contain it *in time*, and you are successful, then people will be like "what! nothing actually happened, but you stopped us from going to work, school, everything?! i will vote for the other party next time"17:29
LjLif you are successful, you fail (politically)17:29
LjLand i believe this is why you can see a striking contrast between, say, Singapore and Italy17:30
LjLSingapore government doesn't really have to worry about being re-elected17:30
mefistofelesI think it was hard, take Germany for example, they sent all this face masks and drugs to help the situation in China and now there's a shortage here, they didn't expect Europe/Italy  to get it that fast17:30
mefistofelesand even then, Germany looks like it's doing a pretty good job at not letting people die17:30
LjLwell, i expected it17:30
LjLmaybe it's just sheer luck, but i was right and they were wrong17:30
LjLthere is this data point17:30
LjLi'd say the *complete* lack of deaths in Germany is puzzling, i wouldn't go as far as saying it's due to them doing a good job, because unless their doctors are wizards, there's something that lacks an explanation17:31
mefistofelesyeah, you got lucky, imho, data outliers "get lucky" everytime, that's why people believe in all these conspiracy theories and such, because it happens you have a ergodic system and a LOT of sampling, so yeah, it will happen sooner or later. 17:32
LjLexcept, it seems obvious to me it would happen, and it seems obvious now it will happen in more countries, and yet, those countries are STILL being slow to react17:32
LjLthe situation is repeating itself17:32
LjLif you want you can go on saying "it couldn't be foreseen" for each and every country that eventually has a spike17:33
mefistofelesthat's not really the case, it's just hard to react17:33
LjLbut you'd be clearly wrong17:33
python476finally finished https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/journal-plague-year-180965222/ fascinating17:33
mefistofelesI mean, even the people from TWIV expected it partly to this become a pandemia, 3-4 weeks ago or so, and they weren't even concerned about it17:33
mefistofeless/to this/for this to/17:34
Brainstormmefistofeles meant to say: I mean, even the people from TWIV expected it partly for this to become a pandemia, 3-4 weeks ago or so, and they weren't even concerned about it17:34
darsieWould shutting down public transportation be effective?17:34
mefistofelesdarsie: not if people have to move, still17:35
darsieDo they have to move?17:35
mefistofeleswell, I guess they cannot afford to shut everything down, so yes, some of them would have to17:35
darsieEssential workers could move by other means.17:35
mefistofelesdarsie: such as?17:36
darsiecar, bike17:36
darsiefoot17:36
darsieinternet ;)17:36
mefistofelesmaybe in some cities, not sure if Milan is suited for that, though17:36
mefistofelesI know USA is nowhere suited for that, for example17:36
mefistofelesand latin america even worse17:36
darsieShutting down flights would have made a difference.17:37
darsieI'm sure Milan and USA have roads.17:38
darsieThey might get congested, though.17:38
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 16:30 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF17:44
mefistofeleshttps://arstechnica.com/science/2020/03/dont-panic-the-comprehensive-ars-technica-guide-to-the-coronavirus/#h1 this one looks interesting17:45
LjLdarsie, denying all health workers who don't own a car of a bike the ability to work would be rather foolish, considering we're actually recalling doctors from retirement due to the sheer lack of enough of them now17:46
LjLalso feel free to come to milan by car and try to find any parking... after the quarantine ends, in 2050 or so17:47
aradeshis it also effective to wash your face regularly?17:47
darsieLjL: They could take service cars, like military or taxi. Or public transportation could be limited to essential workers or other ppl with legitimate needs.17:47
LjLaradesh, certainly not with dirty hands :P17:48
LjLdarsie, taxis are great ways to super-spread17:48
darsiearadesh: I take a shower every morning.17:48
aradeshwell i'm thinking, maybe during the day you get germs on your face, and it might be good to wash them off before they get in your mouth, eyes, up your nose?17:49
LjLand besides darsie, rest assured that those who don't NEED to be taking public transport are already not taking it. last time i was on the metro, it was half empty, and all those who could were wearing masks, the rest trying to cover their mouth and nose with scarfs17:49
darsieI used my bum to open subway doors.17:50
LjLaradesh, maybe, but then the act of washing itself could make that happen. i don't know. i think i would be sure not to overdo it or your face may get too dry and then things are worse17:50
aradeshok17:50
LjLour metro doors are kind enough to open automatically17:50
darsieOur new ones have buttons. The older ones have levers.17:51
darsieHow fast does CV deactivate outside the body?17:52
LjLit's unknown, but probably depends on the type of surface it's one17:53
LjLon*17:53
darsies/deactivate/destroy17:53
Brainstormdarsie meant to say: How fast does CV destroy outside the body?17:53
LjLthere is a study about coronavirus viability times linked in the topic17:53
LjLit provides approximate durations for various previously-known coronaviruses17:53
darsieThe analysis of 22 studies reveals that human coronaviruses such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) coronavirus, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) coronavirus or endemic human coronaviruses (HCoV) can persist on inanimate surfaces like metal, glass or plastic for up to 9 days17:56
darsieI have 1 l 35% H2O2. Should I bother getting alcohol, or use diluted H2O2?17:57
darsieAustrians leader :)17:59
darsieร–sterreichs Fรผhrer18:00
LjLdarsie, if you *can* get alcohol, i'd get alcohol, but i don't think there's any reason hydrogen peroxide wouldn't disinfect things reasonably well... i had a link with disinfection rates for various agents and pathogens but damned if i find it now18:09
mefistofelesthe ars technica url I just linked to has a formula, fwiw18:10
darsiehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hand_sanitizer#Composition has two formulas.18:10
mefistofelesso we now have 3 :P18:11
LjLdarsie, ah but actually the same paper that lists coronavirus viability on surfaces also lists agents to inactivate them, and how long they take to work18:11
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +198 cases (now 108184), +2 deaths (now 3658) ๐Ÿ”ถ France: +177 cases (now 1126) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Edmonton, Alberta, Canada: +2 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +1 cases (now 49) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +2 deaths (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +10 cases (now 169) ๐Ÿ”ธ Philippines: +4 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Qatar: +3 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ Romania: +1 cases (now 15) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +1 cases (now 466)18:14
dunnpMy cousin took Caribbean cruise last Mon from Florida. Quarantined and conf by CDC to have Cornonavirus on Sat. They said he is day 5 with low viral counts, so sending home (plane to MI) with a mask & told to self quarantine at home. As of today, MI reported 0 conf cases.18:16
dunnp^ from tiwtter18:17
dunnpwtf18:17
dunnplets ship the sick people around so that we have an even distribution of disease18:17
darsiemefistofeles: Can't find the formula in that article.18:22
pwr22!cases uk18:23
mefistofelesdarsie: โ€œefficiently inactivated by surface disinfection procedures with 62โ€“71 percent ethanol, 0.5 percent hydrogen peroxide, or 0.1 percent sodium hypochlorite (bleach) within 1 minute.โ€ in the "How does SARS-CoV-2 spread?" section, probably citing the same paper LjL was talking about18:24
LjLadded arstechnica's guide18:25
mefistofelescool, I think that's a good one18:25
pwr22I failed trying to diy some handgel yesterday18:26
pwr22I just made a sticky mess :D18:27
mefistofeleslol18:27
pwr22That wasn't even a gel18:27
pwr22Was fun though18:27
mefistofelesno colloidal active matter? ;)18:27
pwr22Then I made COVID-19 Tracker Bot for matrix18:27
pwr22mefistofeles: nope, I guess I'll get some aloe vera gel from somewhere18:28
darsieI stole some kind of hypochlorite tablets from a fountain year ago. Are they good for making sanitizer?18:33
darsielarge white tablets18:33
python476darsie: .18:34
darsie.18:34
python476fun to see covid bringing people together18:34
pwr22!cases italy18:34
dunnpno darsie 18:34
pwr22!cases us18:34
dunnpyou dont want to put bleach on your hands18:34
python476!toysr us18:34
darsieok18:35
mefistofelesonly on your eyes18:35
mefistofelespython476: how? where?18:35
darsieBut isn't it used in swimming pools?18:35
dunnpdarsie: yes but it is very dilute - 3-5ppm18:35
pwr22Hmm, in terms of overall stats italy is doing better than the US ๐Ÿ˜ฎ18:36
Specin my country, it would seem coronavirus is a purely partisan issue18:36
mefistofelesno surprise there, tbh18:36
Specis that true in other countries?18:36
pwr22And it still stinks and burns your eyes18:36
pwr22!cases china18:36
Specpwr22: i used aloe vera gel and ethanol18:36
pwr22!cases germany18:37
pwr22That's my plan!18:37
mefistofelesand some vodka18:37
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +1502 cases (now 109686), +33 recoveries (now 60760) ๐Ÿ”ถ Italy: +1492 cases (now 7375), +33 recoveries (now 622) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Edmonton, Alberta, Canada: +2 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +1 cases (now 49) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +4 cases (now 173) ๐Ÿ”ธ Pakistan: +1 cases (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Russia: +2 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +3 cases (now 469) ๐Ÿ”ธ Fort Bend County, TX, US: +3 cases (now 6)18:41
pwr22!cases diamond18:43
pwr22Woops, that's a divide by 018:43
LjLhere is an italian-language informal paper warning that the growth of ICU cases fits an exponential curve very well and this week will see complete saturation of ICU beds https://cattiviscienziati.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Esponenziale-1.pdf18:49
aradeshchina managed to slow it down though18:50
mefistofelesLjL: for the region/city or for the whole country?18:50
pwr22China also managed to build hospitals in like a week18:51
pwr22I'm not sure anywhere else can / is pulling that off?18:51
pwr22I haven't really heard about us building any facilities to deal with it here in the UK ๐Ÿ˜Ÿ18:51
LjLmefistofeles, no reason to think the rest of the country won't follow, since the curves are already spiking, but they aren't targeting a region in particular18:52
aradeshhttps://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/coronavirus-vaccine-race-volunteers-to-be-infected-in-the-uk-ck0s72x8k18:53
pwr22LjL: has Italy managed to setup any new facilities to augment the amount of beds to help with the virus?18:53
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 17:46 UTC: /u/slakmehl: BBC Breaking News su Twitter: "Italy coronavirus death toll soars by 133 in a day to 366, as millions adapt to widespread travel restrictions https://t.co/9CMyhEcU5X" โ†’ https://is.gd/4d5KEV18:54
LjLpwr22, they are doing it, but obviously struggling18:54
LjLoh right, it's past toll update time :(18:54
LjL%cases italy18:54
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Italy, there are 7375 cases, 233 deaths (3.2% of cases), 622 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 18:50:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.18:54
LjLbut same number of deaths?18:55
LjLthat's... suspect18:55
LjLapparently, no, there are 133 new deaths, which is... staggering18:56
LjL%wa (233+133)/737518:57
BrainstormLjL, Wolfram|Alpha ((233 + 133)/7375): Decimal approximation: 0.049627118644067796610169491525423728813559322033898305084... โ†’ https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=%28233%2B133%29%2F737518:57
pwr22!cases italy18:57
pwr22What's that calculate?18:58
Birosso%wa wolfram alpha18:58
BrainstormBirosso, Wolfram|Alpha (Wolfram Alpha): Company information: name | Wolfram Alpha company type | privately held corporation status | active location | Champaign, Illinois, United States website | www.wolframalpha.com โ†’ https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=wolfram+alpha18:58
BirossoOkay, that didn't return what I expected at all.18:59
BirossoOr maybe it did.18:59
Birossopwr22 It's the percentage of total deaths of total infected.19:00
pwr22Ah19:00
BirossoSo assuming the data is correct, it used to be:19:00
Birosso%wa 233/737519:00
BrainstormBirosso, Wolfram|Alpha (233/7375): Decimal approximation: 0.031593220338983050847457627118644067796610169491525423728... โ†’ https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=233%2F737519:00
BirossoNow it's what you see above.19:01
python476I find the covid event even more alarming politically than on other axis19:02
python476I mean remember Dec 19 when.. nothing of that sort was remotely in peoples minds19:02
python476how such a small bubble is causing globalism cardiac arrest19:03
LjLBirosso, well, no, it was higher, because it was less than 7375 cases before. but the result was 3.5%. so it just skyrocketed to 5% somehow19:04
LjLit was already much higher than expected19:04
LjLi don't know when it's planning to stop rising19:04
BirossoLjL, didn't you just say deaths stayed the same but infected increased?19:04
BirossoOh.19:04
BirossoIGNORE EVERYTHING I SAID TODAY!19:05
LjLBirosso, initially, because the data had deaths missing19:05
Spechello Birosso 19:05
BirossoMeanwvhile in my university, in which 23% of students are from China, it's business as usual.19:05
BirossoWarning material has been distributed and certain restrictions on conferences have been implanted, but lectures and such are still going.19:06
BirossoHI SPEC!19:06
BirossoIt's a good thing nothing more I need to attend. Not because of Corona, but because lectures are so boring.19:07
LjLSpec, meanwhile my sister is here because she somehow locked herself outside of her apartment after meeting her boyfriend and... i don't even. how do i spell "STAY THE HELL AT HOME" to her19:07
SpecBirosso: stay safe :)19:07
BirossoSpec: Easier said than done. :)19:07
SpecLjL: i'm not sure you'll get through to her, it would seem19:07
LjLshe puts herself at risk, and my parents too by coming here19:08
BirossoItalian stubbornness. Reminds me of Egypt.19:08
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +21 cases (now 109707), +141 deaths (now 3799) ๐Ÿ”ถ Italy: +133 deaths (now 366) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +1 cases (now 64) ๐Ÿ”ธ Edmonton, Alberta, Canada: +2 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +1 cases (now 49) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +1 cases (now 24) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +8 deaths (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 cases (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ireland: +2 cases (now 21) ๐Ÿ”ธ Latvia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Luxembourg: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Portuga19:08
LjLwell, i guess now it fixed the deaths19:08
aradesh:/19:08
aradeshso many19:08
aradeshwhy are people stockpiling toilet roll?19:08
aradeshbecause they think they'll be stuck inside for months?19:09
python476yes19:09
python476and basic hygiene stuff is stupidly critical I guess19:09
Specmonths is a long time19:10
BirossoThis continent (Europe) used to be highly-dependent on newspapers for that purpose.19:10
BirossoCrazy how things change, huh?19:10
pwr22I feel like there's a bit of a herd mentality around the toilet roll thing19:10
BirossoThere are parts of the world where toilet rolls aren't on anyone's mind.19:11
azyshould we store water?19:12
BirossoI drink tap water.19:12
azyyeah i mean containers, to store tap water19:12
BirossoYou expect running water to be affected by this?19:12
azyive no idea19:12
BirossoI mean, not in terms of contamination. I don't know anything about that. But the flow.19:13
azyi store food, but no water19:13
BirossoWhere do you live?19:13
azyengland19:13
BirossoAnd do you normally drink tap water?19:14
BirossoOr are you fine with drinking it?19:14
azyi filter it, but yeah im fine with tap water19:14
BirossoThen I would say storing water is not at all necessary.19:14
BirossoIf things deteriorate to a point where running water... stops running.19:14
BirossoWe would have far bigger problems at that point.19:15
BirossoWhat's the situation like in England, though? Are a lot of people doing what you're doing?19:15
BirossoI mean storing, preparing for the worst?19:15
azyim not sure what would have to occur, but a few containers would have me not reliant upon externalities for water19:16
azyerm, we're bulk buying toilet roll apparently19:16
BirossoI can't stop laughing at this.19:17
LjLBirosso, there are parts of the world that have bidets, although it appears that maybe this virus will be exterminating them19:17
BirossoLjL, wait.19:17
aradeshi only have 9 toilet rolls. that won't last me long19:17
azya roll lasts me like a month19:18
BirossoLjL19:18
aradeshtoilet rolls last me ages, when i mostly use the toilet at work19:18
BirossoMay I post an Amazon link here/19:18
SpecLjL: concidence? i think not19:18
aradeshbut if i was stuck at home all day...19:18
LjLwater and electricity weren't suspended in Wuhan. i don't see why they would be19:18
LjLBirosso, i suppose so19:18
Birossohttps://www.amazon.de/Fdit-Persรถnliche-tragbarem-Handreise-Bidet-Kapazitรคt/dp/B07DG2V6PD/ref=sr_1_16?__mk_de_DE=ร…Mร…ลฝร•ร‘&keywords=intimpflege+wasser&qid=1583691496&s=drugstore&sr=1-1619:18
BirossoThis thing is a life-saver.19:18
BirossoBidet or not.19:19
BirossoDon't worry. Contrary to what its appearance might suggest at first glance, there is no insertion involved.19:19
BirossoThe final picture to the left is particularly instructive.19:20
azyseems like you'd blast shit everywhere, and still need toilet roll19:21
LjLBirosso, i'm going to assume your original country also has bidets then.19:22
BirossoLjL, not bidets, but jets built into the toilet.19:22
Birossoazy, no it's quite handy.19:22
LjLBirosso, ah right, i read about that19:22
azyhow do you dry?19:22
LjLdedicated towels19:22
BirossoYaes.19:22
BirossoYou can also use toilet paper19:22
Birossobut then it's just optional.19:22
BirossoIt's definitely better with toilet paper/towels, but19:23
Birossoyou're not as reliant on them.19:23
BirossoIf the jet is strong enough, it's not absolutely necessary to dry afterwards. You can just... wait it out.19:23
LjLyeah it's not like we normally *don't* use toilet paper. it just feels pretty eww to me to think of leaving the bathroom without using the bidet. i've mentioned this before to Americans or other people who don't have bidets, and sometimes they've said "i just time it so i take a shower right afterwards". that seems... fine, if you're so very good at timing it?19:24
BirossoIn any case, I think it would be safe to say without further investigation that you would end up with fewer, uh, poop particles left on your exterior skin than with other methods that don't involve water.19:24
BirossoRiiiiiiight... shower afterwards.19:24
BirossoGot it.19:24
underscoreHi. I have a bidet, too!19:25
BirossoDo you not have any of these built-in jets in Italy, LjL?19:25
BirossoThey're really very convenient.19:25
BirossoWelcome to the club.19:25
LjLBirosso, to be fair, based on papers i've read about the coronavirus and toilets, those particles are probably more likely to end up where you'll breathe them with a bidet, though ;( although they manage just fine even with just the flush toilet, apparently19:25
LjLBirosso, no, the only time i've seen one was a hotel with a very small bathroom where a bidet didn't fit19:26
BirossoWas it better or worse than a bidet?19:26
LjLunderscore, yes, greece and partly spain are pretty much the other EU countries that use them19:26
BirossoI just looked up the issue...19:26
Birossohttps://nypost.com/2018/04/13/airplane-toilets-might-soon-come-with-a-trendy-butt-spray/19:26
Birosso"Trendy butt spray"19:26
BirossoBAHAHAHAAH19:26
LjLBirosso, i don't remember very well, but it felt kinda worse19:26
LjLit might just not have been good, though19:26
LjLBirosso, this must be good https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/83/Wireless_toilet_control_panel_w._open_lid.jpg19:27
BirossoMy favourite are the hand-held ones, actually.19:27
BirossoUnnecessary.19:27
Birossohttps://i.ytimg.com/vi/6OSDKHiwZm8/hqdefault.jpg19:28
BirossoThis thing.19:28
BirossoWow, I just read the text on the image.19:28
BirossoThat's even worse than butt spray.19:28
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:21 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF19:29
dunnpnever used a bidet19:31
BirossoI commend your bravery in coming forward.19:32
LjLBirosso, i think in India and some other countries it's more common to have a "shower head" similar to that, attached to the toilet19:32
LjLBirosso, basically we all use water-based butt cleaning except for "the west", if you consider countries like Italy to be closer to yours than to the west :P19:32
BirossoProbably the same thing. It's just semantics at this point.19:32
BirossoI do, I very much do.19:32
BirossoItaly is the closest European country to Egypt that I can think of.19:33
BirossoIn both good and bad ways.19:33
LjLBirosso, i can't say i feel closer to Egypt than to France or Spain, though...19:39
LjLmind, i mostly feel close to people on the internet who aren't complete assholes. it kind of transcends country.19:39
BirossoLjL19:40
BirossoDo you mean YOU can't19:40
Birossoor are are you talking about Italy?19:40
LjLi can't, but i also suspect most other italians would say the same19:40
LjLadded mostly a few Italy-specific links19:40
BirossoWell, that doesn't surprise me. But then again19:41
Birossohow much do "other Italians" know of Egypt?19:41
BirossoI mean, I don't know that much about Italy, but I have spoken with Italian people before.19:41
BirossoBoth over the internet and back in Alexandria.19:41
BirossoAnd we've had lengthy conversations about this and other subjects.19:42
LjLBirosso, they probably don't know very much at all... which doesn't help making them feel any closer19:42
BirossoThe point I'm trying to make is, someone who has lived in one country a whole life might view the world differently from someone who has been around, might overlook a few things or fail to view certain things... at a fundamental level.19:42
LjLBirosso, when i've talked to spaniards, that's when i've been like "sure, exactly the same here" the most, instead of "oh, really? that's weird". fwiw.19:43
LjLbut i haven't really talked to that many people19:44
BirossoOh, I am realising now that once again I wasn't reading very carefully.19:44
BirossoI thought we were talking about the issue of whether Egypt is at all similar to Italy.19:45
BirossoNot whether Spain or... whatever you mentioned above is closer.19:45
LjLBirosso, i am talking about perceptions. actual similarities, i don't feel i have the knowledge to say anything about19:45
BirossoAnyway, let's not continue this conversation here, if at all. I feel like we might be potentially bothering someone by going off topic.19:46
LjLokay19:46
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:45 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Oregon declares emergency; Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF19:47
LjLi am... extremely tense, even after taking some benzos19:49
LjLBirosso, https://twitter.com/epsilon3141/status/1236007745297539074 maybe you understand this better than i do, but i'm scared even without understanding it19:51
LjLalso, https://twitter.com/Renegade_Masta/status/123605434092379750919:52
BirossoLjL, you see the dotted line? It's a projected trend based on the data up to day 61.19:54
BirossoYou can see how the trend is much steeper now with the two new data points added.19:54
LjLi see. R1 and R2 are possible factors that determine how steep the curve will be?19:55
BirossoNo, no.19:55
BirossoThey are an indication of how, uh, easy it is to explain the correlation between the dependent and independent variables.19:56
BirossoYou can just ignore it completely here.19:56
BirossoFor more on that, look up "Regression analaysis R squared value."19:56
LjLi'll pass for now19:57
LjLi think i'd like to just switch off my brain for the next, i don't know, two months19:57
LjLoptimistically19:57
LjLBirosso, yesterday i was banned from r/italy for complaining that they had removed and locked the threat that talked about the quarantine. then, i posted about in on r/coronavirus and it was also removed, on the ground that it "had already been posted", except the previous posts were all somehow relegated so low they wouldn't be seen by anyone. also i tweeted about it, and mysteriously my tweets went from a normal, say, 100 to 300 views (1000 when there's 19:59
LjLa big earthquake), to one or two, or zero19:59
TimvdeLjL: Oh snap, today's numbers in Italy20:01
LjLTimvde, really :(20:01
TimvdeAny statistics on the demographics?20:03
LjLTimvde, yeah, off the top of my head, average age of dead was 81. that number's from some days ago though. i have more data.20:04
jiffeaverage or median?20:05
pwr22!cases italy20:05
LjLwell, or i would if i could find the press release again20:05
pwr22Huh, the death rate has gone up quite a bit20:05
pwr22!cases china20:06
LjLyeah20:06
TimvdeYea, 133 deaths today20:06
pwr22The recovery rate in china is promising at least20:06
LjLTimvde, for starters, i have this press release containing some demography data, which is... ridiculous https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=it&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.iss.it%2Fen%2Fcomunicati-stampa%2F-%2Fasset_publisher%2FfjTKmjJgSgdK%2Fcontent%2Fid%2F5288119%3F_com_liferay_asset_publisher_web_portlet_AssetPublisherPortlet_INSTANCE_fjTKmjJgSgdK_redirect%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.iss.it%252Fcomunicati-stampa%253Fp_p_id%253Dcom_liferay_asset_publishe20:07
LjLr_web_portlet_AssetPublisherPortlet_INSTAN20:07
LjLugh i did it again20:07
LjLhow about https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=&sl=it&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.iss.it%2Fen%2Fcomunicati-stampa%2F-%2Fasset_publisher%2FfjTKmjJgSgdK%2Fcontent%2Fid%2F5288119&sandbox=120:07
TimvdeSorry, this URL is invalid20:08
Timvde!cases world20:09
LjLTimvde, the first one was cut off, use the second one20:09
Timvde%cases world20:09
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +36 cases (now 109743), +1 deaths (now 3800) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 20) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +1 cases (now 64) ๐Ÿ”ธ Edmonton, Alberta, Canada: +2 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +1 cases (now 49), +1 deaths (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +1 cases (now 24) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +8 deaths (now 19) ๐Ÿ”ธ Germany: +22 cases (now 1040) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 cases (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ireland: +2 cases (now 21) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 cases (now 174) ๐Ÿ”ธ Spain: +12 cases (now 620:09
LjLTimvde, and also, more demography, this https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=&sl=it&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.iss.it%2Fen%2Fcomunicati-stampa%2F-%2Fasset_publisher%2FfjTKmjJgSgdK%2Fcontent%2Fid%2F528616620:09
Timvdeoh, it was just slow20:09
BrainstormTimvde: In all areas, World, there are 109743 cases, 3800 deaths (3.5% of cases), 60760 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 20:03:11 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=World for time series data.20:09
BrainstormTimvde: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 1.2% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 5.9% (considering only deaths and recoveries).20:09
Timvdeljl: yes, the second one20:09
LjLTimvde, retry, it works for me...20:09
TimvdeOh. Oops20:10
TimvdeMy bad, weechat stuff :p20:10
BrainstormNew from BBC Health at 19:11 UTC: Coronavirus: NHS will get whatever it needs, says chancellor: The chancellor says he is also considering more support for businesses and individuals in an epidemic. โ†’ https://is.gd/tViYeG20:22
Tangent-Man[m]!cases uk20:30
Tangent-Man[m]!cases italy20:30
twomoonshi ljl20:31
LjLhi20:34
twomoonsdo you think anyone escaped the quarantine and headed south?20:35
zirpu[m]i'm flying to Houston, Tx tomorrow for a funeral.  i sure hope I don't end up in quarantine when I get back to Seattle, WA.20:35
LjLtwomoons, yes20:38
Birossoazy, have you seen this cartoon the bot just linked? :D20:38
zirpu[m]shopping in costco the other day it seems relevant. :-\20:39
azylmao20:39
BirossoWhy toilet paper? Of all things, why toilet paper?20:39
azyi would never have thought of stocking up on toilet roll. total luxury item20:39
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:34 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Oregon declares emergency; Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF20:39
zirpu[m]ppl are shitty. ;-)20:39
BirossoI'm just trying to find out whether people are being manipulated into buying them by someone(s) who stands to make a profit, or if this is a cultural thing, or whatever it may be.20:40
BirossoOf all things... toilet rolls! I can't stop laughing.20:40
zirpu[m]it's one of those things you don't want to run out of, at least in the US.20:40
zirpu[m]i bought a huge thing of TP and papertowels 2 years ago at costco, still haven't run out. :-)20:41
twomoonsi don't get the rush for TP20:41
zirpu[m]panic buying.  ice cream is probably all sold out too.20:43
jiffeI'd rather run out of TP than ice cream :)20:45
zirpu[m]papertowels have more use.  the can be used as coffee filters, or even made into masks.20:46
twomoonstp is maybe for entertaining guests20:46
ryoumait probably started in one place, which might bea  cultural thing, and then maybe others took up the idea, or it is just the first non-perishable that comes to mind20:46
twomoonsyou don't wanna be locked down having guests over and not have TP20:47
ryoumain war zones, supposedly bathtub stoppers go20:47
zirpu[m]i'm guessing it's from the prepper culture.20:47
twomoonsi bet people are planning on extended lockdown and gonna have family bbqs and other events20:47
twomoonsneed TP for those20:47
ryoumawe will get loads of nonsensical papers writing about it20:47
twomoonslol20:47
zirpu[m]the flying saucers are using their mindcontrol beams to make people buy more TP.  they own the companies. :-)20:47
ryoumatp symbolizes the (long word the author does not understand) (another long word) (more long words) of the (ideological dogmatic word) etc.20:48
zirpu[m]terrible theories, i've got them. 20:48
zirpu[m]i recall there was some ML thing that generated "research" papers that were actually accepted by some publishers.20:48
ryoumayes20:48
twomoonsi guess many PhDs in economics will be granted after researching the TP run20:49
ryoumaalso sokal and sokal squared20:49
zirpu[m]yes, that was it. thanks!20:49
ryoumayou can clean stuff up with tp too20:50
ryoumathose were not ai20:50
ryoumathere was an ai thing though20:50
ryoumawasn't as famous20:50
twomoonsmaybe ppl use TP to clean their glasses 20:50
aradeshinternational womans day... violence...erm... :P20:58
mefistofeleswtf?20:59
aradeshwas just refering to the notice from the bot20:59
aradeshwhich is apparently on the coronavirus stream20:59
LjLguardian makes some interesting connections sometimes21:02
twomoonsi with they would put Rome on lockdown too just preemptively21:03
twomoonsthe streets are already becoming empty as it is21:03
aradesh%covid uk21:08
Brainstormaradesh: In all areas, UK, there are 273 cases, 2 deaths (0.7% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 15:23:10 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=UK for time series data.21:08
Brainstormaradesh: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.2% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 9.5% (considering only deaths and recoveries).21:08
twomoons%covid it21:09
Brainstormtwomoons: In all areas, Italy, there are 7375 cases, 366 deaths (5.0% of cases), 622 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 19:03:04 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.21:09
twomoonsso do we need to add back in the recovered and dead?21:10
twomoonsshould it be 366/(7375+366+622) ?21:10
twomoonsthat would be 4.37%, vs. ~5%21:11
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 20:07 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Shimon Prokupecz su Twitter: "Approaching 500 - There are 496 cases of the novel coronavirus in the United States, according to the state and local health agencies, governments and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention." โ†’ https://is.gd/enYytN21:12
tinwhiskerstwomoons: then you'd be double-counting those people. The number dead from the number infected is the correct approach at the end of an epidemic but during an epidemic it has problems with the lag time between infection and death.21:15
tinwhiskersThere's no easy solution without detailed cases data so you kinda just have to live with it.21:16
twomoonsso 7375 includes dead ppl?21:16
tinwhiskersThey were counted in the 7375 number before they died. You don't want to add them in again when they die.21:16
twomoonsoh ok21:17
twomoonsi think you overexplained it to me lol21:17
twomoonsand made me more confused momentarily21:17
tinwhiskersSorry :-)21:17
twomoonsi just can't believe the 5% figure21:17
twomoonsthat seems utterly absurd21:17
tinwhiskersAnd you shouldn't21:17
twomoonsit doesn't jive with how the US is responding to it21:18
twomoonsUS is still not taking it very seriously and treating it as kinda like a bad flu21:18
twomoonslike a 0.5% death rate or something21:18
tinwhiskersThat seems pretty low21:18
tinwhiskersActually in Italy a death rate of 5% might not be far from true21:19
twomoonswe don't know the age statistics21:20
twomoonsbut if it infected an retirement home or something i could see that21:20
tinwhiskersWe do broadly. it's got quite an old population21:20
twomoonsbut we saw in the US how it went undetected in washington and first reared its head at a elderly care facility21:21
tinwhiskersAverage age in Italy is 45 and 38 in the US21:21
twomoonsoh wow21:21
tinwhiskersThere was no testing done so it's not surprising they didn't find any21:22
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +43 cases (now 109814) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +5 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +4 cases (now 29) ๐Ÿ”ธ Poland: +3 cases (now 11) ๐Ÿ”ธ Spain: +30 cases (now 673) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tunisia: +1 cases (now 2)21:25
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 20:20 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Oregon declares emergency; Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF21:25
ryoumai am really skeptical about these numbers.  where i live there are almost no test kits period and nobody is being tested.  it seems implausible that the cases are remotely as low as the numbers being reported.21:43
ryoumasomebody pleasec orrect21:43
ryoumaif this is poor reasoning21:43
tinwhiskersryouma: where's that?21:44
darsieI wasn't tested because I didn't have cv symptoms.21:44
ryoumaus sw state21:44
BirossoThat's sensible. The numbers aren't projections or predictions (these ones aren't at least).21:44
BirossoSo the only "numbers" you'll see are confirmed cases.21:44
BirossoAnd not every single human on earth is being tested every day.21:44
tinwhiskersryouma: yeah, it's probably a lot higher then :-)21:44
BirossoSo yes, the reported numbers are almost certainly lower than the actual number of people infected, but that applies to everywhere.21:45
ryoumalow average age could be even worse if it means yong folk don't take it seriously and go out and get infected and bring it back?21:45
BirossoTo varying degrees.21:45
tinwhiskersryouma: maybe21:45
ryoumarhetorical quesiton: what can i asy to my gf to only do shopping, and get some supplies?  she works at home but isn ot taking it seriously.  (i am bedridden with many health conditions including lung, will get it if she does)21:46
_io_we have NO IDEA how many are infected.21:46
tinwhiskersWell we do have some idea21:46
_io_wait I don't understand. what do you want her to do or not do, ryouma?21:46
ryoumatake more prcautiosn to not get infected21:47
ryoumashe is not young either21:47
_io_"I would like if you would please take more precautions to not get infected"21:48
_io_?21:48
ryoumaalso if she gets it adn goes to hospital, i die -- no food.  and if i get it i die -- cannot go to hospital for health reasons.21:48
ryoumai don'tthink she would listen21:49
_io_hum. get more food if you can.21:49
_io_why doesn't she listen ryouma?21:50
ryoumajust her nature21:50
_io_oh. time for a new gf :(21:51
ryouma"highly attractive man seeks new gf.  bedridden.  really like long walks under moonlight but cannot do.  must watch moonlight on videos."21:52
ryouma"must be hygienic"21:52
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 20:51 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: Ten die at collapsed China quarantine hotel โ†’ https://is.gd/K6gUKv21:53
ryoumado hotels really collapse that frequently21:53
_io_ryouma I wouldn't eliminate a potential partner just due to being physically disabled. a lot of girls wouldn't.21:53
ryoumasrsly?21:54
_io_you might be surprised. we are not all trifling hoes lol.21:54
_io_yes srsly21:54
ryoumaintroduce me :)21:54
ryoumait requires taking care of me -- bringing me food cleaning etc.21:55
tinwhiskersryouma: it seems there's about one multi-storey building collapsing in China each year, roughly.21:55
ryoumahmm21:55
_io_oh. you don't have a care taker. well that is more than a gf isn't it.21:55
_io_I don't think I'm ready for that responsibility. but we could hang out and watch Netflix and cuddle and stuff maybe.21:56
ryoumayeah, used to have one but gf too busy to find another.  but gf never cleans ever.  so kinda  a lot of dust.21:56
_io_I mean if we got along and are compatible like geographically and politically.and everything.21:57
ryoumaright21:57
_io_why don't you find another21:57
_io_why is this all your gfs Job do you pay her?21:57
ryoumai am too sick to do the ad, interviewing, etc.; she is too busy; she is keepign me alive and i am certainly grateful; we are trying to get a helper but has not occurred.21:59
_io_you're not too sick..I can see that by how much you chat. by the way you can do the interview on IRC or some other tool like it.22:00
ryoumaoccasional messages on irc to the apparent contrary notwithstanding22:00
_io_your messages on IRC aren't occasional.22:00
_io_you've written way more than an ad worth of content. you've chatted here this afternoon enough that you could have done an interview.22:01
_io_I think you should take control of your own fate ryouma.22:01
_io_do you want help?22:02
_io_I'll proofread and edit any ad you write.22:02
ryoumai'd rather not go into health details.  i agree it looks possible.  i agree with the concept of control of own fate.  it was my error to allow the conversation to get to this point.  eerything i do requires significant recovery. and what you see really is misleading.22:02
_io_I don't want you to die if your gf has a bad day or something ryouma.22:03
_io_try to get more people ok.22:03
ryoumakind of you.  ad is written however; it is going through responses etc. that is ont possible for gf much less me.22:03
_io_what are your disabilities? where do you live?22:04
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +58 cases (now 109872), +1 deaths (now 3802) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +3 cases (now 12) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +5 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iceland: +3 cases (now 58) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +14 cases (now 39) ๐Ÿ”ธ Maldives: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 cases (now 176) ๐Ÿ”ธ Poland: +3 cases (now 11) ๐Ÿ”ธ Spain: +30 cases (now 673) ๐Ÿ”ธ Tunisia: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ US: +13 cases (now 497), +1 deaths (now 21) ๐Ÿ”ธ 22:05
ryoumano clue what to do to get more people.  would like a real support network.  but there are many intersecting impossibilities that to even describe wuld take toom uch out of me.  also rsi inhibits this conversation right now.  i appreciate your concern.  i just don't  any solutions, and would come across like i am rejecting solutions if you suggewted them, du to the intersecting impossibilities.22:06
LjLhe did say he didn't want to get into the details of his health situation, i think we should respect that22:18
_io_oh sorry22:19
_io_ryouma you should pm me and come to my channel.22:20
_io_pm if your interested.22:20
python476https://www.dpz.eu/en/home/single-view/news/die-vermehrung-von-sars-coronavirus-2-im-menschen-verhindern.html22:32
LjLwell... we're certainly primates, i can only say that much22:33
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 21:19 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Oregon declares emergency; Washington state weighs mandatory measures to contain outbreak โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF22:33
twomoonsljl did you get another one of your posts erased?22:37
twomoonsin the reddit amazon group?22:38
LjLuh? my post on r/amazon got erased?22:38
twomoonsoh maybe your post had no body22:38
twomoonsnevermind22:38
ubLIXjust throwing this at LjL in case it's something not already seen: https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-1922:40
LjLtwomoons, my post has a body the way i see it from here22:42
LjLubLIX, thanks, no, i wasn't aware22:42
LjLtinwhiskers make want to integrate that data, if not, i will probably do it on my bot22:42
python476ionizing ?22:44
LjLtalk about overkill22:44
python476oh electric dispenser22:44
LjLmaybe you should clean that mold on the sink instead :P22:45
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ US: +33 cases (now 517), +1 deaths (now 21) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +3 cases (now 12) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Toronto, ON, Canada: +1 cases (now 28) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +5 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +1 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Gibraltar: +1 recoveries (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iceland: +3 cases (now 58) ๐Ÿ”ธ India: +3 cases (now 43) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +14 cases (now 39) ๐Ÿ”ธ Maldives: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +1 cases (now 176) ๐Ÿ”ธ Poland:22:45
python476I wanted to make a plasma sanitizer22:45
python476brb22:45
python476ant invasion22:45
LjLalso i would lol at the electric... setup... but mine isn't much better. UK people would scream at seeing that22:45
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 21:41 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: US cases top 500 as Oregon joins list of states declaring emergencies โ†’ https://is.gd/fInTMF22:47
twomoonsljl i don't see a body23:14
twomoonsit says '[removed]'23:14
LjLwell that's great23:14
twomoons'Site to periodically.....keywords?'23:14
twomoonsand then '[removed]'23:14
LjLtwomoons, well i'll just conclude that Reddit is a [censored]23:18
twomoonslol23:18
twomoonsreddit is full of shit now23:18
twomoonsi guess if you become persona non grata in one channel of reddit you have rights taken away in other parts of reddit too 23:19
twomoons'you can post a title but we'll remove the body'23:19
twomoonswtf23:19
LjLsubreddits, not channels23:21
LjLalso they removed it because it was a "question"23:21
twomoonsoh sorry i didn't know the lingo23:21
LjLtheir policy seems asinine23:21
twomoonsbut why can you not see that it was removed on your end?23:22
LjLbecause reddit has shady things like shadowbans23:23
LjLi can see it as removed from an incognito tab23:23
twomoonsman that's fucked up23:23
BirossoBecause it's usually people who spend inordinate amounts of time on the internet that become moderators, admins, and what have you, and they are more likely to not be well-adjusted individuals.23:24
twomoonslol23:25
BirossoYes.23:25
twomoonsthat is pretty true imo23:25
LjLthat sounds like yours truly23:27
BirossoOh no, I totally wasn't pointing at anyone in particular there.23:29
LjLBirosso, you think you're subtle but your sarcasm is as big an elephant in the room as Milan was "oh no there are probably no cases there even though it's where everyone in Lombardy goes to" until last night23:31
BirossoIf I wanted to be subtle, I wouldn't have sniggered!23:31
LjLBirosso, i meant before that part. after that part, you only "sniggered" to check whether i would niggardly consider that an unacceptable word.23:34
fructoseShared this before, but not sure anyone saw it... https://www.military.com/daily-news/2020/02/08/senators-tour-fort-detricks-usamriid-after-funding-withheld.html23:34
BirossoOh, so THAT is what you meant.23:34
BirossoI didn't, though.23:34
LjLBirosso, excess laughing releases aerosol droplets that may carry the virus. if you were here, that would be punishable by law now.23:35
fructose"Department of Defense withheld a combined $104 million in payments from the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases at Fort Detrick and the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Chemical Defense at Aberdeen Proving Ground."23:35
fructose'"Whether we're dealing with anthrax or we're dealing with Ebola, we need to have that capacity," he said. "And we were alarmed by the action of the Department of Defense that held up monies for these critically important programs and jeopardizes their mission."'23:36
fructose8 Feb 202023:36
BirossoWhy was the money withheld?23:37
BirossoWhat's the official reason at least?23:37
fructoseRead the article23:37
BirossoYou didn't link an article!23:37
BirossoOh23:37
BirossoYou did.23:37
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +31 cases (now 674), +2 recoveries (now 32) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +3 cases (now 12) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Toronto, ON, Canada: +1 cases (now 28) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +2 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +5 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +1 cases (now 25) ๐Ÿ”ธ Gibraltar: +1 recoveries (now 1) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iceland: +3 cases (now 58) ๐Ÿ”ธ India: +3 cases (now 43) ๐Ÿ”ธ Israel: +14 cases (now 39) ๐Ÿ”ธ Maldives: +2 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ No23:38
LjLBirosso, don't touch your face, that can infect you23:39
LjLduh, have everybody been saying these things for nothing all along?23:39
aradeshhttps://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51796072 :/23:39
BirossoLjL, if you knew how many things I have to do these days...23:39
aradesh3rd death in UK now23:40
BirossoI have no space in my brain to worry about epidemics.23:40
aradesh%corona uk23:40
BirossoTonight is the calm before the storm.23:40
aradesh%covid uk23:40
Brainstormaradesh: In all areas, UK, there are 273 cases, 3 deaths (1.1% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 23:03:10 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=UK for time series data.23:40
BirossoHmm-mmm.23:40
aradeshi guess it's probably gonna get more and more over the coming days and weeks23:42
aradesh"Whitehall plans for the worst" is the main headline on the front of the Sunday Times. A source involved in contingency plans is quoted as saying that "experts" believe 100,000 people could die from coronavirus across the UK - a figure that was not reportedly challenged by Downing Street.23:43
aradeshthat would be a lot of people23:43
LjLthat would be a lot of people indeed, but i tend to find most estimates unrealistic... by virtue of being too low23:44
LjLso at least someone's being realistic maybe23:44
aradeshdo you think 100,000 sounds realistic?23:44
aradeshthere haven't been that many deaths world wide yet23:44
LjLif a vaccine or a very effective antiviral is developed between now and the time 100k people are projected to die, then they won't23:44
LjLotherwise, yes i think it sounds realistic23:44
BirossoWell, there are over 6 billion people on the planet.23:45
LjLaradesh, that's because so far it has only reached its peak in China, where they managed to make it taper off thanks to the so-called draconian measures23:45
LjLthat won't happen in Europe, least of all in the UK23:45
LjLItaly is already showing that the quarantine order isn't actually working23:45
LjLpeople are violating it all over the place23:45
aradeshso china is actually successfully containing it?23:45
LjLBirosso, 8, keep up with the numbers23:45
BirossoLjL, WHAT?23:45
LjLaradesh, either that, or they're lying. my take is they're successful23:46
BirossoWe're at EIGHT now?23:46
LjLBirosso, no, 8 billion.23:46
aradesh7.53 according to google23:46
BirossoYes!23:46
BirossoThat's...23:46
BirossoI was still fixed on the 6 I learned about years ago.23:46
LjLBirosso, ... something that requires a huge pandemic to take care of?23:46
aradeshgonna get to bed. 'night23:46
LjLBirosso, the problem with numbers you learn in school is that they change23:46
LjLaradesh, night23:46
BirossoI'm really dreading a lockdown.23:47
LjLBirosso, for instance, Spain had a $6000 per capita income when i was in middle school, i remember that from our textbook, whereas italy had $13000. now spain is building metro station at a speed that's so fast, the average italian takes longer to blink23:47
python476Birosso: you're in italy too ?23:47
BirossoIf it somehow happens in Germany, I'll be in a precarious situation.23:47
BirossoNo, no.23:47
BirossoIn Germany.23:47
BirossoBut you know, Europe.23:47
LjLBirosso, you will have a lockdown, everywhere will have a lockdown23:47
BirossoSMALL!23:47
BirossoOkay, I need to happen after the 6th of March.23:48
BirossoI mean of April.23:48
BirossoNot before.23:48
LjLi will go with your initial request23:48
LjLgranted!23:48
BirossoSTOP!23:48
LjLtoo late23:48
LjLBirosso, nah you're young, you won't die23:48
BirossoIt's not the virus.23:48
LjLyou'll just struggle between life and death with only partly broken lungs for the rest of your life23:49
BirossoI recently got offered an internship at a firm that's EIGHT HOURS away from where I am, so I'm forced to move. Since I don't own any house or any place where I can store things here, I find myself once again having to reduce the entirety of my belongings to one or two travelling bags. In addition to that, I have two exams near the end of the month. I also need to go extend my visa before 23:52
Birossothe end of next month. To top it all off, I'm currently involved in a lawsuit because my current, soon-to-be previous, employer did not compensate me as agreed. Add to that the fact that I still haven't signed a contract for a new apartment, even though I'm supposed to move out in 20 days, because I don't have enough money for a deposit, something for which I am currently working 8 hours 23:52
Birossoaday in additional to everything mentioned above.23:52
LjLBirosso, people who were graduating in March in Milan have had their graduation session held over Skype.23:52
BirossoI think all this is going to kill me before the virus does, if ever.23:52
BirossoI don't even want to attend my graduation. I'll die a happy man if I never have to see any of the people I attended university with every again.23:53
LjL:(23:53
BirossoMechanical engineers aren't pleasant people.23:53
BirossoI know because I am one.23:53
LjLyou're a small sample23:53
python476sample of 223:54
python476Birosso: AvE is the exception then ?23:54
BirossoNo, mechanical engineers are notoriously dickish.23:54
BirossoAt least here in Germany, and back in Egypt.23:54
python476the youtube guy, in case you don't know him23:54
BirossoI don't know him.23:54
ubLIXBirosso: notoriously? i met some quite charming people when i trained as mech eng23:55
BirossoWhere?23:55
ubLIXedinburgh23:55
python476a canadian doing videos about whatever in his garage, failure mode of screws or whatever23:55
python476funniest dude on earth or almost23:55
BirossoLike I said, I was mainly speaking from experience, my own and of people I have met and discussed this with, about certain countries.23:56
python476Birosso: you now know where to move :D23:56
BirossoUh, no. I can do a lot better as an engineer here in Germany than in England.23:56
BirossoEven though my English is MUCH better than my German.23:56
python476friendly colleagues is worth a few millions23:56
python476Birosso: so IIUC you're from egypt originally23:57
BirossoYaes.23:57
python476I see your english is bad too :p23:57
BirossoYaes.23:57
python476I heard germany is looking for a lot of engineers so yeah it's probably a good place to find work23:57
BirossoYรคs.23:57
python476Yรคโ‚ฐ23:58
BirossoPeople I know (WHO GRADUATED HERE!) don't even get asked for their grades 90% of the time.23:58
python476go make Tesla gigafactory run smoother, elon needs tips23:58
BirossoYou just say you graduated as a mechanical engineer from X, and if X is a reputable establishment, you get invited to an interview.23:58
python476Birosso: you mean it's like "you're alive ?" "yes.." "hired"23:58
BirossoThere is a *desperate* need for engineers.23:58
python476I see23:58
python476I get a lot of that from my college23:59
python476then I interview and people expell me from their building23:59
python476but I had great grades !23:59
python476._.23:59
BirossoSLOW DOWN!23:59
BirossoWHAT did you study?23:59
BirossoWHERE did you study it?23:59
python476programming, Paris FR23:59
python476not mech eng23:59
BirossoWell, programming isn't mechanical engineering.23:59
BirossoI'm talking purely in terms of supply/demand.23:59
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