libera/##covid-19/ Tuesday, 2020-03-10

freebobby[m]ugh steve munuchin is fucking gross00:00
freebobby[m]oof this is not inspiring confidence00:02
slash_LjL just be glad that Italy does not have a 4 year election cycle where it takes 2,5+ years to form a government00:02
LjLyeah instead we have a new government every six months on average00:03
LjLfast turnover key to success00:03
slash_LjL at least you actually have a government, sorry Belgians00:03
LjLthey seemed to be doing better than we were when they had no government and we had one, though00:04
LjLmaybe we should have a trial on having no governments00:04
LjLor maybe the coronavirus will take care of that for us when it starts hitting MPs00:04
slash_LjL I suppose it is hard to fuck up when you can't pass laws00:04
freebobby[m]* spray paints a circle A on wall00:05
freebobby[m] * *spray paints a circle A on wall00:05
LjLthat's no how you do a /me00:05
LjLnot*00:05
slash_Belgium is so democratic it has 7 governments, with varying sovereignty00:07
freebobby[m]riot has changed in the last 4 yrs00:07
tinwhiskers%data lombardia00:08
Brainstormtinwhiskers: In Lombardia, Italy, there are 4189 cases, 267 deaths (6.4% of cases), 550 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 18:00:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Lombardia for time series data.00:08
slash_btw00:10
slash_it might get interesting when all the old fucks in US congress get this virus00:10
slash_what happens when they die?00:10
slash_is there a vice-senator?00:11
slash_or something00:11
ubLIXdevolution to sovereign city states!00:12
dunnpno vice senators00:12
dunnpspecial elections or the governor assigns one00:12
tinwhiskersInterestingly even Iran is starting to show signs of tapering off, but Italy is only getting worse.00:13
slash_dunnp alright, and for the lower house?00:13
dunnpsame deal00:13
dunnphouse might be all special elections with no appointments00:14
slash_dunnp yeah makes sense00:14
dunnpThe Constitution requires that member of the House be replaced only by an election00:14
slash_dunnp I mean they're old bastards, surely a process is in place when they die00:15
slash_dunnp so most likely special election when a representative dies? or only after their term ends?00:16
tinwhiskersnot a good time for an election00:16
dunnpwhen they die00:16
slash_dunnp alright00:17
slash_dunnp that seems more democratic that our system tbh00:19
dunnpwhere slash_?00:19
slash_dunnp here the "follow up" can take their place, no new elections00:20
slash_dunnp netherlands00:20
dunnphmm00:20
slash_but, I suppose in general it is a small issue, not a lot die in office I suppose00:20
LjLtinwhiskers, you didn't really need to fix the timezone you know, it was a joke. anyway, do we trust iran's numbers now?00:21
LjLtinwhiskers, one thing i've seen about Iran *and a number of other countries* (mainly Asian ones) is many scenes of workers cleaning streets, signs, walls, everything with something sprayed (water, disinfectant, i don't know). it's never been explained to me, despite being shown on TV innumerable times... but those seem to be the countries where things have tapered off, somehow00:22
slash_dunnp it has not happened in my lifetime afaik, but with this virus a lot of these old people can die00:24
slash_and be replaced00:24
dunnphappens pretty often here00:27
slash_dunnp well you have way more representatives00:29
LjLtinwhiskers, https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/irans-coronavirus-problem-lot-worse-it-seems/607663/00:29
slash_also, they are much older00:29
dunnpwe really should have more to make it more representative00:29
dunnpequally00:29
dunnpthe wyomingy problem00:29
dunnpwyoming*00:29
slash_dunnp are you telling me a 75 year old mildly demented white guy does not represent the whole of the United States?00:31
dunnpheh00:31
yuriwhothis looks like really good preliminary news http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-02/17/c_138792545.htm00:32
LjLyuriwho, it was posted earlier. chlorequine is a name i've had in mind for a few days... but i guess there was no hard data on how well it worked00:34
slash_dunnp sorry man, I am not a political scientisit, idk wtf I am talking about or how to solve these issues in the US00:35
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 23:28 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: Coronavirus symptoms 'take five days to show' - BBC News โ†’ https://is.gd/qN2aNg00:35
yuriwhoI expect a preprint in JAMA/NEJM/Lancet or other top medical journal soon00:35
slash_dunnp all I can say is that from my perspective things do not seem very healthy in the US00:35
dunnpI don't disagree00:36
LjLtinwhiskers, some oddity, Italy's deaths numbers was 366 yesterday, then it became 463 today, but went back to 366 now... either we have fonud a VERY effective treatment, or the data are uppity :P00:36
LjL%cases italy00:36
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Italy, there are 9172 cases, 366 deaths (4.0% of cases), 724 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 00:25:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.00:36
LjLcases and recoveries seem rigth00:36
slash_LjL I've said this before.. but I really hope the EU will create a fund to support the nations hit by this viurs00:39
slash_virus*00:39
dunnpyuriwho: that would be a strange use for that drug based on mechanism00:39
LjLslash_, government almost makes it sound like a gift that they allow us to miss the budget targets for the year00:39
yuriwhoactually there is also good data rationalizing the mechanism00:40
LjLi have some feeds from the EU in my bot in ##EU... maybe i've been distracted, but i don't think i have seen any press release or anything from the EU about this00:40
dunnpyuriwho: link?00:40
slash_LjL I hate politics for situations like this...00:40
slash_LjL Italy is taking severe measures to protect themselves, but also the rest of Europe00:41
yuriwhohttps://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/03/06/covid-19-small-molecule-therapies-reviewed00:41
dunnpty00:41
slash_LjL I hope the EU can come together and give relief to the nations who do this much00:42
slash_it is only fair00:42
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 23:39 UTC: Trump floats payroll tax cut, other financial relief amid coronavirus outbreak: President Donald Trump on Monday said he will be meeting with Senate and House Republicans on Tuesday to discuss "a possible tax relief measure" that would provide "a timely and effective response to the coronavirus." โ†’ https://is.gd/QiAOLN00:42
LjLslash_, the measures aren't nearly severe enough, and also, the measures that were taken the other day resulted in a lot of people fleeing Milan, likely to go back to their home towns in other parts of Italy, resulting, most likely, in further spread of the epidemic. and for what? now they're under the same quarantine rules again.00:43
yuriwhoso the primary lit ref is: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(06)70361-9/fulltext00:43
LjLand people were ignoring the orders to stay put and partying and stuff... i think many, many people here are being completely irresponsible about this00:43
slash_LjL well my point was not too judge Italy's response, but just to point out that the whole is in this together00:45
slash_LjL But00:45
LjLslash_, yes, but i'm wondering if there is a "whole" in the first place, given the tepid EU institutional reaction00:45
slash_LjL you must point out where your government is failing00:45
slash_LjL yes, I do not like this either00:46
slash_LjL the EU is showing no leadership at all atm00:47
LjLi'm afraid this epidemic will bring us back to a state where there's more separation, not more unity00:47
LjLbut let it be known that i am consistently a pessimist00:47
slash_LjL I hope not, but yes, I fear you are right00:47
slash_LjL it is exactly the time when the EU should operate as one entity, but we are not doing that00:48
slash_LjL Italy is left to its own devices00:49
BirossoWhat is causing separation in Italy?00:50
freebobby[m]<LjL "but let it be known that i am co"> ive noticed this quickly lol00:50
slash_LjL why is there not EU response to this pandemic?00:50
LjLslash_, when China was in trouble, countries sent masks and other medical aids (not truckloads of money, mind, but definitely stuff that was needed) to China. but then they realized that had resulted in *them* lacking them when the problem started hitting here. now they are unlikely to do the same "mistake" with Italy, imo00:50
slash_LjL yes, Germany and France have blocked exports of masks, also to the Netherlands while we are in dire need00:50
BirossoI don't know about the rest of Europe, but Germany is actually starving for doctors.00:50
LjLwhat we need now is ventilators. many of them. why is the EU not sending us ventilators? easy, because each country thinks they'll need them.00:50
BirossoI know people from back in Egypt who are now living and working in Germany just because they learned the language. (And have a medical degree from Egypt)00:51
BirossoIs there a shortage of doctors in Italy as well?00:51
LjLyes and no00:51
slash_LjL that is true.. it seems like once again it is every nation for itself00:51
LjLyes, there is a shortage of doctors who are paid to work as doctors00:52
freebobby[m]i think icu space is the larger concern Birosso 00:52
LjLno, there is not a shortage of people with a medical degree00:52
tinwhiskersLjL: I see. It's still showing as 463 on the time-series graphs. I must have mucked something up by adding those regions into your data. I'll check it out.00:52
slash_LjL if we cannot work together properly in a crisis like this, what is even the purpose of the EU?00:52
BirossoLjL: Is it because the average quality of graduates is low?00:53
LjLslash_, i don't know. i've started progressively losing my enthusiasm about the EU long ago... around 2004, when it was expanded, in my opinion, way too much and with way too much deceit in terms of what the people who voted to join in referendums in those countries expected of the EU00:53
BirossoOr lack of positions/jobs or funding to set up practices?00:53
LjLBirosso, lack of money, or rather, progressive removal of money from the healthcare budget00:54
BirossoAnd where is the money going off to?00:54
LjLBirosso, some would say the EU :P00:54
LjLbut not really00:55
LjLwe are just in recession since 200800:55
LjLmuch of the rest of the EU kinda sorta steered back towards growth00:55
LjLwe didn't00:55
BirossoOne thing I like about the current dictatorship in Egypt is that they're not at all afraid to flaunt the money they've been stealing and show what they have been buying with it.00:55
slash_LjL yeah, same here, the EU expanded way too fast..00:56
tinwhiskers%data Italy00:56
Brainstormtinwhiskers: In all areas, Italy, there are 9172 cases, 463 deaths (5.0% of cases), 724 recoveries as of Mon Mar  9 19:13:11 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.00:56
slash_LjL but, is my country helping yours now?00:57
LjLslash_, maybe in subtle ways, i wouldn't fully know00:57
LjLtinwhiskers is helping my country00:58
LjL%pizza tinwhiskers00:58
LjLsorry about the offal but it's a local thing y'know, we'd be offended if you refused00:58
contingoOK00:59
slash_LjL well afaik we are not helping Italy at all00:59
BirossoOff, that made me hungry.00:59
contingowhat am I doing00:59
contingothere's too many microdecisions to be made00:59
Birossocontingo: What ARE you doing?00:59
contingoidk00:59
tinwhiskersLjL: each time it gathers data it starts from the base John Hopkins daily data, then goes around the other sources looking for more recent data. It must have failed to find anything higher than 366 when it went around that time due to one of the servers not responding.00:59
contingoI need a strong authoritarian government to decide for me00:59
LjLtinwhiskers, yeah i thought it was probably hopping through sources00:59
slash_LjL maybe throught some legally mandated EU programs, but we do nothing additionally of our own free will01:00
LjLcontingo, i'll give you iran's government if you give me a decision on whether to buy a dodgy oxygen machine01:00
contingoI can't resolve that one for you, I can't even decide what country to base myself in01:00
tinwhiskersLjL: I could make it not allow any numbers lower than it's own previous scan, but that wouldn't allow for legitimate corrections to the data.01:00
LjLslash_, let's be fair though, in italy we're all scared (except for the idiots who keep partying) and focused on our numbers, and barely even talking about what the EU is or is not doing. meanwhile, France, Germany, Spain and so on, if they aren't stupid, are probably also looking at their data with very worried faces. it's kind of natural.01:01
tinwhiskerstricky01:01
darsie%data austria01:01
Brainstormdarsie: In all areas, Austria, there are 131 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 2 recoveries as of Mon Mar  9 19:33:03 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Austria for time series data.01:01
slash_LjL I suppose you are correct, we are fearful for our own nations atm01:02
Birossoslash_: If I may ask, what is your nation?01:02
slash_LjL but this is going to affect the whole of the EU, we should have an EU responsive for this01:03
LjLtinwhiskers, maybe you could remember the previous number and just reject "new" data if it suspiciously happens to match the previous number... but maybe it's a bit overkill and you can just ignore this01:03
BirossoOn a somewhat unrelated note: The German minister of health's Twitter page is being bombarded by school students demanding that all schools be closed because of the virus.01:03
BirossoIt's hilarious.01:03
slash_I am from the Netherlands Birosso01:03
BirossoTo be fair, he did make a statement saying he trusted the general public to "act responsibly."01:04
BirossoIt has left people a bit confused on some matters.01:04
tinwhiskersLjL: yes, but say JH put an erroneous number in their data and then later corrected it downwards my end would ignore the correction and stick with the incorrect but higher number.01:04
slash_Birosso the only thing that will make the public "act responsibly" is fines and punishment tbh lol01:05
tinwhiskersI could make it that if it fails to get data from any source then it will stick to its old number if they are higher.01:05
tinwhiskersthat'll fix it. I'll do that.01:05
LjLtinwhiskers, that sounds reasonable assuming failures to respond are uncommon01:05
Spec โ€œGood for the consumer, gasoline prices coming down!โ€01:07
Birossoslash_, I agree. I find it disconcerting that the minister of health said something like that.01:07
BirossoPeople demanded that action be taken. That was the gist of his response.01:08
LjLBirosso, it's the gist of our government's response too. "you may be fined if you transgress the quarantine, but we all know that's unlikely to happen, so please just don't do it out of your staunchly italian sense of responsibility"01:09
BirossoIt's one thing to say there is no cause for alarm/need for action as things currently stand, but to say that the situation is potentially dangerous and that you intend to depend on the average citizen knowing what to do...01:09
LjLwell, both things seem silly and wrong01:09
LjLso they have that in common01:09
RougeRLjL, welp01:12
RougeRhows it goiiing01:12
LjLBirosso, hearsay currently is that in Rome and Naples, people are currently queuing in front of 24h supermarkets, before tomorrow's restrictions begin01:13
LjLeven though there is no notion of those restrictions including availability of food01:13
LjLso people are just stupid01:13
LjLRougeR, the above may give you clues01:13
LjLnot so well01:13
BirossoWell, in the former case you can claim that you are monitoring the situation closely and can decide when drastic action is necessary. That's more acceptable considering the general public doesn't have access to the data that you and the ministry have.01:13
RougeRaye01:13
BirossoSo that's *more* acceptable than the latter case.01:13
RougeRwhat was italys case number 2 weeks ago?>01:14
contingoRougeR how's your pal in the hotel01:14
LjLRougeR, something like 30001:14
RougeRcontingo, back in london01:14
RougeR2 negative tests01:14
contingoah good to hear01:14
RougeRstill gotta quarantine for 14 days01:15
contingohe can get it later on with the rest of us01:15
RougeRkinda pointless considering he had a public flight n tube journey home01:15
RougeRaye01:15
RougeRONE OF US01:15
RougeRim waiting for china to be the early recovery (full on)01:15
RougeRand then become no.1 global superpower01:15
RougeRthis is it01:15
RougeRLjL, 01:16
RougeRyep01:16
RougeRmy parent still want to go to france in like a week01:17
RougeRi mean its ferry and camepervan01:17
RougeRand staying on farm01:17
RougeReh w/e ill just have the house to myself01:17
RougeRself isolation with a huge field and 4 floors01:17
RougeRhuehuheu01:18
RougeRthe people here still dont think it will happen in uk or france01:18
RougeRfrance/uk have exactly the same growth01:18
RougeRthey are just 1-2 weeks behind01:19
contingowe'll probably catch up faster because our governments will do less, more slowly01:20
python476Italy is extending its coronavirus quarantine measures to the entire country (bbc.com)01:20
python476fun01:21
LjLthey announnce plans to combat... coronavirus fake news?01:21
LjLnot coronavirus?01:21
LjLpython476, you're about several hours late to the party, i insta-translated the whole PM speech01:21
python476LjL oh that's what you were writing 01:22
python476I thought you were having a deep chat with contingo or something01:22
RougeRLjL, obviously "fake news" fucks us all01:22
RougeRbut anyone who believes it deserves a corona award01:22
python476LjL: sorry I was real busy 01:22
RougeRwah01:23
RougeRpart of me wants to fuyck off back to bristol01:23
RougeRleast i could just stock up on weed01:23
RougeRLjL, 01:24
RougeR0 confirmed cases in my country ;)01:24
RougeRtechnically01:24
python476population: 101:24
RougeRnah01:25
RougeR100k01:25
LjLno i believe that's tinwhiskers's country01:25
RougeRLjL, nope01:25
RougeRzero 01:25
RougeRi live in jersey atm01:25
RougeRwe are an island state with out own government01:25
LjLor at least the queen likes you to believe that01:25
RougeRahahaha01:25
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 00:16 UTC: It takes an average of 5 days for coronavirus symptoms to show, new study says: Researchers from Johns Hopkins found that 97.5% of people infected with the new coronavirus will show symptoms within 12 days of catching the virus. That's in line with current CDC recommendations that call for patients to remain in [... want %more?] โ†’ https://is.gd/S0FVbY01:25
RougeRguensey has it!01:25
RougeRhttps://www.itv.com/news/channel/2020-03-09/first-case-of-coronavirus-confirmed-in-the-channel-islands/01:25
RougeRnot stronk jersey01:26
RougeRLjL, i do wonder if we go full pandemic if UK gov step in01:26
RougeRtechnically they are responsible for defense01:26
LjLprobably better off if they don't01:26
RougeRaye01:26
LjLbut if they do i'm sure they will combat coronavirus fake news until the very last one of them has fallen01:26
RougeR"'The Bailiwick is extremely well prepared and used to managing infections and we are already working rapidly to identify any contacts to contain any further spread."01:27
RougeRHAHAHAHAHAHA01:27
RougeRthe channel islands fucking shut down with a light snow01:27
RougeRthey spent 5 years trying to decide on a site for a new hospital01:27
RougeRchina built one in 2 weeks01:27
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +27 cases (now 114341), +1162 recoveries (now 63805) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +14 cases (now 80753), +1156 recoveries (now 59898) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 recoveries (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chongqing, Mainland China: +7 recoveries (now 542) ๐Ÿ”ธ Heilongjiang, Mainland China: +4 recoveries (now 434) ๐Ÿ”ธ Liaoning, Mainland China: +1 recoveries (now 110)01:28
contingothat's why I liked holidays there. always got extended for days due to fog or high seas01:28
RougeRaye, wwe have had many days of storms this year01:29
LjLcontingo, i'd always root for snow on the day we had to come back from the mountains01:30
LjLbut that was back when we had snow01:30
RougeRLjL, i get so pissed off at the "clean your hands" shite01:32
RougeRyeah i'll just cart around a kitchen sink through town, in my car, at work01:33
RougeRalcohol based is so much more plausible01:33
LjLuh well they do tell you to clean your hands, not necessarily wash them01:35
BirossoLjL: This winter I am filled with smug satisfaction at the disappointment of most people around me at the lack of snow.01:35
BirossoIt's a very intense Schadenfreude.01:35
RougeRLjL, what do you mean01:35
LjLbut washing them is preferrable when possible, mainly because hand sanitizer has become so valuable...01:35
RougeRLjL, you mean impossible to buy due to stockpiling01:35
RougeRmost people dont need it unless coming into contact with the vulnerable01:36
LjLmost people don't need... hand sanitizer? is that what they're telling you now?01:36
RougeRLjL, no im saying01:36
RougeRmost people are not going to die from this and are not going to spend lots of time around the vulnerable01:36
LjLwhat will the WHO say next, that the threat of pandemic is "now almost completely definitely real"?01:37
RougeRthose who are should have priority01:37
LjLRougeR, anyway, hand sanitizer can be made at home. i've tried and failed, but it *should* be easy.01:37
RougeRLjL, they are already saying hand sanitizer is not as good as hand washing and you dont neeeeeeeeeeed it01:37
RougeRLjL, should be01:37
RougeRif i could access rubbing alcohol...01:37
RougeRwhich no where has stock off and because its a flammable material i cant order overseas01:38
LjLRougeR, it is not as good as hand washing for some purposes, but for cleaning off viruses, it's pretty good, also, as you said, you can't carry a sink with you, and that's when you're supposed to use hand sanitizer, not when you're at home01:38
RougeRi agree01:38
RougeRwhich is why it annoys me. when they keep pushing us to wash our hands..01:38
RougeRand im around my dad who has no immune system01:38
RougeRand he cant get any01:39
LjLRougeR, well, here the hand sanitizer problem hasn't been so terrible. it's quite bad, mind, but pharmacies started making their own, they should be able to find enough alcohol and water01:39
RougeRhmm they have not started here01:39
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 00:33 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: China reports 19 new cases, Italy locks down entire country โ†’ https://is.gd/pGAqjy01:39
RougeRim suprised places havnt01:39
RougeRlol Brainstorm 01:39
LjLmaybe being such a small island does have its cons01:39
RougeRaye, many01:39
RougeRi dont like living here tbh, was just back for few months01:40
LjLi'm sorry about your dad. my sister is taking immunosuppressants so we're quite worried for her01:40
RougeRIm sorry for her too :l01:40
RougeRi have seen some signs (and it may be bro-science) of them being used to treat01:40
LjLRougeR, it's all pretty confusing... too little immune system is bad, too much immune system is bad. but at least, yeah, i can be like, "we don't really know so let's stop fretting so damned much"01:41
RougeRLjL, yeah thats what im seeing as well01:41
RougeRand its not simple. one biologic might help, another hiunder01:42
RougeRhinde01:42
RougeRLjL, 01:43
RougeRwhat does your sister take?01:43
LjLcyclosporin01:43
RougeRmy dad is on azathioprine, my mum keeps insisting he is not at more risk01:43
RougeRand they "arnt going to stop living their lives"01:43
RougeRahh l01:43
RougeRkk01:43
LjLwell, our emergency law explicitly states people who are immunosuppressed should stay at home as much as possible01:43
LjLnow we know politicians make pretty bad doctors01:44
LjLbut fwiw01:44
RougeRyeah01:44
RougeR:l01:44
LjLthe "aren't going to stop living their lives" denial is something i hear so often too01:44
RougeRLjL, i agree01:44
RougeRfucxking ugh01:44
LjLespecially from my parents, even now, even after they realized i was right ages ago when i was telling them we'd end up where we are now01:44
LjLwell, not ages ago, weeks ago01:44
LjLbut i could see it, they couldn't, and eventually they realized it01:45
RougeRim not even being like, just stop going out01:45
RougeRbut i quit my job working part time at a bar01:45
LjLbut *still* if i tell them *now* we need *further* restriction, then the "we can't stop living!" refrain starts again01:45
RougeRcause lol serving drinks, serving food n clearing plates01:45
LjLRougeR, at least you had access to alcohol thoguh01:45
RougeRtrue01:45
RougeRLjL, lol this place is full of alcoholics01:45
RougeRthatll be the real killer01:45
RougeRyoull see people shaking in the street from DTs haha01:46
contingoLjL have you read up on cyclosporin coronavirus-specific stuff01:46
RougeRLjL, but yeah, idk if thery should go to france01:46
RougeRive said for them to decide the day before01:47
RougeRits a ferry + a campervan01:47
RougeRso relatively low risk infection wise, but potential risk of getting locked down01:47
RougeRwouldnt be end of the world, they could stay with my uncle on his farm01:47
RougeRso yeah i guess, eh01:47
contingohe farms too?01:48
contingowhereabouts in France01:48
LjLcontingo, no, kind of assumed there wouldn't be any tbh01:50
contingoit had been proposed as a potential treatment for SARS via two different mechanisms01:50
contingowith some research done01:50
contingocan't find anything covid-19-specific01:51
RougeRcontingo, oh it aint active01:51
RougeRits an old farm01:51
RougeRorchards n some pigs01:51
contingoLjL some info suggesting it inhibits coronavirus replication, and also inhibits the cytokine death spiral immune over-response thing01:52
RougeRcontingo, its maybe 30 miles east of bordeaux01:52
LjLcontingo, the most dangerous thing about my sister taking it, at the moment, is that... tomorrow... she's supposed to go to the hospital that's treating her and see her doctor. that hospital almost certainly has COVID-19 patients. other hospitals have suspended all ambulatory visits, but somehow that one hasn't. she wants to go anyway.01:52
RougeRLjL, whats the appt for?01:53
contingooh, nice, I also have family a bit further east of Bordeaux... east of Libourne01:53
LjLcontingo, i'll let my parents know, it makes *me* at least a bit distressed about her taking it01:53
RougeRahh nice, i dont actually know that region01:53
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test) at 00:44 UTC: Potential Disastrous Ramifications of Coronavirus in the US: By all indications thus far, the outbreak of coronavirus is likely to be a huge disaster here in America. The preparations that the U.S. government is taking are totally inadequate, and the virus threatens to completely overwhelm the entire U.S. medical [... want %more?] โ†’ https://is.gd/ggIu8C01:53
RougeRnever visited, i was meant to be going soon01:53
LjLRougeR, just as a checkup on how the cyclosporin is working, and any adjustments or taper offs, i think. something she could be doing over the phone, IMO, if the hospital simply allowed it.01:53
LjLshe's taking the thing for atopic dermatitis, so it's not necessarily a lifelong treatment01:53
RougeRcontingo, ive seen that too01:53
RougeRLjL, yeah it sounds like it01:54
RougeRwha01:54
RougeRid get off it01:54
RougeRi mean i dont know her01:54
RougeRbut doesnt seem worth risk01:54
RougeRmy dads got ulcerative colitus, shits blood01:54
LjLRougeR, she looked *bad*. like she had burns all over her skin. she looks a lot better now.01:54
RougeR:L01:54
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +46 cases (now 114387), +7 recoveries (now 63812) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +44 cases (now 668) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 recoveries (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +7 recoveries (now 59905) ๐Ÿ”ธ Westchester County, NY, US: +15 cases (now 98)01:54
RougeRfair enough, sounds bad01:54
RougeRi have eczma, i cant imagine how much more that hurtsd01:55
LjLshe had to take leave from work because she was just spending the day scratching herself, couldn't focus on anything. she actually refused to take the thing initially, thinking it was dangerous, and resorted to "natural" treatments...01:55
RougeR:l01:55
LjLwhen those didn't work, she started taking the cyclosporin, just as the COVID-19 thing emerged.01:55
LjLperfect timing01:55
RougeRahh fucker01:55
LjLbut then again, maybe it really *is* perfect timing if this thing can treat COVID-19 as it can seemingly treat SARS01:56
RougeRyeah im not bnanking on it, but ive seen similar01:56
LjLher white blood cell count was okay when she checked, so that's good i guess01:56
RougeRyeah my dads was mena be too01:57
RougeRi just ughh i hate how my parents try to lie to me01:57
RougeR"doctor said he wasnt going to be more at risk"01:57
RougeRno.01:57
RougeRyou mean "he isnt more likely to catch it"01:58
LjLyeah, slight difference there01:58
RougeRbut is more likely to have worse symptoms01:58
RougeRyeah01:58
RougeRthey tried to make out i was being silly or some shit01:58
RougeRi think they are trying to make me feel better01:58
RougeRbut i dont feel *that* bad, i feel better if they take it with the correct amount of respect01:58
RougeRmy mother is one of those eternal stubborn optimists01:59
RougeRi sent her some exponential math to sober her up01:59
RougeRLjL, translation?02:00
RougeRhttps://lab.gedidigital.it/gedi-visual/2020/coronavirus-i-contagi-in-italia/02:00
RougeR50% in hospital?02:00
LjLRougeR, not sure where you're seeing that 50% figure but... yeah, i believe so02:01
RougeRhttps://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/ffymiw/italy_now_9172_infected_and_463_dead_733_serious/02:01
RougeRtop comment02:01
RougeRbut i cant read italian02:01
python476soon italians wont be able to read italian either02:02
RougeRhuehue02:02
RougeRsooo02:02
RougeRwhat i want to know02:02
RougeRwhat is the fatality rate without treatment02:02
python476I think we should all draw a red cross on ever door02:02
python476and call allc ountries big hospitals02:02
LjLRougeR, pretty much every "standard" figure of this disease is doubled in italy, and even worse in lombardy02:02
LjLthere *is* an explanation we're being given by the media02:02
LjLbut i'm not sure how fully i believe it02:02
RougeRwhats explanation02:02
RougeRhonestly we dont see much about italy here02:02
RougeRother than infected bnad02:03
LjLwhich is that italy has decided early on to only test symptomatic cases, so they don't swab asymptomatics02:03
RougeRbad02:03
RougeRbut if you are asymptomatic....02:03
LjLthat makes the numbers artificially look bad02:03
RougeRyou dont have it02:03
python476a doctor in bergamo wrote a thing on reddit02:03
LjLthat's not true02:03
RougeRwell02:03
RougeRthey wont know02:03
python476apparently they anticipated 02:03
tinwhiskersmmm. Other places are doing that too.02:03
python476hopefully it will be enough02:03
LjLif you are asymptomatic you 1) may go on to develop symptoms, 2) may infect others02:03
RougeRright...02:03
python476made me want to go help hospitals02:03
RougeRsoo....italy has more cases02:03
RougeRbut a lower death rate?>02:03
LjLRougeR, if you are asymptomatic, you are usually swabbed when you're a contact of someone who has tested positive. but not in italy. but really... i'm not so sure this matters anymore when the numbers are this big. who's doing contact tracing at this point?02:04
LjLso i am personally more inclined to believe that, for whatever reason, our numbers are just genuinely bad02:04
LjLbut i'm reporting what we're told02:04
RougeRLjL, UK is still02:05
LjLRougeR, italy has a very high death rate according to the numbers... *if* we believe the theory that a lot of asymptomatics are simply not being tested, then the death rate goes back to something more expected. but definitely not lower.02:05
RougeRLjL, mmm02:05
RougeRdoesnt italy also have a very high avg age02:06
RougeRi know it doesnt fully explain it02:06
RougeRbut might add in02:06
LjLRougeR, yes, they also point out to us that our death rate *by age group* is lower than china's02:06
RougeRmm02:06
RougeRLjL, dw02:06
LjLbut that doesn't make me feel a whole lot better02:06
RougeRUK is next02:06
RougeRout health service is02:06
RougeRF U C K E D02:06
RougeRits utterly broken02:06
LjLour health service is modelled on the UK's02:06
LjLso good luck02:06
RougeRits been underfunded and understaffed for 10 years02:06
RougeRLjL, nono02:06
LjLyeah, same here02:06
RougeRyou havnt had the tories02:06
LjLwe've had berlusconi02:07
RougeRehhh pish02:07
LjLand the 2008 recession that never ended02:07
RougeRwhats your pm like theser days02:07
RougeRwe are stuck with johnson :l02:07
tinwhiskersthe UK looks like it has another week or two to get it's shit together, so that's a better position than Italy at least :-/02:07
LjLthe current government is a strange mess of people who don't really go along with each other02:07
tinwhiskers*its02:07
RougeRtinwhiskers, i mean i guess02:08
RougeRbut not really02:08
tinwhiskersheh02:08
LjLthe PM himself is... seemingly okayish, i guess02:08
RougeRwe wont get our shit together02:08
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +17 cases (now 67760), +16 deaths (now 3024), +1097 recoveries (now 47585) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 recoveries (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +16 deaths (now 3136), +7 recoveries (now 59905) ๐Ÿ”ธ Guangxi, Mainland China: +4 recoveries (now 234) ๐Ÿ”ธ Shandong, Mainland China: +3 recoveries02:08
RougeRits the tory party.02:08
RougeRLjL, hmm interesting02:08
RougeRyou have your 5 * clowns around still?02:08
RougeRalways reminds me of02:08
RougeRhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7WYFLlxGbA02:09
RougeRhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cinque_Terre02:09
RougeRhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_Star_Movement **02:11
RougeRwrong link lol02:11
LjLRougeR, the PM *is* from 5 stars, although he kinda distanced himself in some ways, and the whole movement has lost most of its consensus and is fighting from within02:16
LjLbut meanwhile, the Democratic Party also split02:16
LjLif elections were held today, the far right would almost certainly win02:16
LjL(i mean even regardless of the virus)02:16
BrainstormNew from Gazzetta Ufficiale italiana at 01:09 UTC: DECRETO-LEGGE 9 marzo 2020, n.14: Disposizioni urgenti per  il  potenziamento  del  Servizio  sanitarionazionale in relazione all'emergenza COVID-19. (20G00030) โ†’ https://is.gd/l1Cevx02:20
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +72 cases (now 114438), +85 recoveries (now 63897) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +36 cases (now 704) ๐Ÿ”ถ South Korea: +35 cases (now 7513), +81 recoveries (now 247) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 recoveries (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 recoveries (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +1 cases (now 80754), +16 deaths (n02:21
RougeRLjL, hmmm sounds complicated02:26
RougeRi know some bits of it02:26
RougeRLjL, the italy wide quarantine02:27
RougeRwhat about tourists currently there?02:27
LjLthe actual law has not yet been made public, so technically i don't know, but i expect similar arrangements as for the previous quarantine, which did involve the place with most of the international airports anyway02:28
LjLand that was that tourists can freely go back, as long as they find a flight, considering ryan air for example has stopped them all02:28
RougeRhmmm interesting02:28
LjLalitalia has no longer been flying in and out Malpensa, which i believe is italy's busiest airport, since the initial quarantine02:29
LjLlimited flights to/from Milan Linate02:29
RougeRits all very dystopian02:29
LjLi suppose Rome has the most flights right now02:29
RougeRwe hope to be joining you in this dystopia in a few weeks dont worry02:29
LjLwell i had a few dystopian scenarios in my mind for the future, but this one i wasn't taking into much account02:29
LjLalthough, the great thing is02:29
LjLall the other scenarios are now much more likely to come true!02:30
RougeRwooooooooo02:30
LjLthe economy will tank, people will be under more surveillance, countries will be more fragmented02:30
LjLfreedoms, like of movement, will be more restricted, etc02:30
RougeRand coronavirus will mutate at the worst possible (best) time02:30
LjLoh well we can *hope* it mutates, tbh02:30
RougeRi mean tbh yeah02:31
RougeRmakes it harder to spread02:31
LjLi was thinking of the version that makes it easier to spread but less lethal02:31
RougeRoh02:31
RougeRthat too02:31
RougeRlol02:31
LjLbut i guess that works too... *if* it manages to be the more successful version, which is however doubtful02:31
RougeRi was going more lethal02:31
LjLmore lethal would lose out02:31
RougeReither or02:31
LjLhence hoping a less lethal variant will win out02:31
LjLmind, that could still mean more people dead *total*02:32
LjLbut the virus per se isn't intent on killing us, just on replicating itself02:32
LjLso maybe we can get at a table with the virus and find some kind of arrangement02:32
RougeRi hear trump reckons he can do a deal02:33
RougeRand if not he will just walk away and refuse to give the virus the satisfaction of confirmed diagnosis02:33
RougeRLjL, any recommendations on stuff to buy from shops?02:33
LjLi hear johnso reckons you'll leave the virus, deal or no deal02:33
RougeRwhats in shortage where you are?02:33
RougeRhahaha LjL02:33
LjLeverything that is already in shortage where you are :P02:34
RougeRi imagine the best would be no deal + coronavirus!!02:34
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 01:22 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: There are now 727 confirmed cases in the US, and 27 deaths. โ†’ https://is.gd/CUUhoD02:34
RougeRLjL, other than hand sanitiser and rubbing alcohol and masks 02:34
RougeRnothing02:34
RougeRwe have no shortages02:34
RougeRi got like 3 weeks of tinned food over a few shops02:35
RougeRand some stuff to make bread02:35
mushhead2Canned food?02:35
RougeRand some paracetemol/ibuprofen02:35
RougeRmushhead2, yeh02:35
LjLRougeR, yes, right, drugs. have drugs. for multiple reasons.02:35
mushhead2Is paracetamol the same as acetaminophen02:35
RougeRLjL, alas no weed :/02:35
RougeRmushhead2, yes02:35
LjLmushhead2, yes, just as tinned food is the same as canned food!02:36
LjLmaybe i should write an english to english translator for Brainstorm02:36
RougeRhehe02:36
mushhead2I'm glad your wit is still intact ljl02:36
LjLmushhead2, thanks02:36
RougeRenglish to muricun02:36
LjLRougeR, actually, aside from that, there are still multiple reasons02:36
RougeRLjL, thats what im askingf02:36
RougeRwhat cant you get02:36
RougeRthat you would buy now02:37
LjLRougeR, face masks, hand rub, some disinfectants :)02:37
LjLbut you should look beyond what i can't get, because that's not the problem02:37
mushhead2Do you have a bidet ljl ?02:37
RougeRi have disinfectants02:37
RougeRhand san is gone02:37
LjLRougeR, 1) pharmacies are not going to be the safest place to be around, and 2) India is stopping export of drugs due to lacking components from China02:37
RougeRi have milton x 2l02:37
RougeRLjL, bleh02:38
RougeRmy drugs are not essential02:38
RougeRmy dad has 4 months02:38
RougeRi mean...im guna go through withdrawal without my meds, but meh. they wont give me more02:38
RougeRwont die02:38
LjLRougeR, good. well, i'd double up on the canned food, because right now i'm thinking the most dangerous thing here is going to become going grocery shopping02:38
LjLi don't think we/you will have *shortages* of food02:38
mushhead2Smart ljl02:39
LjLwhether it's going to be sound to go buy food, is another matter02:39
LjLand then some people say, since canned food isn't going to be the best nutritionally, get a nice balance of multivitamins02:39
LjLbut it's easy to go overboard and overresearch that stuff02:39
RougeRyeah i will look some more02:40
RougeRi dont food shortages either02:40
RougeRbut you might get bored of baked beans02:40
LjLalso your body might02:40
RougeRLjL, cant order from shops here too02:40
RougeRyeah i might get multivits02:40
mushhead2I hope you can stand hot dogs and baked beans for days at a time02:41
LjLhe's mostly british, apparently02:41
LjLsort of02:41
LjLhe should be fine02:41
mushhead2I practiced eating turkey hot dogs and baked beans yesterday02:41
LjLon the other hand, canned pizza is trickier to source02:41
mushhead2It wasn't as bad as I thought it'd be02:41
RougeRmushhead2, yuss02:42
RougeRcanned pizza....02:42
RougeRwat02:42
python476dark chocolate kills covid right ?02:42
LjLyes, exactly02:42
RougeRwait02:42
RougeRha02:42
python476i need a justification ~_~02:42
LjLdo you see my problem?02:42
RougeRyou jk02:42
RougeRLjL, well...02:42
RougeRi have stuff to make bread02:42
RougeRand tomatoe paste02:42
fructosehttps://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-03-06/covid-19-patient-dies-days-after-being-declared-recovered-101524580.html02:42
RougeRsooooo02:42
LjLat least, dry pasta doesn't go bad. the sauce kinda does.02:42
python476fructose: delicious choice of url02:42
LjLfructose, always the bringer of good news02:42
python476fructose: i suppose he was cleared of the virus but cytokines harmed too deep ?02:43
LjLi'd probably know if i could read the article without registeting02:43
python476paywall is life, paywall is all02:43
ubLIXturn off css and javascript and it gives you the text02:44
LjLubLIX, the one and only time having js off helped you!02:45
ubLIX:)02:45
LjLor not, depending on how scary the article is02:45
ubLIXyou want me to dpaste it?02:45
LjLwell02:45
LjLyeah02:45
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 01:44 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: South Korea reports 131 new cases, 3 more deaths โ†’ https://is.gd/pGAqjy02:48
mushhead2Can you shop without using cash ljl ?02:49
LjLyes02:49
mushhead2Nice02:50
LjLi can even use contacless, that's how incredibly advanced they are02:50
LjLproblem is, due to habit, i still hand my card to the cashier, who then "touches" it to the machine02:50
mushhead2I heard Germans still use cash a lot02:50
mushhead2I was thinking italians were like that and that some small grocers only accepted cash02:51
ubLIXsorry, debianpaste: https://paste.debian.net/113421602:51
ubLIXline wrapping is left as an exercise for the reader02:51
fructoseRelated article from same site: https://outline.com/egb9Td02:53
LjLmushhead2, we still use cash a fair bit, but card acceptance is almost universal now, partly due to laws mandating it02:54
mushhead2I'd love to pay without touching anything 02:55
LjLwell this article makes me feel pretty not very good02:59
LjLi can't load the outline.com one02:59
ubLIXsame @ outline.com02:59
fructoseLjL: It's a statistical outlier, but one thing that is unresolved is long-term effects03:02
LjLthis is more troubling to me than earlier rumors of re-infection... re-infection is bad news, but you can hope it rarely happens, and generally antibodies are developed and effective. but the virus actually staying in your body and being perfectly able to cause (deathly) relapses unpredictably? not a great life to live.03:03
fructosehttps://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-03-07/covid-19-relapse-mystery-may-be-linked-to-controversial-treatment-researchers-say-101525073.html03:03
LjLfructose, still, the article mentions "several" other similar cases. now that's certainly a bit vague but i get this creeping feeling these reports will start becoming more pervasive. we'll know soon enough, i guess. or not soon enough.03:05
mushhead2Don't get freaked out by corner cases03:08
LjLi'm not freaked out by corner cases... i'm freaked out by the known fact that many viruses do stay in your body and cause relapses, and that early evidence does seem to point to this virus being able to colonize the nervous system (where the immune system doesn't quite reach), and that the fact lungs are the most obviously hit organ doesn't mean this virus doesn't cause damage elsewhere that may be less immediately obvious03:10
LjLthese reports just add substance to what i feared based on possibilities03:10
fructoseLjL: Colonize the nervous system? Where's that from?03:11
tinwhiskersmay be a reference to chicken pox, but of course that is unknown here03:14
python476fructose: i saw reports hinting at this too03:15
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 02:08 UTC: Trump floats payroll tax cut, other financial relief amid coronavirus outbreak: President Donald Trump on Monday said he will be meeting with Senate and House Republicans on Tuesday to discuss "a possible tax relief measure" that would provide "a timely and effective response to the coronavirus." โ†’ https://is.gd/QiAOLN03:15
sneepinb4trump03:15
ubLIXfructose: some discussion of this idea: "The neuroinvasive potential of SARS-CoV2 may be at least partially responsible for the respiratory failure of COVID-19 patients"  -  https://sci-hub.tw/10.1002/jmv.2572803:16
LjLfructose, an italian epidemiologist from Temple University that spoke on TV a few days ago, i don't remember the name but i think he's also co-author of a "call to arms paper" kind of thing together with an italian epidemiologist in italy, so i can probably figure out the name03:16
LjLfructose, if it's the same guy as the paper i have in mind, and i think it is, then it's Enrico M. Bucci โ€“ SHRO, Temple University03:17
fructoseubLIX, LjL: Thank you03:19
LjL"If the neuroinvasion of SARS-CoV-2 does take a part in the development of respiratory failure in COVID-19 patients, the precaution with masks will absolutely be the most effective measure to protect against the possible entry of the virus into the CNS. It may also be expected that the symptoms of the patients infected via facal-oral or conjunctival route will be lighter than those infected intranasally."03:21
LjLgood job telling everyone no, don't wear masks, if so.03:21
BruntLIVERep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), the incoming White House chief of staff, said Monday he would self-quarantine after potentially coming into contact with a person diagnosed with COVID-19, the illness caused by the novel coronavirus, according to media reports. https://www.huffpost.com/entry/mark-meadows-coronavirus_n_5e66ec53c5b68d6164595cf903:22
LjL"It is very possible that most of the persons in Wuhan, who were the first exposed to this previously unknown virus, did not have any protective measure, so that the critical patients is much more in Wuhan than in other cities in China."03:22
fructosehttps://www.newsweek.com/north-korea-claims-no-coronavirus-cases-south-korean-media-reports-more-100-soldier-deaths-149117203:23
ubLIXLjL: "...  the precaution with masks will absolutely be the most effective measure ..."   -   but the usual caveats applies: most effective, perhaps; infallible, no 03:23
LjLubLIX, so because it's not infallible it's okay to tell people NOT to wear them?03:24
ubLIXofc not, but can we really expect that the myriads parroting unqualified 'masks actually not that great' advice have read this paper or even imagined intranasal CNS invasion03:25
contingothere is a small previous literature on nervous system infections by SARS (SARS-CoV) and MERS, and by coronaviruses more widely03:26
contingoI haven't delved into it03:26
ubLIXi just mean that the usual emitters of 'masks not that great' chat are not trying to be precise or comprehensive when they say that03:27
contingolemsip time03:29
LjLubLIX, no, but we can and should expect it of the WHO and similar agencies, which are *also* explicitly recommending against masks for the general populace03:29
ubLIXwe ought to be able to, but i gave up taking the WHO seriously some while ago03:29
LjLwell, every other media *and government agency* parrots their advice03:30
LjLso when does "unqualified" becomes "pretty much every medical doctor you see on TV"?03:30
LjLor in other words, is qualified advice only advice you can get from actual papers and studies that doctors usually tell me to steer away from because "don't read up medical things on the internet"?03:31
LjLis the king naked yet or do i need to be coughing up COVID into my GP's nose first03:31
ubLIXidk. is it possible that the authorities have been delicately trying to influence people away from worsening mask shortages? playing a dispassionate and pure numbers game, keeping clinical staff up and running probably saves more lives in the long run. they get the masks first.03:33
LjLubLIX, yes, it's possible, but i've championed the concept that lying to the population in order to steer them towards the "good" behaviors is a very very risky practice with dubious short-term benefits and potentially devastating long-term effects, since about... at least since starting this channel anyway03:35
LjLubLIX, but in Italy's case, anyway, China got the masks first. then we ran out. before we even had a (known) case.03:35
LjLand now other countries are requisitioning their own productions03:36
LjLi'm sure Italy's authorities will find it convenient to keep pointing to WHO advice that masks are useless03:36
LjLbecause at lease that way we don't stone them03:36
contingoyou're experiencing the application into medical training that "all medicine is social medicine", essentially. If a doctor is giving advice on TV, hard science is being filtered by the considerations of social science. Which is foggy and political and tied up with potentially conflicting interests03:37
ubLIXmask (and other supplies) production must be reaching pretty epic scales by now. i'd hope supplies will be flowing into Italy by now03:37
LjLcontingo, well i think they need better sociologists, because this is a myopic strategy that just makes me much less likely to trust any medical advice from "authorities" in the future03:39
LjLubLIX, epic scales? you think Italy's production of *anything* can be occurring at epic scales right now?03:39
contingowill it make the average citizen more mistrustful?03:40
ubLIXi'd just be surprised if Italy wasn't right now buying on the international market03:40
contingothat's the only consideration really03:40
contingoI mean the answer could well be yes03:40
contingojust that that is part of the right perspective from which to examine these messages03:41
LjLubLIX, the international market, as i mentioned, is requisitioning their supplies. at least our biggest neighbors are.03:41
tinwhiskersI think it'll be weeks at a minimum before all the plans to increase the scale of production start panning out03:42
ubLIXand by requisitioning, they gain control. it doesn't mean they won't send relief to Italy03:42
LjLyou may say that "all medicine is social medicine", but something where i'm advised to do (or not do) something that the doctor knows will likely cause me harm for "political and potentially conflicting interests" is no medicine03:43
LjLsocial, sure03:43
LjLmedicine, no03:43
LjLubLIX, why are you being naive? have you seen how Germany's and France's numbers are soaring? do you think they love Italy so much they're going to just immolate themselves for us?03:44
python476zzzz night yall zzz03:44
ubLIXi'm not being naive. i'm being optimistic. i admit i have no insight into what is actually logistically happening right now03:45
swift110so was there a lot of people travelling from china to italy or something03:45
swift110?03:45
contingoI'm not someone who is defending any policy or rationalization here, it's just you seemed to lack an explanation of what's happening03:45
LjLwell, my insight is that they are requisitioning and banning exports, while they're also having a clear surge in cases, seems pretty clear to me03:45
LjLcontingo, no, i have the explanation, and as i mentioned i've been very vehemently arguing against that sort of lying as something very counterproductive in the long run, from the start03:46
ubLIXat the very least, you surely can be sure your government is talking to every possible avenue for getting the supplies you need03:46
LjLjust because i find it an exceptionally bad way to do thing doesn't mean i don't understand why it's being done03:46
LjLubLIX, what i can be sure of is that my government is kind of busy deciding how exactly to tell us that there is being an age limit on patients eligible for treatment03:47
LjLi'm not sure they have much time left for clever international trade03:47
contingoOK, well, at least you have a government that tells you there is such shortage of respirators and critical care equipment that decisions are going to have to be made to restrict life-saving efforts to below a certain cut-off age03:48
LjLthey *have* promised to be getting masks... for the medical personnel. and they're barely delivering any, for now.03:48
LjLcontingo, well, yes, the small lie being that decisions are already being made in the field, and instead they tell us that they are a worst-case but realistic possibility03:48
contingowhereas our much less well-resourced government tells us that they are totally well-prepared for anything03:48
ubLIXmy paramedic friend has told me they have already run out of masks, and our case numbers are barely even a blip at this point03:50
ubLIXgod knows what's going to happen here in a few weeks03:50
contingoI wonder if there is such a thing as a credulity metric, an index of populaces ranked by credulity03:51
LjLleave god alone, just look at italy03:51
LjLgod either doesn't exist, or doesn't give a shit, or he thinks we deserve it03:51
Specwell, at least our numbers won't be as bad as italy03:52
swift110LjL, I disagree with that assessment03:52
LjLSpec, keyword being numbers?03:52
tinwhiskershell, Iran isn't even as bad as Italy :-(03:52
LjLtinwhiskers, nonsense03:53
LjLIran is every bit as bad as Italy, except much worse in all likelihood03:53
tinwhiskerswell, going by the numbers we have03:53
tinwhiskersbut sure, if you're saying they are worse because their numbers are incorrect then you may have a point03:54
LjLyes, if only Italy also lied more about our numbers03:54
LjLthat would save the day03:54
tinwhiskersheh03:54
LjLtinwhiskers, i may have a point mainly because there are clear clues that their numbers are incorrect by virtue of being hugely underestimated03:54
tinwhiskersyou may03:55
tinwhiskersspeculating whose number are more incorrect is hard to quantify, but I'd tend to agree with you that Iran is going to be worse03:56
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 02:46 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: White House says Trump has not been tested, did not have 'prolonged' close contact with anyone infected โ†’ https://is.gd/pGAqjy03:56
LjLwell, at least 7% of *our* MPs haven't tested positive yet, although i'm sure we'll get there03:56
tinwhiskers:-/03:56
LjLthat's a pretty literal translation03:57
contingo%cases Iran03:57
Brainstormcontingo: In all areas, Iran, there are 7161 cases, 237 deaths (3.3% of cases), 2394 recoveries as of Mon Mar  9 11:53:03 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Iran for time series data.03:57
Brainstormcontingo: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 1.1% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 9.0% (considering only deaths and recoveries).03:57
bigfluff%cases oregon03:57
Brainstormbigfluff: In OR, US, there are 12 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 03:33:04 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.03:57
tinwhiskersThe difference is that Iran's numbers are tailing off (if you believe them), whereas Italy's are picking up in speed.03:58
LjLi don't believe them, but that admittedly doesn't make any difference on the fact of Italy's picking up speed03:58
tinwhiskersyeah03:59
LjLi do believe South Korea's numbers though03:59
LjLand that doesn't paint Italy in any good light03:59
tinwhiskerstrue03:59
LjLbut hey guess what most South Koreans are wearing?04:00
Specbut south korea was pretty prepared, right?04:00
LjLright, that's masks!04:00
swift110are those places that have had a lot of people travel to from china?04:00
LjLswift110, everyone has had a lot of people travel to and from China. this is a moot point. it happened in Italy first within the EU because chance is kinda random, but it's now happening the same way in Germany, France, Spain, what have you04:01
tinwhiskersSpec: a lot of South Korea's spread was due to that cult/church spreading it around. If it weren't for that they would be looking a lot better, but they're coming out the other side of the damage that cult caused now.04:01
LjLin Asia of course it *is* a bit more likely that the disease would spread faster, but still, Italy has quickly reached Korea04:01
swift110what do you mean the cult04:02
tinwhiskersThe interesting comparison: http://offloop.net/covid19/?default=South%20Korea;Italy;Iran04:02
tinwhiskershttps://time.com/5787898/south-korea-coronavirus-sect/04:03
tinwhiskersWell, that's not a very good article about them but there's lots of articles about them04:07
LjLadditionally, go over that passage of the study about neuroinvasion again: "It is very possible that most of the persons in Wuhan, who were the first exposed to this previously unknown virus, did not have any protective measure, so that the critical patients is much more in Wuhan than in other cities in China."04:09
LjLthis implies that most people in China are now wearing masks, which matches what i tend to see on videos etc04:10
LjLso why don't *we* get to have masks? medical personnel needs it the most... except, before them, China needs them the most, right?04:10
LjLsince our medical personnel doesn't actually have them04:10
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +36 cases (now 114474), +4 deaths (now 4016) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +34 cases (now 738), +4 deaths (now 26) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 recoveries (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 recoveries (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +1 cases (now 80754), +16 deaths (now 3136), +7 recoveries (now 59905) ๐Ÿ”ธ Beijing, Mainlan04:22
ubLIXhttps://time.com/5799765/intelligence-report-pandemic-dangers/04:26
ubLIX^ "The Trump Administration Is Stalling an Intel Report That Warns the U.S. Isnโ€™t Ready for a Global Pandemic"04:26
LjLbecause there was someone who didn't know?04:29
ubLIXa large number of Americans, I shouldn't wonder04:30
Poon%data vietnam04:32
BrainstormPoon: In all areas, Vietnam, there are 31 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 16 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 03:08:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Vietnam for time series data.04:32
tinwhiskersOh, Vietnam's three week streak of new new infections is broken. Doubled in the last few days :-(04:33
tinwhiskerss/new new /no new/04:33
Brainstormtinwhiskers meant to say: Oh, Vietnam's three week streak of no newinfections is broken. Doubled in the last few days :-(04:33
tinwhiskersbah04:33
Spec%data madagascar04:36
BrainstormSpec: Sorry, madagascar not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.04:36
Poon@tinwhiskers: and all new cases are from the same flight ๐Ÿ˜ฅ04:37
tinwhiskersoh. dang04:37
tinwhiskersAre you from Vietnam Poon?04:39
Poonyes, I'm in Ho Chi Minh city04:39
tinwhiskersNice.04:39
tinwhiskersHow's the mood there, given you share a border with China and all that?04:39
tinwhiskers(you're the first person I've met on irc from Vietnam, btw)04:39
PoonEverything's still fine here. everyone takes masks when go out or go to work.04:41
tinwhiskersDo you dispose of your mask every day?04:42
tinwhiskersIs there a shortage of masks yet?04:42
Poonyes, I dispose mask after it's used. These masks was bought before the virus comes here. we wear mask everyday when we go out because of pollution04:44
tinwhiskersoh, right. 04:44
contingo%wik Southeast Asian haze04:45
Brainstormcontingo, from English Wikipedia: The Southeast Asian haze is a fire-related large-scale air pollution problem that occurs regularly. Generally, it is worst between July and October. These haze events have caused adverse health and economic impact on Brunei Darussalam, in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and, to a lesser degree, [... want %more?] โ†’ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southeast_Asian_haze04:45
tinwhiskers%more04:45
Brainstormtinwhiskers, [...] the Philippines and Thailand. The problem flares up every dry season, in varying degrees. Transboundary haze in Southeast Asia has been recorded since 1972. โ†’ https://paste.ee/p/ojSZO04:45
contingothis is why my family out there already have good stocks of masks04:45
PoonI feel worry a bit after new cases recently in Hanoi. However, everything is still fine now.04:45
tinwhiskersAre people there being careful about washing hands, avoiding public gatherings or anything like that?04:46
Poonyup, sure. 04:47
Poonthe company determines temperature of emloyee every morning and put ancol gel at the doors and the desks04:48
tinwhiskersoh. wow.04:48
tinwhiskersThat's the sort of things that will serve your country very well compared to many of us04:49
tinwhiskerstaking it seriously, for a start.04:50
tinwhiskers*before* it gets away on you04:50
Poonalthough it's not a serious sick (low rare death), but I guess the hospoital and medicine at VN is not good enough to handle lots of cases. That's why we must take carefully. ๐Ÿ˜ข04:52
tinwhiskersgood reason, although I think your hospitals are pretty good really (certainly better than here)04:53
skyofdust;5B04:57
swift110oh05:21
Speci'm beginning to think MaskCulture is required to defeat this, in combination with social distancing05:29
swift110HMM05:30
ryouma<https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/31/our-face-mask-future-do-they-really-help-beat-flu-coronavirus-and-pollution>05:30
tinwhiskersI suspect there will be plenty of superannuation savings to be made yet that will offset that! :-/05:38
tinwhiskersIn any case, losses on stocks in times like this will mostly be made back if people just hold tight and don't panic-sell.05:41
swift110oh05:43
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +17 cases (now 114491), +8 deaths (now 4024), +324 recoveries (now 64221) ๐Ÿ”ถ Netherlands: +1 deaths (now 4), +317 recoveries (now 317) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +11 deaths (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 recoveries (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +6 recoveries (now 9) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +1 cases (now 8006:09
BrainstormNew from Scientific American at 05:15 UTC: Health: Coronavirus Hot Zone: The View from the U.S. Epicenter โ†’ https://is.gd/mfodr706:26
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +46 cases (now 114537), +2 deaths (now 4026) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +8 cases (now 101) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +23 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +11 deaths (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 recoveries (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +1 deaths (now 7) ๐Ÿ”ธ Mainland China: +4 cas07:29
AgTh%data china07:54
BrainstormAgTh: In all areas, Mainland China, there are 80757 cases, 3136 deaths (3.9% of cases), 59925 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 07:45:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Mainland%20China for time series data.07:54
BrainstormAgTh: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 1.3% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 5.0% (considering only deaths and recoveries).07:54
AgTh%data denmark07:55
BrainstormAgTh: In all areas, Denmark, there are 113 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 1 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 07:45:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Denmark for time series data.07:55
AgTh%data netherlands07:55
BrainstormAgTh: In all areas, Netherlands, there are 321 cases, 4 deaths (1.2% of cases), 317 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 05:53:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Netherlands for time series data.07:55
BrainstormAgTh: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.4% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 1.2% (considering only deaths and recoveries).07:55
AgTh%data italy07:55
BrainstormAgTh: In all areas, Italy, there are 9172 cases, 463 deaths (5.0% of cases), 724 recoveries as of Mon Mar  9 19:13:11 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.07:55
adventurer%data Australia07:56
Brainstormadventurer: In all areas, Australia, there are 101 cases, 4 deaths (4.0% of cases), 22 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 07:45:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Australia for time series data.07:56
adventurer4 deaths?07:56
mefistofeles%data Germany07:59
Brainstormmefistofeles: In all areas, Germany, there are 1224 cases, 2 deaths (0.2% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 05:53:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Germany for time series data.07:59
mefistofelesoh finally some deaths in Germany, was wondering... still pretty low!!08:00
wormfarmhi mefistofeles 08:00
mefistofeleswonder what they are doing08:00
mefistofeleshey wormfarm 08:00
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 07:04 UTC: Beijing objects to term 'Wuhan coronavirus,' and says it may not have originated in China: China's foreign ministry on Monday objected to the expression "Wuhan coronavirus" โ€” saying the name will "stigmatize" the country โ€” following recent claims from Beijing that the virus may not have originated in China at all. โ†’ https://is.gd/ShKRrV08:15
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +4 cases (now 80757), +16 deaths (now 3136), +45 recoveries (now 59943) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +8 cases (now 101) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +23 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +11 deaths (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong: +1 recoveries (now 60) ๐Ÿ”ธ Iraq: +1 deaths08:23
fructosehttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.04.20030965v108:36
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Hubei, Mainland China: +144 recoveries (now 47734) ๐Ÿ”ถ Mainland China: +149 recoveries (now 60092) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +8 cases (now 101) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +23 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +11 deaths (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hong Kong, Hong Kong08:36
pwr22!cases china08:52
pwr22!cases vietnam08:53
pwr22Vietnam have new cases again08:53
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 08:09 UTC: /u/hasharin: Coronavirus live latest updates with five UK deaths confirmed including Wolverhampton patient - Birmingham Live โ†’ https://is.gd/xkPIvE09:10
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 08:21 UTC: /u/hasharin: Coronavirus live updates: US cases top 700 in 36 states โ†’ https://is.gd/tc26JV09:24
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +33 cases (now 114575), +4 recoveries (now 64074) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +8 cases (now 101) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +7 cases (now 38) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +23 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +2 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +11 deaths (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ09:30
sneep:|09:31
tinwhiskerspwr22: yeah, apparently they all came on a single plane, so they may not have community spread still.09:35
pwr22I just read an article that a British couple have been spreading around there09:37
pwr22Generating 53 suspected cases or something09:38
pwr22Hope they can nip it in the bud09:38
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +44 cases (now 114619), +8 recoveries (now 64082) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +8 cases (now 101) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +9 cases (now 40) ๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: +23 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finland: +2 cases (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ธ France: +11 deaths (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ09:57
tinwhiskerspwr22: oh damn. I wonder if the crazy xenophobic things we're seeing here like bus drivers not letting Asians on work in reverse there. Filthy Brits.09:58
fructoseโ€œThere's only two things I hate in this world. People who are intolerant of other people's cultures and the Dutch.โ€10:01
tinwhiskersHeh10:01
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test) at 08:59 UTC: CoronaVirusInfo: Rep. Matt Gaetz Flew on Air Force One With Trump Hours Before Self-Quarantine โ†’ https://is.gd/nwyo5Y10:05
mefistofeles%data Chile10:11
Brainstormmefistofeles: In all areas, Chile, there are 13 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 06:13:07 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Chile for time series data.10:11
mefistofeles%data Colombia10:11
Brainstormmefistofeles: In all areas, Colombia, there are 3 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 06:33:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Colombia for time series data.10:11
azyhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azS5Xp4iVUM10:22
mefistofeles%title10:23
Brainstormmefistofeles: From www.youtube.com: Dr. Drew On Coronavirus - YouTube10:23
mefistofeleswho dat?10:23
gareppa[m]what do you think about this? https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3074351/coronavirus-can-travel-twice-far-official-safe-distance-and-stay10:27
mefistofeleshttps://github.com/jihoo-kim/Coronavirus-Dataset/ interesting10:30
mefistofelesgareppa[m]: interesting, but, I don't think a single study from a bus can actually conclude that, imho10:33
mefistofelesbut it's more data, for sure10:34
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 09:39 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Japan unveils $4 billion coronavirus package: Japan has unveiled a second package of measures worth about $4 billion in spending to cope with the impact of the coronavirus outbreak, Reuters reported โ†’ https://is.gd/pGAqjy10:46
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live at 09:55 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Coronavirus: President Xi visits Wuhan to signal control of outbreak - BBC News โ†’ https://is.gd/p0gvaD11:00
p_hpd[m]๐Ÿ”ธ Denmark: now 15611:07
Abandoneddead cat bounce on the stock markets11:13
CatButtes[m]Question is, did it bounce off the floor or a flagpole on the way down?11:16
Abandonedflagpole11:16
Abandonedpeople just bought the big drop for some easy and quick profit before another leg down11:17
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 10:17 UTC: Coronavirus live updates: Japan unveils $4 billion aid package to help economy: Japan has unveiled a second package of measures worth about $4 billion in spending to cope with the impact of the coronavirus outbreak, Reuters reported โ†’ https://is.gd/pGAqjy11:27
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +49 cases (now 114701), +1 deaths (now 4027), +3 recoveries (now 64092) ๐Ÿ”ถ Denmark: +66 cases (now 156) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +9 cases (now 40) ๐Ÿ”ธ Egypt: +4 cases (now 59) ๐Ÿ”ธ Finlan11:31
BoNgleger%data germany11:47
BrainstormBoNgleger: In all areas, Germany, there are 1225 cases, 2 deaths (0.2% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 11:13:27 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Germany for time series data.11:47
BrainstormNew from Scientific American at 10:45 UTC: How the Coronavirus Is Hampering Science: Research meetings are being canceled left and right over epidemic fears, slowing the work of scientistsโ€”especially those who are early in their career -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com โ†’ https://is.gd/bvjBkz11:55
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live at 11:05 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Coronavirus, la Lombardia pensa al blocco totale per 15 giorni: "Tutto chiuso, mezzi fermi" โ†’ https://is.gd/LzADwR12:08
romare%data france12:20
Brainstormromare: In all areas, France, there are 1412 cases, 30 deaths (2.1% of cases), 12 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 05:53:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=France for time series data.12:20
romare%data cyprus12:20
Brainstormromare: In all areas, Cyprus, there are 2 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 01:33:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Cyprus for time series data.12:20
CatButtes[m]%data uk12:20
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +188 cases (now 114889), +1 deaths (now 4028), +6 recoveries (now 64098) ๐Ÿ”ถ Switzerland: +123 cases (now 497) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgium: +28 cases (now 267) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brunei: +5 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech12:20
BrainstormCatButtes[m]: In all areas, UK, there are 321 cases, 5 deaths (1.6% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 05:53:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=UK for time series data.12:20
CatButtes[m]%data united kingdom12:20
BrainstormCatButtes[m]: Sorry, united kingdom not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.12:20
Tangent-Man[m]%data italy12:30
BrainstormTangent-Man[m]: In all areas, Italy, there are 9172 cases, 463 deaths (5.0% of cases), 724 recoveries as of Mon Mar  9 19:13:11 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.12:30
darsie%data austria12:31
Brainstormdarsie: In all areas, Austria, there are 157 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 2 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 09:33:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Austria for time series data.12:31
darsieWas 131 yesterday.12:31
darsieWhat are estimates of confirmed vs. unconfirmed cases?12:34
Abandonedso around 30 more deaths since around this time yesterday?12:35
darsiemhm12:36
darsieno, cases.12:36
darsieNo deaths so far.12:36
Abandonedit was 4001 yesterday, now 4031   https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/12:36
darsieok12:37
Abandonedi guess this should be right12:37
darsieThat's so insignificant ...12:38
Abandonedyou mean it's only 30 deaths?12:38
darsieyeah. Or only 4031.12:38
darsieWe're 8 Ghumans.12:38
Abandonedyeah, doesnt look all that bad, but the thing is to keep it low you must slow down things and the economy suffers12:39
Abandonedbusinesses suffer12:39
darsieeconomy slowdown is excellent for the environment.12:39
Abandonedif only this turned into some zombie apocalypse12:39
Tangent-Man[m]%data USA12:40
BrainstormTangent-Man[m]: Sorry, USA not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.12:40
darsielol12:40
Tangent-Man[m] * %data america12:40
Abandonedi dont think sop.. they deregulate then and find ways to boost12:40
pwr22!cases us12:40
Tangent-Man[m]%data amaerica12:40
BrainstormTangent-Man[m]: Sorry, amaerica not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.12:40
Tangent-Man[m]lol12:40
Tangent-Man[m]%data america12:40
BrainstormTangent-Man[m]: Sorry, america not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.12:40
darsie%data earth12:40
Brainstormdarsie: Sorry, earth not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.12:40
darsie%data12:41
Brainstormdarsie: Sorry, lol not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.12:41
darsiehmm12:41
darsieWe don't need milk.12:42
azydamn casual preppers12:43
azybuying all sorts of nonsense12:44
azycant bare the thought of going without their luxuries, survival isnt on their mind12:44
darsieI went shopping before we had cases.12:44
CatButtes[m]I got accused of panic buying porridge at Tesco yesterday12:45
azyim expecting to get accused also, all the shit i buy is prepper food12:45
CatButtes[m]I was buying our normal fortnightly quantity because we had run out - not stocking up any more than usual12:45
RougeRR CatButtes[m] haha wat12:46
CatButtes[m]Admittedly it was 4 boxes, but thats hardly excessive when you have 4 people eating it every day12:46
RougeRRyeah12:46
RougeRRlol i did a few small shops just so we have a reserve12:46
darsieThey asked me if I was opening a restaurant and I said: "The apocalypse is coming. It has reached Italy." I'm in Austria.12:47
RougeRRi got lots of porridge12:47
RougeRRtbh i dont think bulk buying is good12:47
CatButtes[m]I have been adding bits and pieces to our regular shops ever since Brexit started looking like it was going to be a cluster fuck12:47
RougeRRspace it out over a few days12:47
RougeRRCatButtes[m], aye12:47
RougeRRlol our brexit government stockpiles are going to be used for this now12:47
CatButtes[m]So we have a nice little stash dotted all over the house12:47
RougeRRthat was handy for them12:47
CatButtes[m]not even sure Mrs Buttes knows everything we have squirrelled away12:48
RougeRRmm12:48
RougeRRtbh i think likelyhood of all food being out is unlikely12:48
RougeRRmore likely is variety/luxuries12:48
sneepwuhan had food the whole time12:49
RougeRRyeah12:49
RougeRRalso, cause of jersey12:49
RougeRRi cant bulk buy12:49
RougeRRthere is literally no where cheap enough12:49
RougeRRi just added bits on to each shop12:49
CatButtes[m]I'm more concerned with panic buying causing problems like it is at the moment12:49
RougeRRCatButtes[m], aye yeah12:49
darsieDid prices go up?12:49
CatButtes[m]and adding a couple of extra tins to a shop isn't a problem for us12:50
RougeRRdarsie, no its always been expensive here12:50
RougeRRnot america jersey12:50
RougeRRtax haven jersey12:50
CatButtes[m]Isolated, tax haven Jersey in the Channel12:50
RougeRRyeah, i came back to live with my folks for a bit and sort of lost motivation a bit12:50
darsie%data jersey12:50
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +937 cases (now 115826) ๐Ÿ”ถ Iran: +881 cases (now 8042) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +56 cases (now 1281) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgium: +28 cases (now 267) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brunei: +5 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Czech Republic: +9 case12:50
RougeRRZERO12:50
RougeRRbaby12:50
RougeRRone of the few countries with 0 cases lol12:51
Brainstormdarsie: In New Jersey, US, there are 11 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 03:33:04 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=New%20Jersey for time series data.12:51
CatButtes[m]Doing better than the IoW!12:51
RougeRRhaha and Guernsey12:51
RougeRRthey had their first confirmed yesterday12:51
CatButtes[m]Damn. This shit is everywhere12:51
RougeRRwonder how IoM is doing12:51
CatButtes[m]Probably not too bad - Scotland seems to be getting lighter hit still12:52
RougeRReyyyu IoM and Jersey still on zero12:52
darsieDid it come from bats? Do Wuhaners eat bats?12:52
azycame from a satanic meat market12:52
azycorpses everywhere12:53
darsieThey should have taken meat market samples.12:53
RougeRRwuhamn bat stew is a delicacy /s12:53
RougeRRdarsie, lol "well we didnt find ncov19, but what we did find was 17 previously unknown viruses on the cusp of human transmission"12:54
darsieWould everyone going vegan significantly decrease diseases? Or are animals just one of many similar disease sources?12:56
RougeRRdarsie, nope12:56
RougeRRjust stop eating weird shit in unsanitary conditions12:57
RougeRRi was joking about my 17 previous viruses12:57
RougeRRjesus christ that bot name is an abomination12:57
darsieyeah, I understood /s to be /sarcasm.12:57
RougeRRsomeone covid it12:57
RougeRRahh kk12:58
darsieSo ... covid-19 is a zoonosis?12:58
CatButtes[m]> jesus christ that bot name is an abomination13:00
CatButtes[m]I think it is mainly to enable people to know who to shout at if it goes Skynet and needs shutting down13:00
RougeRRhmmm13:00
RougeRRwhos bot is it13:00
CatButtes[m]LJL I think13:01
RougeRRahh fuck i couldnt even see his name its so weird13:01
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 11:59 UTC: Japan unveils $4 billion aid package to help economy: Japan has unveiled a second package of measures worth about $4 billion in spending to cope with the impact of the coronavirus outbreak, Reuters reported โ†’ https://is.gd/pGAqjy13:03
CatButtes[m]I suspect it is running https://github.com/matrix-org/go-neb based on the 2nd part of the name13:03
RougeRRRwhy do you think that framework?13:04
RougeRRRsurely it could be any matrix bot13:04
CatButtes[m]the `_neb_` part of the name13:05
CatButtes[m]plus that is a ready to go bot, so firing it up would be pretty quick and simple13:05
RougeRRRhmm cant see _neb_13:05
RougeRRRahh13:05
RougeRRRi did a whois13:05
RougeRRRyeah13:05
RougeRRRmakes sense13:05
RougeRRRits like13:06
CatButtes[m]Hang on, I'm gonna see what it looks like on IRC - on Riot it really is an abomination of a name13:06
CatButtes[m]not that it really matters though!13:06
RougeRRRjust run /whois13:06
RougeRRRyeah13:06
RougeRRR[RSSBot[LjLmatrix] (nebrss_132@gateway/shell/matrix.org/x-iyvnrmabhdqxjpkq) : @_neb_rssbot_=40_lj_l=3amatrix.org:matrix.org13:06
RougeRRR-RSSBot[LjLmatrix/##covid-19-13:06
RougeRRRis its name13:06
RougeRRR2nd one13:06
RougeRRRim so glad im not in my old job with my old flatmates in that shit hole with coronavirus inbound13:08
RougeRRRi think it would have sent me the over the edge lol13:08
darsieOne works in a "Kindergarten".13:08
darsieWhatever you call a Kindergarten for primary school kids.13:09
darsieDay care center?13:09
CatButtes[m]Yeah, I work at a Uni. So far we are good, but students are kinda gross13:09
RougeRRRdarsie, nursery13:10
darsiek13:10
RougeRRRmy flatmates worked in; mental health ward, restaurant, nightclub, bar13:10
RougeRRRmy job was software but in a horrid office city centre13:10
RougeRRRand my flat was leaking and i hated my flatemates13:10
sneep25 people in my building with just three shower rooms13:11
RougeRRRsneep, rooms!?13:11
darsieRougeRRR: What did it leak?13:11
RougeRRRdarsie, rain water13:11
contingosneep, is that a dormitory?13:11
RougeRRRi was sleeping with a tarp over my pc13:11
CatButtes[m]Sounds like student accomodation13:11
RougeRRRthe rental agency took 4 months to fix it13:11
sneepNot quite but close enough13:11
contingoI also work on uni campuses CatButtes[m] 13:12
sneepEverybody has their own room13:12
contingoare you students?13:12
RougeRRRit really fucked with me, having to sleep in a leaking damp room, and go to a souless offic13:12
sneepNo students here13:12
RougeRRRanyway, yeah i cant imagine being isolated there13:12
CatButtes[m]I'm not a student - University IT staff13:12
contingowas that in London RougeRRR 13:12
RougeRRRcontingo, worse13:12
RougeRRRbristol13:12
RougeRRRhaha13:12
sneepMost people are like 25-35 I think13:12
contingolol13:12
RougeRRRwell housing wise its almost as bad13:12
RougeRRRi kinda miss it13:13
RougeRRRi duno what to do now tbh13:13
RougeRRRim meant to be start looking for work again soon, but like...13:13
RougeRRRguna be a pain i imagine next few months13:13
RougeRRRhey!13:13
contingoI read things about the povo / posh divide in Bristol yeah. Quite the divide, I'm sure London13:13
RougeRRRat least some of the boomers will die off, might open up some positions ;)13:13
contingois more extreme, but easier to insulate oneself13:13
RougeRRRcontingo, yeah it is quite stark13:14
RougeRRRits a lovely city though13:14
RougeRRRim not sure if ill move back, was there 2 years13:14
RougeRRRtbh because of brexit, i really dont want to move back to the uk at all13:14
RougeRRRwell...i do13:14
RougeRRRbut we are going to be fucked13:14
contingoyeah have been quite a few times. Lovely but.. a bit too steep, gradient wise13:14
RougeRRRcontingo, oh god the hills!13:14
contingojust walking around if it's icy was killer13:14
RougeRRRi lived past clifton for 1st 6 months13:15
RougeRRRso much regret13:15
RougeRRRwas right at top near suspension bridge13:15
RougeRRRmoved to southville other side of river afer13:15
RougeRRRcontingo, in totterdown they tie the cars to lamposts i heard13:16
contingowow13:16
RougeRRRhttps://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/living-on-uks-steepest-street-1269313:16
RougeRRRUKs steepest street lol13:16
RougeRRR> The incline is so sharp that during the winter, when it is icy, some cars have to be tied to lampposts to prevent them from sliding down the hill.13:16
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 12:14 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: US markets set to pop as Trump eyes stimulus; deaths climb in Iran โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q13:16
RougeRRRhttps://i2-prod.bristolpost.co.uk/incoming/article12688.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/Vale-Street.jpg13:17
RougeRRRthe roofrack is tied there it hink13:17
contingoI moved in Oct 2018 to what for me is a pretty dodge part of London. Right on the edge of an undeniably rough area. But means I can afford my own place with parking, garden, generous storage space13:18
RougeRRRlol13:18
RougeRRRhttps://www.thesportsgeek.com/blog/you-can-now-bet-on-coronavirus-results-online/13:18
RougeRRRBet On If the Coronavirus Kills More People Than The Black Plague13:19
RougeRRRwait13:19
RougeRRRover what timescale13:19
RougeRRRthat could pay out big in 5-10 years13:19
RougeRRRdoesnt say where13:21
RougeRRRbut yeah13:21
RougeRRRid take that bet13:21
RougeRRRยฃ10 at 3000/113:22
RougeRRRmorbid pay out13:22
contingoI've never actually placed a bet with a bookies13:23
contingoI've had quite a few lucky breaks with impulse investments and purchases13:24
contingobut not from a position of being well informed about something13:25
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 12:26 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: US airlines slash flights; deaths climb in Iran โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q13:30
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +295 cases (now 116121), +59 deaths (now 4087) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +277 cases (now 1512), +4 deaths (now 35) ๐Ÿ”ถ Iran: +54 deaths (now 291) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +4 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgium: +28 cases (now 267) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brunei: +5 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +113:31
python476o/13:31
contingogood day python476 13:34
python476hi contingo 13:35
python476still not contingious I hope13:35
darsieIf there's not enough food, don't process it with animals before you eat it.13:36
contingowho knows13:36
darsiehttps://www.amazon.com/NOTEBOOM-FARMS-SOYBEANS-lbs-bean-bags-soymilk-tofu/dp/B0856SDPPL/ref=sr_1_2  Only 7 left in stock - order soon. 13:38
darsie SOYBEANS --24 lbs--bean bags--soymilk--tofu $28.9913:38
darsiehttps://www.ebay.at/itm/333405049586  Details zu  (EUR 1,84/kg) 25kg Sojabohnen Hรผhnerfutter Tauben  EUR 48,29 13:41
darsie"chicken food"13:41
darsiehttps://www.ebay.at/itm/2-49-1kg-1kg-Sojabohnen-vielseitig-auch-fur-die-vegetarische-Kuche/153856081257  EUR 2,49 ,  EUR 22,90 shipping to Austria.13:43
darsie0 results if I click item location Austria.13:44
Tangent-Man[m]%data iran13:44
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +15 cases (now 116136), +338 recoveries (now 64436) ๐Ÿ”ถ Iran: +337 recoveries (now 2731) ๐Ÿ”ธ Afghanistan: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +8 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgium: +28 cases (now 267) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +5 cases (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brunei: +5 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Quebec, Canada: +1 cases (now13:44
darsieoops, wrong channel ...13:45
BrainstormTangent-Man[m]: In all areas, Iran, there are 8042 cases, 291 deaths (3.6% of cases), 2731 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 13:29:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Iran for time series data.13:45
BrainstormTangent-Man[m]: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 1.2% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 9.6% (considering only deaths and recoveries).13:45
darsieI meant to post that to ##vegan .13:47
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 12:52 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Marseille cruise tests passengers, US airlines slash flights โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q13:57
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 13:05 UTC: (news): Apple got off to a strong start and looked unstoppable in 2020. Then the coronavirus broke out โ†’ https://is.gd/S7ZVsc14:11
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +109 cases (now 116245), +2 recoveries (now 64438) ๐Ÿ”ถ Sweden: +61 cases (now 325) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +35 cases (now 1547) ๐Ÿ”ธ Afghanistan: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +8 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Azerbaijan: +2 cases (now 11) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belarus: +3 cases (now 9), +2 recoveries (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgiu14:25
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 13:16 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Marseille cruise tests passengers, US airlines slash flights โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q14:25
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +85 cases (now 116330) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +75 cases (now 1622) ๐Ÿ”ธ Afghanistan: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +8 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +6 cases (now 54) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Azerbaijan: +2 cases (now 11) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belarus: +3 cases (now 9), +2 recoveries (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgium: +28 cases14:38
contingo%cases uk14:39
Brainstormcontingo: In all areas, UK, there are 321 cases, 5 deaths (1.6% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 05:53:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=UK for time series data.14:39
contingohmm only two more added since 9AM yesterday14:40
LjLi'm here14:42
LjLtime to read the new decree, assuming it's any different from the old one except extended to the whole country14:42
CatButtes[m]contingo: Doesn't the UK update at 1400GMT?14:44
underscorehello LjL14:44
LjLhmm, it's the same as before with the addition of "forbidding any form of assemblies of people in public or open to the public places"14:44
LjLand also banning any sports activities (that were already stopped except for soccer stubbornly wanting to continue, because you can't stop soccer)14:44
LjLbut people can still go to work regardless of which kind of work it is, so i still expect this to be uneffective14:45
pwr22UK data appears more often14:45
darsieSo no jogging or riding bicycles?14:46
CatButtes[m]Peter Roberts: Do you know where that UK data is sourced from? Latest I am seeing is 9am yeaterday with 280 infected from PHE?14:48
sneepI wish my job could be suspended for a while14:49
pwr22The link the bot gives14:49
LjLdarsie, well you can ride a bicycle to go to work i suppose14:49
LjLand you can job as long as you hide from police cars14:49
LjLjog*14:50
LjLsneep, i wish Lombardy suspecnded all work activities... but your country is one of the few that seems to have this under control, so there is that14:50
darsieSo they really meant personal sport activities, not going to a stadium.14:51
pwr22@catbuttes:matrix.org: http://offloop.net/covid19h/unconfirmed.csv14:51
CatButtes[m]Peter Roberts: Thank you!14:52
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +61 cases (now 116391) ๐Ÿ”ถ Netherlands: +61 cases (now 382) ๐Ÿ”ธ Afghanistan: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +8 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +6 cases (now 54) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Azerbaijan: +2 cases (now 11) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belarus: +3 cases (now 9), +2 recoveries (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belgium: +28 14:52
pwr22!cases uk14:52
pwr22Last update around 5am14:52
CatButtes[m]Seems more up to date than what the government is putting out at the moment14:53
darsieLjL: I only see bans of large sports events in the news, nothing about personal activities.14:58
LjLdarsie, personal activities in private places are not restricted15:00
LjLhttps://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3074351/coronavirus-can-travel-twice-far-official-safe-distance-and-stay โ† study that was retracted for no specified reason15:01
sneephttp://alugy.com/europe/amazon-microsoft-joins-italys-initiative-to-offer-free-wi-fi-ebooks-unlimited-mobile-data/ Interesting15:02
LjLcool, every mobile operator is doing that except mine15:03
LjLWind sure went downhill when it merged with Tre15:03
sneeplol15:03
LjLFastweb is only offering it for PAYG SIMs, which is also a shame since that's what my sister has (but on contract)15:04
LjLalso funny i learn of this from a foreign website15:05
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +36 cases (now 116427), +12 recoveries (now 64450) ๐Ÿ”ธ Afghanistan: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Albania: +8 cases (now 10) ๐Ÿ”ธ Argentina: +5 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 103) ๐Ÿ”ธ New South Wales, Australia: +6 cases (now 54) ๐Ÿ”ธ Queensland, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +26 cases (now 157) ๐Ÿ”ธ Azerbaijan: +2 cases (now 11) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +1 cases (now 110) ๐Ÿ”ธ Belarus: +3 cases (now 9), +2 rec15:05
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 14:00 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Harvard orders students to vacate, US airlines slash flights โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q15:06
TraderOne[m]%data paraguay15:17
BrainstormTraderOne[m]: In all areas, Paraguay, there are 1 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Sun Mar  8 10:13:16 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Paraguay for time series data.15:17
CatButtes[m]LjL: worth getting a payg sim for the freebies?15:18
LjLCatButtes[m], sneep: probably not, i'm reading and you need a SPID to get these various "freebies". a SPID is a unique digital identification account for Italians, but most people don't have it yet. i expect it is much harder to get now (next to impossible?) if you don't already have one15:19
LjLand i imagine the reason for requiring a SPID is so you can't get multiple freebies15:19
LjLthe government is considering halting payment of bills and taxes15:20
LjLbut where do they get the money to buy medical supplies then?15:20
bigfoot[m]Interessting page: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus15:23
pwr22<LjL "but where do they get the money "> HP printers ๐Ÿ˜†15:26
LjLthe "freebies" are all listed here https://solidarietadigitale.agid.gov.it/#/ but most of them are "updating" their access mode based on the new decree, meaning for now, you don't get anything15:31
LjLothers will inform people via SMS, but we haven't got any of that15:31
LjLbigfoot[m], yes, that's interesting, i will add it to the list of links in the topic15:32
LjL"what if"? come on15:34
LjLwhy's everybody still blind, it's already happening15:34
contingohmm what if there might be some threat of a pandemic ahead at some point?15:36
mefistofelesLjL: "what if" where?15:37
mefistofelesah saw it15:37
LjLyeah15:37
mefistofelesLjL: and no, it's not happening, tbh15:37
mefistofelesI mean, Germany15:37
LjLhow on earth is it not happening, how do you think Germany is going to contain >1000 cases15:37
mefistofelesbut yeah, it's a weak what of15:37
mefistofelesif*15:38
mefistofelesLjL: the bad thing about Italy is not that, but the death rate15:38
mefistofelesno need to contain it when people are not dying, basically15:38
mefistofelestherefore, Germany :P15:38
LjLGermany cannot magically have a 0% death rate for long15:39
mefistofelesit has 2 deaths now15:39
mefistofelesbut yeah, still pretty low15:39
mefistofelesand most things are going on as usual here 15:39
LjLthis disease is fatal in critical cases and we don't know what to do about that medically, so even better healthcare, while obviously helpful, won't prevent a LARGE number of deaths in the >60yo population15:39
mefistofeleswhich I find it surprising, tbh15:39
LjLyes, they are going on as usual because governments are acting as blind as the Guardian's "what if"15:40
LjLthe fact that things are going on as usual should scare you, not relieve you15:40
mefistofelesI don't really have reasons for being scare, tbh15:40
LjLgood for you15:40
mefistofelesbut that's from case to case, I guess15:40
mefistofelesperson to person15:40
mefistofeleswe can already see Germany and US cases rate peaking, so it should get a bit better from now on, if things stay that way15:43
mefistofelesand still the hospitals are working well enough, in general... which the same cannot be said for some Italian hospitals, sadly :(15:44
mefistofelesalso cases there are still growing exponentially, it seems15:44
contingothe vague UK gov position is more like, we will very probably have a large epidemic soon, and need to similarly lockdown at some point, but indefinite lockdown is infeasible so it needs to be timed to have maximum impact on spread15:45
mefistofelesso yeah, I think there are plenty of differences between Italy and Germany or France15:45
mefistofeleswhy? that's actually a mystery to me, and maybe something interesting going on there15:46
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +60 cases (now 116541), +103 recoveries (now 64553) ๐Ÿ”ถ UK: +52 cases (now 373) ๐Ÿ”ถ Spain: +4 cases (now 1650), +103 recoveries (now 135) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Gansu, Mainland China: +1 cases (now 125)15:46
LjLItalian hospitals were working fine when we had as few (yet many) cases as Germany. i'm not sure what makes you think that Germany and the US have already reached a peak. i think they are very far from the true peak.15:46
mefistofelesLjL: the tendency of the data15:46
mefistofelesI don't know the correct term in english, but it'snot just the plain "peak" but rate peak, of course many more cases will be still happening for weeks/month(?)15:48
mefistofelesso basically, the slope of the tangent line, if you want15:48
ubLIXmefistofeles: you're might be dreaming/delusional15:48
LjLfrom what i can see it may very well just be "jittery" in the data, because one day you have less, the next day more, the next day again less15:48
mefistofelesit has been less consistently for last 3 days or so15:49
ubLIXcontingo: apparently the Cheltenham Festival is going ahead (started today) with 250,000 visitors over 4 days :|15:49
mefistofeleswhich is also the expected behaviour15:49
python476hi back15:50
LjLhi15:50
mefistofelesso, I studied this paper on the CryoEM structure of the receptor in complex with part of the virion for SAS-CoV-2, it has some pretty interesting things but nothing conclusive, of course15:51
contingoubLIX: the organizers indefinitely postponed the ~30K attendee NEC (indoor) photography gear expo this weekend, that I had already decided to not attend15:51
mefistofeles*SARS15:51
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 14:49 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Harvard orders students to vacate | L Brands warns on sanitizer hype โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q15:52
python476LjL how is it going for you today15:53
python476no issues ?15:53
mefistofelesthe new virus appears to have some mutations changing some hydrophobic aminoacids to polar ones, making the binding more tight, that may give hints onto why it is more contagious15:53
LjLpython476, not any in particular, no15:53
python476great then :)15:53
mefistofelesthat is, compared to SARS-CoV15:53
python476mefistofeles: how many variants are we ? 2 ?15:53
python476are/have15:54
mefistofelespython476: more, but I don't have the exact number now15:54
mefistofelesmore than 2 probably less than 1015:54
python476ok15:54
python476am I misguided thinking we're probably fine overall15:54
python476by that I mean no 1918 spanish flu catastrophe15:54
python476lots of monitoring, lots of parallel work on potential medical help (chloroquine and similar tricks)15:55
mefistofelesof course not, nobody sane expects things to go that bad15:55
python476maybe I'm over paranoid then15:55
mefistofelesyes, it's actually pretty impressive how they got this CryoEM structure that fast!!15:55
Tangent-Man[m]Seems pretty bad to me in Wuhan/Iran/Italy15:55
python476yeah and there's probably room to improve work rate now that everybody is on it15:55
mefistofelesand you can tell that in any other case that work/paper couldn't have made it to actual publication in Science, but it is a special topic right now15:56
mefistofelesTangent-Man[m]: still nothing even near to 1918 spanish flu as python476 was implying15:56
Tangent-Man[m]The problem is it's sooo damn infectiouse..15:57
mefistofeleswe are not saying it's good, this is not good in any scenario15:57
mefistofelesit's bad and worse in some regions15:57
Tangent-Man[m]No not Like Spanish Flu...Yet that came in 2 waves as the Virus mutated and came back again. It is impossible to tell at this stage if that will happen.15:58
mefistofelestrue, this virus will probably come back in the future, I'd say for sure15:58
Tangent-Man[m]But it's still bad. And I think America are kidding themselves if they think this is over.15:58
mefistofeleswe will just have it as another one in our flu season, maybe15:58
mefistofelesTangent-Man[m]: who is thinking this is over?15:59
Tangent-Man[m]I beleive it's jsut about to start. 15:59
mefistofelesI mean, like officially15:59
Tangent-Man[m]mefistofeles, you were saying you thought this had peaked.16:00
sneepthey didn't have like 20 cases last week16:00
Tangent-Man[m]How can it peak when on average each person with Covid-19 is giving it to 2 to 4 other people?16:01
mefistofelesTangent-Man[m]: that's really different from being over16:01
mefistofelesand again, I didn't say just "peaked"16:01
mefistofelesthe rate seems to have peaked, though16:01
mefistofelesin some regions16:01
Tangent-Man[m]Probably has more to do with the USA hospitals charging 1000 bucks for the PCR test.16:02
mefistofelescould be16:02
mefistofeleswerenรง t they charging before?16:02
sneepoops, i was scrolled up and meant, didn't they have like 20 cases last week? @germany16:02
mefistofelessneep: around 200/300 a week ago, fwiw16:03
sneepwhat about two weeks ago?16:03
mefistofeles16 or so16:04
mefistofelesbit higher actually16:04
Tangent-Man[m]Seems to me America is more concerned about the economic consequences to this than the loss of life.16:06
sneepwould be cool if soccer could be permanently suspeded16:07
mefistofelesTangent-Man[m]: ok, it wouldn't be the first time they do that, but also think that a big negative impact on economy could also imply loss of many lives16:07
mefistofelesI'm actually feeling it, and if I were infected it would harder for me to get self-quarantined than before the effects of the virus on economy, just to say an anecdotical case16:08
Tangent-Man[m]I dunno I think overall economic recesion is good for the environment as a whole.16:08
Tangent-Man[m]+Less money to spend on missiles16:09
mefistofelesI don't think it would last long enough to have a significant impact on the environment, tbh16:09
Tangent-Man[m]What a global recession?16:09
Tangent-Man[m]It's allready had some impact in Wuhan.. but yeh probably not enough to reverse global warming for example.16:10
mefistofelessure, it has effects on instant or local variables, such as air quality 16:10
mefistofeleswhich is good, of course, but doesn't really stop people from getting health conditions because of it, unless you manage to do that for several weeks/months each year16:11
Tangent-Man[m]Less of course  industrial manufacturing of chemicals etc. = less pollution. Dpeneds what you consider significant I guess.16:11
mefistofeleswhich I don't see that happening16:11
sneepProbably almost no effect16:12
Tangent-Man[m]It might make it worse. They might decide to cut down even more of the rain forrest due to removing even more legislation for example to make a quick $16:12
Tangent-Man[m]I'm not an expert on these things.16:13
sneepI know I'm using more electric power right now due to coronavirus16:13
mefistofelesit could, but also don't see that coming, at least not right now16:13
Tangent-Man[m]It seems like a sweeping statement tho to say that economic collapse neccesarily costs lives.16:13
mefistofelesthey will jsut start selling and closing markets16:13
mefistofelesglobal markets, that is16:13
mefistofeleswhich is already happening16:13
Tangent-Man[m]You can't eat money.16:14
mefistofelesand which is what affects me directly, because now I'm *really* poor as a foreigner :P16:14
mefistofelesso I cannot afford to get the same stock other people could, for quarantine or for whatever16:15
Tangent-Man[m]Most everyone has less money these days apart from the top 1%16:15
mefistofelesnot really, i mean, an apple is still X dollars.... BUT, since I have to convert from other currency to dollars/EUR, that's where it hurts16:15
mefistofelesthose other currencies are devaluating fast, by the minute16:16
mefistofeleswherease apples are not changing their price that fast, if at all16:16
Tangent-Man[m]True but hosuing and utilities are getting ridiculous16:16
sneepAre you guys still talking about coronavirus economics?16:17
mefistofelessneep: butchering it16:18
Tangent-Man[m]I guess we did digress slightly..16:18
mefistofelesI mean, this is of course on-topic as well, but may not be that interesting, sure16:18
sneepIf housing is expensive in your area, try living in a different area16:19
mefistofelesThat's not even an option for most people in the world16:19
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:16 UTC: Apple employee in Ireland tests positive for coronavirus in first confirmed case at company: Apple confirmed on Tuesday that an employee in its Cork, Ireland office has tested positive for coronavirus and has self-quarantined. The company said it believes the risk to others remains low. โ†’ https://is.gd/rkwPRR16:20
Tangent-Man[m]How can the risk to others remain low when the transmission ration is like 1 person infects 2 to 4 others?16:22
Tangent-Man[m]This virus is a beast.16:22
sneepThat's the transmission rate when things aren't going well16:22
Tangent-Man[m]No it's the transmission rate period.16:22
Tangent-Man[m]Things aren't going well.16:22
sneepThere are people who pass on the virus to 0 people, and there are people who pass on the virus to dozens of people16:23
python476what's n^4.. 16:23
Tangent-Man[m]It's called exponential growth.16:23
Tangent-Man[m]!16:23
python476as a coder, i am acquainted with the concept16:23
python476we're paid to create data viruses that infect memory 16:24
JX7P%cases Scotland16:24
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +229 cases (now 116770) ๐Ÿ”ถ France: +194 cases (now 1606) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Gansu, Mainland China: +1 cases (now 125) ๐Ÿ”ธ Hubei, Mainland China: +2 recoveries (now 47743) ๐Ÿ”ธ Malta: +1 cases (now 5) ๐Ÿ”ธ Moldova: +2 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Viet16:24
python476although we're supposed to control the spread ~_~16:24
BrainstormJX7P: 3 lest ah googled (45 seconds ago)16:24
JX7PBrainstorm: google again16:25
JX7Pit's 2716:25
ubLIXJX7P: Lothian still in the lead :|  -  guess where I am16:28
oxalis%travis16:31
oxalis%data travis16:32
Brainstormoxalis: Sorry, travis not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.16:32
oxalis%data san diego16:32
Brainstormoxalis: In San Diego County, CA, US, there are 3 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 1 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 02:05:02 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=San%20Diego%20County,%20CA for time series data.16:32
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:31 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Harvard orders students to vacate | 'Ghost flights' in Europe โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q16:34
tinwhiskersmefistofeles: I'm not selling any evidence of the rate peaking anywhere except South Korea. The US isn't peaking.16:41
tinwhiskers*seeing16:41
tinwhiskersOh, oh course China has peaked as well.16:41
pwr22!cases china16:42
pwr22Recovery rate still creeping up so yeah looks like it16:42
tinwhiskersI mean peaking in terms of the rate of new infections16:43
python476tinwhiskers: can't wait for monthly update from china16:44
python476+250000 cases16:44
python476thank you good night16:44
mefistofelestinwhiskers: sure, I guess it's too soon to tell, but there is some tendency, I wouldn't call it evidence, though 16:46
python476I kid you not, "Contagion 2011" movie is trending16:46
python476sorry I'm distracting16:46
mefistofelesI think I never saw that one16:47
tinwhiskersWell, I don't even see a tendency in the US. Figures are well up today on the last couple of days.16:47
python476it was pretty boring and passed as realist16:47
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:42 UTC: Coronavirus: Harvard moves classes online, tells students don't return after spring break: Harvard University told students Tuesday that all classes will be taught online starting March 23 and instructed all students to move out of their dorms by Sunday due to the coronavirus outbreak. โ†’ https://is.gd/6Ill6D16:47
mefistofelesbut it was actually recommended by a friend before all of this outbreak thing16:47
mefistofeleslike in december or so16:47
ubLIXpython476: i thought so too and years ago put it in the pile of dvds to get rid of. then i watched it last week, and the present circumstances certainly through a new emotional light over the film16:48
mefistofelestinwhiskers: you can easily say the last two days showed less new daily cases than the last two previous days, sure, still too soon 16:49
mefistofelesI mean in US France Germany and even Iran, last time I checked16:49
ubLIXit's probably not a bad thing it's trending, if it contributes even slightly to a widespread cautiousness of behaviour16:49
python476ubLIX: :)16:49
tinwhiskersmefistofeles: i don't think you're looking at the latest data. Yesterday you could have said that.16:50
ubLIX*through>throw16:50
python476mefistofeles: have you seen a website curating the recent list of potential medical aids for covid ?16:50
mefistofelestinwhiskers: I'm looking up to 9 march, true16:50
python476ubLIX: probably. edutainment 2020 edition16:50
ubLIXmefistofeles: i don't think the last two or three day's data can be taken as signal in the way you want 16:52
mefistofelesubLIX: Iรง m not talking it as anything, I'm just saying what they showed16:53
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +50 cases (now 116820) ๐Ÿ”ถ Japan: +38 cases (now 581) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Croatia: +1 cases (now 14) ๐Ÿ”ธ Norway: +5 cases (now 257) ๐Ÿ”ธ Qatar: +6 cases (now 24)16:53
mefistofelespython476: no, no idea about that16:53
mefistofelesyou can also see how the exponent is different for those cases compared to Italy, so there's also that... not sure how different but that should be easy to check16:58
python476mefistofeles: aight16:58
python476gonna poke reddit16:58
mefistofeleswhich was the original thing about Europe being already in the same situation of Italy, which doesn't seem to be the case... now, how different/similar? Who knows xD not an easy question16:59
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 15:58 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Harvard orders students to vacate | 'Ghost flights' in Europe โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q17:01
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 16:12 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Dow whipsaws | Harvard orders students to vacate | Insurers waive co-pays โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q17:15
fructosehttp://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-03/05/c_138846529.htm17:25
fructosehttps://112.international/society/covid-19-may-harm-central-nervous-system-medics-49272.html17:25
fructosehttps://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/pediatrics/113/1/e73.full.pdf17:26
fructoseNot sure if related, but caught my eye17:26
mefistofeleshow a "disorder of conciousness" is defined? do you know?17:30
yuriwhothere is definitely a neurological component that appears to be connected with ARDS17:33
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +58 cases (now 116878), +2 deaths (now 4090), +2 recoveries (now 64555) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile: +4 cases (now 17) ๐Ÿ”ธ Costa Rica: +4 cases (now 13) ๐Ÿ”ธ Croatia: +1 cases (now 14) ๐Ÿ”ธ 17:33
ubLIXmefistofeles: exact interpretations will vary by country/medical system but this gives a general idea: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glasgow_coma_scale (includes links to other scoring systems)17:33
mefistofeleshttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/07/coronavirus-reasons-to-be-reassured 17:37
mefistofelesubLIX: ah thanks17:37
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 16:54 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: NY establishes containment zone | Dow whipsaws | Harvard orders students to vacate โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q17:56
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +150 cases (now 117028), +8 recoveries (now 64563) ๐Ÿ”ถ Denmark: +106 cases (now 262) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Channel Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ Chile18:00
CatButtes[m]https://twitter.com/J__Velasquez/status/123741319446708224118:02
Timvde%cases Belgium18:03
BrainstormTimvde: In all areas, Belgium, there are 267 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 1 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 12:53:03 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Belgium for time series data.18:03
LjLitaly's numbers for today are coming soon(ish)18:03
TimvdeThe first Belgian citizen has died apparently, but they were not in Belgium18:04
TimvdeI'm not sure if that counts :P18:04
Timvde(And I actually think that it also wasn't very clear yet if it was corona or just a regular flu)18:04
LjLa virus that almost certainly has a neurological component, meaning among other things we probably won't get it out of our systems, and that we can delay but sooner or later, we will get18:06
LjLi'd rather have a giant meteorite right now18:06
oxalis%data Texas18:08
Brainstormoxalis: In TX, US, there are 14 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 16:13:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.18:08
oxalis%cases Texas18:08
Brainstormoxalis: In TX, US, there are 14 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 16:13:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.18:08
LjLthe governor of Lombardy appears to be fighting with the central government because he wants stricter measures (closing all but essential activities) but the government doesn't18:09
LjLfor once i'm siding with him, despite being League party18:09
LjLpress conference of civil protection starting18:09
LjLrecovered: +28018:10
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:03 UTC: (news): New York Gov. Cuomo deploys National Guard to New Rochelle, establishes containment center to stem coronavirus โ†’ https://is.gd/rYEMPy18:10
LjLdeaths: +16818:10
LjLage groups among deaths: 2% are 50-59, 8% are 60-69, 32% are 70-79, 45% are 80-89, 14% >9018:11
LjLnew cases: +529 officially, but they are missing some recent updates from Lombardy18:11
LjLtotal 851418:12
LjL5038 are hospitalized with symptoms18:12
LjL2059 are at home18:12
LjL876 are in ICU18:12
LjL10% of positives18:12
LjLthey are still acquiring ventilators and PPEs, masks in particular18:12
LjL300k masks distributed today18:13
dunnpworking to move my class online now18:13
LjL>1m predicted to be distributed starting tomorrow18:13
LjL2264 ventilators for ICU, 1600 for sub-ICU will be delivered within the next... something18:14
LjL5 people had to be transferred from Lombardy to other regions because of unavailability of beds18:15
LjLthey had to deny some "fake news" today (sigh), such as ones including future evolution purported to come from the civil protection, which weren't true18:15
LjLnow the president of ISS will speak18:15
LjLan epidemiology report will be available twice a week starting today, on tuesdays and fridays, on the ISS "epicenter" site18:17
LjLquestion: when will we be able to see the effects of the measures adopted by the government? what about Lombardy wanting to close down more things?18:19
LjLanswer: the measures taken will not take effect instantaneously, but will be related to the incubation times, which can reach up to 14 days, although most frequently symptoms manifest between 4 and 7 days18:20
LjLso as an example, behaviors of people getting together in small crowded spaces, which have happened in the past few days, if someone there was infected, a significant part of the others may be infected in the span of a week18:20
LjLthese things can be avoided if we are all aware of this risk. so in perspective, if we behave this way, in a week or so we will see the curves starting to flatten, which will give those who get sick the chance of getting best treatment18:21
LjLabout Lombardy's requests to close down shops and public offices, i believe this request has to be evaluated, so i have no elements to provide an answer to this request18:22
LjLquestion: a detail about Lombardy. today appears to be the first time new case data are alower, but you said you are missing an update, so what do you expect? also, what about numbers in younger people?18:22
LjLanswer: i can confirm these are the data coming from Lombardy, to tell the truth if we take into account the recoveries, the datum on positives is actually going down. we *were* told there is a delay in testing, but we will only know more about this tomorrow18:23
LjLabout age groups, you will find some of these data in the aforementioned epidemiological report18:23
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:21 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: First NJ death | NY establishes containment zone | Dow whipsaws โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q18:23
LjLthis kind of report doesn't aim to be timely, but to see a trend18:23
LjLwe have evidence there's about 5 to 7% of people getting infected before 30, which does confirm older people are more likely to catch it, but it also confirms the behavior of these younger group can be decisive18:24
LjLquestion: we've talked a lot in the past few days about the needed healthcare structures and instruments. what about the situation?18:24
LjLanswer: we don't have criticalities in other regions [aside from Lombardy], which are actually providing beds for Lombardy patients. there's a program to make the existing structures more powerful anyway.18:25
LjLquestion: about securing face masks, you talked about it, but they still cannot be obtained, just like alcohol and other common hygiene items you can normally buy in supermarkets. do you expect to be able to provide more of these?18:26
LjLanswer: first on your question i want to take the opportunity to tell people NOT to hoard goods, because if demand goes beyond offer, you won't find goods. we remind that food and other goods are still being delivered regularly, so there is no reason to rush and hoard.18:27
LjLlast question: about tests, can we hypothize asymptomatic patients could also be tested, or testing the entire population, or the whole of Lombardy? and another question, about ICU, how long does it take on average for a patient to leave ICU? this is to udnerstand how taxed the structures are18:28
LjLanswer: about tests, you know we have adopted an indication by the ISS to only use tests on symptomatic people, and/or close contacts. other policies on tests have not been evaluated yet, but there are experiences at the international level, these will be evaluated when the results are available18:29
LjLwe could do blanket testing in Vo' because it was a very small town, but with the data we have today countrywide, it apepars impossible to extend that method to the whole population18:29
LjLthat said, we are facing a new form of epidemic, so any knowledge we develop, any new diagnostic abilities, will drive any new strategies to adopt18:30
LjL(inaudible question)18:30
LjLthose who end up in ICU usually leave ICU and stay hospitalized with milder symptoms, then remain positive but asymptomatic, and then after they are negative twice, they can go back to the community18:30
LjLthe actual duration of time spent in ICU is highly variable depending on age groups18:31
LjLvery last question: there's been talk of a commissioner to help with the situation. would this be useful, and what for?18:31
LjLi think the PM has been clear on this: there is an enormous work to be done for acquiring goods and services, and our civil protection center has become a hub taking all sorts of requests from regional administrations and all public institution18:32
LjLi still believe any decision that goes in the direction of making the system more powerful is always welcome, although i believe we are adequately facing the situation18:32
LjL--- end18:32
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live at 17:31 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Conferenza stampa 10 marzo 2020 ore 18.00 โ€“ Coronavirus - YouTube โ†’ https://is.gd/V0lFmN18:37
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +1064 cases (now 118092), +280 recoveries (now 64843) ๐Ÿ”ถ Norway: +40 cases (now 304) ๐Ÿ”ถ Italy: +977 cases (now 10149), +280 recoveries (now 1004) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambod18:40
yuriwhojust imagine how tough this is for people stuck watch MSM TV that don't have diverse communities to inform/discuss18:43
philhttps://twitter.com/MicrobiomDigest/status/1237422502025949185?s=1918:49
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:42 UTC: Watch: HHS Secretary Alex Azar to discuss US coronavirus response: Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar provided an update on the Trump administration's response to the coronavirus outbreak. โ†’ https://is.gd/CLHfnh18:51
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 17:59 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: First NJ death, NY establishes containment zone, Dow whipsaws โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q19:05
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +132 cases (now 118224), +168 deaths (now 4258), +63 recoveries (now 64906) ๐Ÿ”ถ Malaysia: +63 recoveries (now 87) ๐Ÿ”ถ Italy: +168 deaths (now 631) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +120 cases (now 1437) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ 19:07
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:13 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Walmart deploys leave policy, first NJ death, NY establishes containment zone โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q19:18
LjLSpain looks critical19:23
LjLif Germany and France are keeping cases under control (although i think it's early to say that), Spain definitely isn't19:23
oxalisI think the USA is not going to do anything19:24
LjLyesterday's press conference didn't sound like they are19:25
mefistofelesI don't even know what's Germany doing, if anything special other than the common WHO things19:26
mefistofelesLjL: the exponential growth is less in Germany or France, compared to Italy or Spain19:27
LjLso it would seem. i don't consider Italy even in the same league19:27
mefistofelesyes19:28
mefistofelestrue19:28
LjLbut until a few days ago, Germany, France and Spain were similar, and if anything Spain was behind19:28
mefistofelesdepends on what you are talking about, in number of cases, sure19:28
LjLnow Spain is looking like it'll be the next major outbreak to me19:28
mefistofelesbut Iรง m talking about the exponent in the exponential fit, for example19:28
LjLi have done no calculations, and i am not good at doing them, but from the sheer looks of the graph, Spain looks... a lot more exponential than others. it reminds me of Italy's graph, despite nearly an order of magnitude fewer cases19:29
LjLalso France's growth today is worrisome, *if* the "non-authoritative" data in tinwhiskers's graphs are correct19:30
LjLif they are then they were probably underestimating new cases in the past couple of days19:30
mefistofelesLjL: yes, if that's confirmed, that's the case19:31
mefistofelesbut I've found this non-authoritative data to always give a higher number of cases than the actual report, in the few cases I've checked, which aren't that many tbh19:31
mefistofelesgah, ifonly I could do this stuff, but I'm really busy with other things19:32
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:26 UTC: Coronavirus: Harvard moves classes online, tells students not to return after spring break: Harvard University told students Tuesday that all classes will be taught online starting March 23 and instructed all students to move out of their dorms by Sunday due to the coronavirus outbreak. โ†’ https://is.gd/6Ill6D19:32
LjLcontingo, yuriwho: there is this video https://youtu.be/U7F1cnWup9M?t=93 which is quite technical to me, might sounds like biology 101 to you, i'm not sure, anyway it talks about zinc and the fact it inhibits an enzyme the virus uses, but only if you can get it inside cells, which you normally can't, except chloroquine is a ionophore that allows that to happen19:34
LjLyou mentioned chloroquine as seeming a promising treatment, not sure if that was already in combination with zinc19:34
yuriwhoI am currently watching it and not impressed. I'll give an update after I finish watching it19:35
LjLah, alright19:36
mefistofelestoday we found that the BโฐAT1 protein can be a good candidate for treatment or vaccine19:41
BrainstormNew from Gazzetta Ufficiale italiana at 18:43 UTC: COMITATO INTERMINISTERIALE PER LA PROGRAMMAZIONE ECONOMICA - DELIBERA 21 novembre 2019: Linea   ferroviaria    alta    velocita'/alta    capacita'    (AV/AC)Milano-Verona.  Tratta  Brescia-Verona:  lotto   funzionale   BresciaEst-Verona (escluso nodo di  Verona).  Autorizzazione  del  2ยฐ  [... want %more?] โ†’ https://is.gd/hwbPki19:46
yuriwhoOK, the chloroquine/Zn connection is just a theory, no more than that. Preliminary Phase II data would be published by now if chloroquine was indeed having major effects. We expect to see publication of muddy data soon and useful data this summer. Please DO NOT self medicate based on rumors/hype. The high doses used in these preliminary studies are likely to be harmful. FYI I spent about 4 hours yesterday researching 19:48
yuriwhoChloroquine in general and it may be useful in treatment but no medical data to support that notion has been published in a peer reviewed journal, nor in any detailed fashion.19:48
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 18:54 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Walmart's leave policy, NJ's first death, NY's containment zone โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q20:00
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +203 cases (now 118427), +1 deaths (now 4259), +2 recoveries (now 64908) ๐Ÿ”ถ France: +178 cases (now 1784) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 20:00
mefistofelesoh noes, they cancelled one of the events :(20:12
oxaliswhich one?20:12
darsie6 doctors contracted covid-19 from a patient in Austria.20:13
darsie%data austria20:13
Brainstormdarsie: In all areas, Austria, there are 182 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 4 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 17:13:16 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Austria for time series data.20:13
mefistofelesoxalis: https://www.mpibpc.mpg.de/grubmueller/huenfeld20:13
skyofdust%data mexico20:13
Brainstormskyofdust: In all areas, Mexico, there are 7 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 4 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 06:13:07 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Mexico for time series data.20:13
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:08 UTC: NYC coronavirus cases are 'coming in so intensely now,' Mayor de Blasio says: Private labs that began running coronavirus tests in New York City on Friday are reporting so many new cases that public officials are having trouble keeping up. โ†’ https://is.gd/UY6LV820:13
oxalis%Tijuana20:14
ryoumayuriwho: i am not sure but chloroquine might be closely related to fluoroquinolones enough to be a risk for fluoroquinolone poisoning, or a risk for those who were knowinglyor unknowningly so poisoned.20:14
oxalis%data Tijuana20:14
Brainstormoxalis: Sorry, Tijuana not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.20:14
mirsal%data lyon20:14
Brainstormmirsal: Sorry, lyon not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.20:14
ryouma%data ct20:15
Brainstormryouma: In CT, US, there are 1 cases, 0 deaths (0.0% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 16:13:05 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.20:15
skyofdust%data france20:15
Brainstormskyofdust: In all areas, France, there are 1784 cases, 30 deaths (1.7% of cases), 12 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 19:30:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=France for time series data.20:15
ryouma%data tokyo20:15
Brainstormryouma: Sorry, tokyo not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.20:15
ryouma%data japan20:15
Brainstormryouma: In all areas, Japan, there are 581 cases, 10 deaths (1.7% of cases), 102 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 19:30:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Japan for time series data.20:15
Brainstormryouma: Mortality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.6% (assuming deaths/cases with โ…” of cases undetected), and less than 8.8% (considering only deaths and recoveries).20:15
oxalisfack20:22
tinwhiskersmefistofeles: I'm beginning to agree about the unconfirmed data. I think there's a high chance that some of the cases are double-counted. The sources they are using are pretty wild. But they still seem to be a reasonable approximation of what you'll see from the confirmed JH stats.20:27
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:25 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Walmart's leave policy, NJ's first death, NY's containment zone โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q20:27
fedorafanhey20:29
tinwhiskersHi fedorafan20:30
fedorafancoronavirus banned me20:30
fedorafantoo much rep shit20:31
oxaliswhat is rep shit?20:31
tinwhiskerso.O20:31
fedorafanpro republicans they seem to prefer the others20:31
oxalisoh20:31
pwr22I was also wondering20:32
CatButtes[m]And Iโ€™m assuming you mean /r/Coronavirus on reddit?20:32
tinwhiskersMy guess is they prefer it to not be too political at all20:32
fedorafanah no20:32
fedorafanhere you have ##coronavirus20:32
fedorafanwell20:32
fedorafanpro dems20:32
tinwhiskersInvitation only :-(20:32
fedorafanoh rly20:32
fedorafanah sry # one20:33
pwr22We don't really have any politics in here so welcome ๐Ÿ™‚20:33
oxalisare we so divided now that the lefties and righties have to have separate diseases now?20:33
fedorafanlol20:33
pwr22Huh, is it providing support for coronavirus lol?20:33
ryoumai was concerned about mass atrocities and war before the virus.  i am more concerned now.20:33
tinwhiskersfedorafan: but we also don't want this to be political here20:34
fedorafanahh are you admin20:34
tinwhiskers*too political20:34
CatButtes[m]Fuck that. Disease is true communism. Everybody is equal in the eyes of the virus. Or something like that anyway...20:34
fedorafanlol20:34
fedorafanyeah but you can be polite and say hey stop that whatever but fine20:34
fedorafanthey say you talk shit bla and so go away20:35
fedorafanI said hey man what was the problem say it and no answer boom20:35
tinwhiskersHeh20:35
fedorafanok I see next ban20:35
oxalisI pissed another channel the other day by saying that I think the death rate is definately below 1%20:35
fedorafanwhere20:35
LjLplease let's not talk about what happens in other channels20:35
fedorafanahh I know him20:36
fedorafanhe was there too20:36
pwr22<fedorafan "ok I see next ban"> ?20:36
fedorafan*too political20:36
LjLyes, and i run this channel, and i've seen you say mostly what seemed nonsense to me, so unless you act different here, don't expect a different treatment, really20:36
fedorafanahhh its yours too20:36
fedorafanok what was nonsense?20:37
LjLpretty much everything, really, you just keep pressing Enter on sentence fragments20:37
tinwhiskersYou're just ranting. Calm down and think about what you're wanting to say.20:37
LjLindeed.20:37
fedorafanif someone says what you say is shit you feel like what20:37
LjLalso i'm sure you have not seen me mention other channels in there. just saying.20:37
fedorafanif I say tell me what was the problem and there comes nothing20:37
fedorafanfine20:37
fedorafanI stop20:37
pwr22fedorafan: this channel is very reasonable so no need to worry about being unduly banned but this isn't really on topic so please do feel free to chat about the virus ๐Ÿ˜20:38
fedorafanyeah20:38
pwr22๐Ÿ‘๏ธ20:38
commandocrypto[m> if I say tell me what was the problem and there comes nothing20:38
commandocrypto[mHes being kind just accept whatever welcome you still seem to have retained20:38
oxalisThey assumed I was pushing Fox News agenda... I just believe there are sooooo many undocumented mild and asymptomatic cases that the actual death rate is lower than reported20:39
commandocrypto[m%data uk20:39
fedorafanI dont judge it20:39
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +15846 cases (now 134273), +297 deaths (now 4556), +3081 recoveries (now 67989) ๐Ÿ”ถ Norway: +32 cases (now 336) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 ca20:39
Brainstormcommandocrypto[m: In all areas, UK, there are 373 cases, 6 deaths (1.6% of cases), 18 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 17:13:16 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=UK for time series data.20:39
pwr22!cases uk20:39
LjLoxalis, i don't, because i feel there's been enough extensive testing in places like the UK and China now to rule out a "hidden sea" of asymptomatic cases. there are some, sure, but not such a substantial number. it was a perfectly reasonable theory... until it just seemed wrong.20:40
pwr22Huh, death rate is creeping up20:40
wormfarmwhere is it creeping up?20:40
tinwhiskersLjL++20:40
pwr22uk20:40
CatButtes[m]Uk I suspect20:40
fedorafanso what are the flu death rates?20:40
fedorafanI said its 4000 in wuhan20:40
tinwhiskersAbout 0.1%20:40
LjLless than 0.4% i believe, although it definitely varies by year20:41
fedorafanoctober to may20:41
CatButtes[m]The UK seems to be roughly where Italy was 10 days ago. Hopefully it doesnโ€™t follow the same curve20:41
fedorafannow we have 2404?20:41
fedorafanand is it all by corona?20:41
commandocrypto[mAlso consider us isnt testing enought either (and wont be, VP pence took back what he said about 1mil test kits "soon")20:41
fedorafanor also flu how do they measure it20:41
tinwhiskersfedorafan: slow down!20:41
pwr22<LjL "oxalis, i don't, because i feel "> I'm not sure uk has been testing non-symptomatic people though?20:41
LjLfedorafan, deaths ascribed to coronavirus are from people who have tested positive. they are not from people who just had flu.20:41
fedorafanso they have corona and no flu?20:42
fedorafanwhere are the reports20:42
commandocrypto[m> The UK seems to be roughly where Italy was 10 days ago. Hopefully it doesnโ€™t follow the same curve20:42
commandocrypto[mSadly the severity of outbreak seems to correlate to behavior of public in the 2 weeks before community transmission. So uk is kill20:42
LjLpwr22, no, but it has tested mildly symptomatic people (namely everyone who came in with shortness of breath, without anything else) and they didn't find a large number of cases there. and that's people who sort of *are* symptomatic... yet the rates were very low...20:42
fedorafanflu+corona death what is it counted pro flu or pro corona?20:42
skyofdustMathematically and statistically, death rate should be lower and there should be a lot of undocumented cases... a death definitely doesn't go unnoticed, but mild infections could, I see why you think that oxalis20:42
oxalisthat was my reasoning20:43
LjLfedorafan, criteria depends on the country.20:43
fedorafanwhat are the criterias20:43
LjLthey very depending on the country.20:43
fedorafanwuhan20:43
oxalisbut Im not even an amature statistician so I'm here to learn20:43
fedorafanso the can guarantee someone died of corona not of flue20:43
fedorafanthough he got both?20:43
LjLfedorafan, they varied even in Wuhan during the epidemic. it was generally rumored that China ascribed many deaths to other causes, like "viral pneumonia", instead of directly ascribing them to COVID-1920:44
fedorafanwhere are the sources20:44
mefistofeleswoah, big number of deads for Italy in the last couple of days20:44
oxalisI will say this - from what I'm seeing on the ground in Texas, it doesn't inspire much confidence in the USA's ability to do the tests and track the numbers20:44
mefistofelesdidn't notice that20:44
LjLfedorafan, you cannot "guarantee" anything of the sort, but it seems very reasonable to me that if you get COVID-19, which is a serious illness, and then die, COVID-19 was at least partly responsible20:44
commandocrypto[mIn wuhan they are counting wuflu poz deaths as "building collapse" and "building fire"20:44
pwr22!cases us20:44
fedorafanso you dont know it but claim it20:44
commandocrypto[mI dont believe there was only 70 in that hotel when it collapsed20:45
fedorafan2404 corona deaths20:45
tinwhiskersMost people who are asymptomatic go on to develop symptoms within 14 days. If there was a sea of asymptomatic people we would have been seeing more cases emerge. The epidemiology just does not support the idea. People who have this gut feeling are just wrong.20:45
LjLfedorafan, okay, see, have a look at the way i type in full sentences, often fairly long, without hitting Enter every three words and demanding information without even waiting for a response. I want you to do the same.20:45
tinwhiskersYes there are cases but not *that* many20:45
fedorafanits not my way and if you are interested in facts you wouldnt make a problem of that and what I said you couldnt explain its just a well its like that20:46
commandocrypto[m> fedorafan, they varied even in Wuhan during the epidemic. it was generally rumored that China ascribed many deaths to other causes, like "viral pneumonia", instead of directly ascribing them to COVID-1920:46
commandocrypto[mThe japanes man who died in whuhan is a gr8 example: classed as ILI just like they are doing in usa20:46
oxalistinwhiskers: which 'gut feeling' are you referring to?>20:46
tinwhiskersoxalis: the gut feeling about a sea of asymptomatic people (without evidence for such a thing)20:47
LjLfedorafan, you don't just get to have "your way" when you are in a social setting. do what others do who are here and behave in ways that don't annoy others.20:47
fedorafanwell you have to believe that stats chines gov states right20:47
commandocrypto[mHe means everyone thinks there are asymptomatic all over20:47
pwr22<CovBot[m] "In US there have been a total of"> If US was avoiding reporting cases but is forced to report the deaths then it would make the death rate artificially higher right? Does 3.5% seem a little high for the point they're at?20:47
commandocrypto[mBut there probably arent. Some countries could be close to erradicating20:48
commandocrypto[mInstead they open their borders20:48
fedorafansocial setting oh man20:48
astraliam[m]<commandocrypto[m "I dont believe there was only 70"> why would you collapse a building only to have to pull people out the wreckage again? https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/07/china/china-coronavirus-hotel-collapse/index.html20:48
commandocrypto[m@astraliam:1312.media: kek what is save face20:49
fedorafanI was in a room a guy did the same and it was fine to all and me too20:49
fedorafanotherwise I make focus on the facts that is what I want to have20:49
fedorafanyou are the chief20:50
CatButtes[m]fedorafan: when there are a lot of people talking, it is easier to understand what you are saying if you get it all out at once. If you break it up and others talk in between (and they will) people will get pissed at you for making it hard to follow.20:50
fedorafansure but if I do it in once ahh well its ok20:50
LjLwell, it's more okay if you use punctuation and type in full sentences, in general.20:51
LjLi don't want to have to parse things i read on an IRC channel like i'd be parsing telegrams written in 185020:51
pwr22fedorafan: I think the point LjL is trying to make is we can't actually understand what you're replying to or talking about when you do get all fragmented ๐Ÿฅด20:51
LjLwe have enough 2020 problems already...20:51
fedorafanI got you20:51
tinwhiskersAlso raise one point, then discuss that. Don't blurt out half a dozen points at once or there's no way to have a decent discussion20:52
fedorafanmy point was to say its not clear if its corona or flu20:52
pwr22If what is covid or flu?20:52
fedorafancorona = covid?20:52
pwr22I think the tests can tell them apart20:53
fedorafanso if someone get both and he dies what does he count20:53
tinwhiskersYes, and it was pointed out that the stats for deaths only come from those people who have had positive tests for covid-1920:53
CatButtes[m]<pwr22 "I think the tests can tell them "> Very much so. If they actually do the tests...20:53
pwr22People don't often get two illnesses at once for reasons20:53
tinwhiskersThey are still considered to have died after contracting coronavirus20:53
pwr22Unless immunosuppressed20:53
commandocrypto[mVery few have tests. Almost none in africa and usa20:54
fedorafanso they got both and are counted as covid death20:54
tinwhiskersYes20:54
fedorafanis that ok?20:54
LjLi wouldn't go as far as saying "almost none" in the USA. they certainly could have... more.20:54
tinwhiskersfedorafan: that else would you do?20:54
pwr22In that case they would be counted as both20:54
pwr22i would have thought20:54
fedorafanI dont know but its not clear to me20:54
LjLit really does depend on the country, and even without a country, sometimes they change the rules for this. it's a fluid situation. they changed the rules in China, and suddenly there was a spike in cases. they are changing the rules now in Italy, and we have fewer cases.20:55
LjLeven within* a country20:55
tinwhiskersPeople who have seasonal flu then contract the coronavirus are far more likely to die and should be counted in the covid-19 stats20:55
fedorafanthats nonsense to me20:55
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 19:51 UTC: NYC coronavirus cases are 'coming in so intensely now,' Mayor de Blasio says: Private labs that began running coronavirus tests in New York City on Friday are reporting so many new cases that public officials are having trouble keeping up. โ†’ https://is.gd/UY6LV820:55
LjLi am going to have dinner. i trust i'll find this channel all in one piece when i come back.20:55
commandocrypto[m@fedorafan corona is not being over counted or overreported, especially from comorbidity. If anything, the ipposite is truw20:55
wormfarmljl : does this get worse before it gets better?20:56
wormfarmwhere are we going here20:56
tinwhiskersPeople who have any lung condition then contract the coronavirus are far more likely to die. Should we not be reporting those cases either because of comorbid problems? Of course they still count as covid-1920:56
commandocrypto[mMany deaths in many places are just counted as ILI or pneumonia etc. China started this pattern as the first japanes death (in wuhan) proved20:57
commandocrypto[m> ljl : does this get worse before it gets better?20:57
commandocrypto[mYes. Much much worse. It hasnt even begun20:57
fedorafanso you know that20:58
fedorafanor is it assuming20:58
tinwhiskersfedorafan: nobody *knows* the future but it looks very likely we have not reached peak infections outside of China and possibly South Korea20:59
fedorafanso you believe it20:59
wormfarmwhen you say "and possibly south korea" it confuses me20:59
ryoumaif you do have comorbidities, are they going to take special care of you or will they triage you and leave you to die?20:59
tinwhiskersMost countries are still increasing in rate each day20:59
wormfarmare you saying that south korea is similar to china because it has leveling off of cases?20:59
tinwhiskerswormfarm: I'm not saying they are similar. I'm just saying they are leveling off21:00
wormfarmi see21:00
wormfarmthe way you write sometimes confuses me21:00
tinwhiskersOk21:00
wormfarmit's like you make two or three suppositions with one statement lol21:00
commandocrypto[m> or is it assuming21:01
commandocrypto[mIm assuming many ppl will continue to be unprepared and u unworried so wuhan will look like a nice walk in the park compared to the future. We had 2 months to prepare what makes u think ppl will use the next 2 weeks any differently? I hope i am wrong21:01
yuriwhoeveryone should expect the number of US cases to skyrocket this week as they have only just begun testing people that are sick who have not traveled to an outbreak zone21:01
commandocrypto[m> if you do have comorbidities, are they going to take special care of you or will they triage you and leave you to die?21:02
commandocrypto[mItaly is wisely triaging for young and healthy cases to try to save them21:02
pwr22!cases china21:02
pwr22!cases south k21:03
pwr22!cases it21:03
freelockI'm in the middle of an outbreak zone (Seattle) and I'm hearing stories about at risk people coming down with symptoms after exposure to people traveling from Japan, recovering, and never even getting tested despite repeated requests21:03
pwr22Huh, unless south korea are not reporting recoveries well it looks like things are still going on there21:03
freelockso I think our numbers are vastly under-reported (but also it suggests the virus may be far less deadly...)21:04
tinwhiskerspwr22: yes, but the rate of new cases is dropping markedly. It takes time for people to recover. 21:05
tinwhiskers%cases South Korea21:05
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +72 cases (now 134345) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +68 cases (now 873) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +1 cases (now 31) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ontario, Canada: +2 cases (now 36) ๐Ÿ”ธ Channel21:05
pwr22Just seems like a very low number of published recoveries21:05
Brainstormtinwhiskers: In all areas, South Korea, there are 7513 cases, 53 deaths (0.7% of cases), 247 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 21:03:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=South%20Korea for time series data.21:05
tinwhiskerspwr22: check that time series data ^21:06
tinwhiskersThey are the only country outside China that is showing such a slowing in new cases21:06
pwr22Sure21:07
commandocrypto[mKeep in mind that the published recoveries data is the most unreliable - many official "revovered" have gone home and ended up dead, or testing poz later21:07
pwr22They definitely aren't reporting recoveries the same way italy is21:07
pwr22Yeah21:07
tinwhiskersMaybe21:07
pwr22I would have thought they could chase up on them at some point21:07
tinwhiskersRecoveries aren't really much of an indicator for disease spread though21:07
wormfarmitaly's response is really impressing me no21:08
wormfarmnow21:08
wormfarmbravo italy21:08
pwr22Though I don't buy that they haven't have more recoveries in hospital either21:08
tinwhiskersThe new cases is the important thing21:08
pwr22I'm interested in the ratio of sick, recovered dead21:08
tinwhiskersOk21:08
wormfarmi just wish italy had invested more in its medical infrastructure and incentivized doctors to stay around 21:08
pwr22To get a sense of how the country is handling stuff21:08
tinwhiskersAh, I see21:08
pwr22Hence why my bot shows the things I want :D21:08
fedorafanI want it to be a big lie21:09
fedorafanso everyone will survive and its fine21:09
pwr22I will definitely put deltas in there though21:09
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 20:05 UTC: (news): Coronavirus live updates: Trump pitches 0%, NYC's count can't keep up, virus on trading floor โ†’ https://is.gd/H79f9Q21:09
tinwhiskersThe recoveries data is suspect. Even at the end of a pandemic they don't add up21:09
pwr22fedorafan: if only21:09
fedorafanI dont know21:09
pwr22Though I suspect most will survive21:09
commandocrypto[m(Sorry for big sauce but very relevant to current discussion)21:10
tinwhiskersWell, yeah, about 97% will survive :-)21:10
fedorafanif you believe in 3% death rate21:10
tinwhiskersfedorafan: yes, I'm sure you know better21:10
fedorafandid I say so21:10
pwr22I believe in statistical averages21:11
pwr22You did infer21:11
pwr22:P21:11
fedorafanof numbers what are given21:11
fedorafanby whoever21:11
commandocrypto[m> Well, yeah, about 97% will survive :-)21:11
commandocrypto[mThats not how HIV works and recall this doesnt have betacoronavirus spikes. It has HIV spikes21:11
fedorafanits a believing system21:11
pwr22fedorafan: there is a lot of data from a lot of different countries so we can average across them21:12
tinwhiskersAlso it's likely the disease will peter out somewhere around 80% of the population due to herd immunity; perhaps a bit lower, so the 97% is only of this infected of course21:12
fedorafanas I said21:12
pwr22They are likely not all completely lying21:12
fedorafanI cant judge it21:12
CatButtes[m]<tinwhiskers "Well, yeah, about 97% will survi"> My concern with this is what happens if the medical system is overwhelmed and unable to care for the 10-20% who need hospital care?21:12
pwr22Yeah, could be worse than that21:12
tinwhiskersCatButtes[m]: yes, that's a concern for sure21:12
fedorafanor much better21:12
pwr22One good thing is we're going to end up with a lot more respirators after this21:13
CatButtes[m]With medical care, it might be 3% but once hospitals are saturated you are looking at a much higher rate21:13
CatButtes[m]<pwr22 "One good thing is we're going to"> And hopefully more funding for the NHS so we are ready for next time...21:13
fedorafanI dont want you to say its harmless but to be sceptic21:13
tinwhiskersCatButtes[m]: yes we need people to take this seriously to slow the rate such that medical services can cope. 21:13
wormfarmhow does med care in italy compare to south korea CatButtes[m] ?21:14
fedorafanthanks for being polite21:14
wormfarmdo you south korea has more hospital beds and ICU beds than italy per capita?21:14
CatButtes[m]<wormfarm "how does med care in italy compa"> Favourably I believe. However the effected populations skews much older21:14
wormfarm# of smokers in italy vs south korea?21:15
pwr22If I believe in any conspiracy theory about this (which I don't ๐Ÿ˜ถ) it's that it's a bio-weapon engineered to thin the aging population21:15
tinwhiskersAverage age in South Korea is 41, Italy 4521:15
pwr22%wa percent people who smoke in italy21:15
Brainstormpwr22, Wolfram|Alpha (elements | human abundance | Italy | current tobacco use among adults | total): Results: elements | human abundance | 2ร—10^-6 mass% Italy | current tobacco use among adults | total | 26.1% (age >=15) (2005 estimate) โ†’ https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=percent+people+who+smoke+in+italy21:15
wormfarmdon't say stuff like that here pwr22 ljl will get mad21:16
pwr22%wa percent people who smoke in south korea21:16
Brainstormpwr22, Wolfram|Alpha (elements | human abundance | South Korea | current tobacco use among adults | total): Results: elements | human abundance | 2ร—10^-6 mass% South Korea | current tobacco use among adults | total | 29.7% (age >=15) (2005 estimate) โ†’ https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=percent+people+who+smoke+in+south+korea21:16
fedorafangood night21:16
commandocrypto[mWait are ppl still peddling the bat accident story to cover up for Dr Charles Lieber???21:16
tinwhiskerspwr22: interesting21:16
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: take that to your conspiracy channel21:17
pwr22So looks like South Korea and Italy are about the same in terms of smokers, with South Korea slightly higher21:17
tinwhiskersYeah21:17
pwr22Though that data is very old21:17
wormfarmdamn wolfrom alpha is powerful21:17
pwr22200521:17
tinwhiskersIt probably hasn't changed a great deal. 21:17
CatButtes[m]I was about to say that's not that old, but it is 15 years old. Fuck.21:18
tinwhiskersThey're not very different21:18
tinwhiskersHrm21:18
tinwhiskersYeah21:18
pwr22<wormfarm "don't say stuff like that here P"> I don't think it's true but it seems to most credible one I've read. Most have almost no logical grounding in what is actually happening but are entirely based on the idea that everyone is being lied to21:19
pwr22The great thing about that is then you can pick whatever imagined truth is happening and so thus fit to any theory21:19
commandocrypto[mSmokers were underrepresented in cases (compared to population) in wuhan21:19
wormfarmljl gonna get mad pwr2221:20
pwr22Ok so we have n=121:20
CatButtes[m]<commandocrypto[m "Smokers were underrepresented in"> It is a plot by big tobacco to get us all to take up smoking /s21:20
pwr22Now if that holds true in a bunch of other countries then maybe we have a trend21:20
commandocrypto[mI still havent wrapped my head around that - maybe all smokers just got incorrectly catagorized as copd and put in the incinerators?21:20
wormfarmpwr22, when u think about it tho like it makes sense21:21
tinwhiskersThat's weird. Do you have a source commandocrypto[m?21:21
wormfarmall deez countries got their pension funds that are sagging21:21
commandocrypto[mLol take that conspiracy tier shit outta here /s21:21
CatButtes[m]Not impossible. If they couldn't compensate well enough and crashed at the wrong time, I can see them just getting cremated quickly21:21
wormfarmand thinning out the herd a little bit would help them right pwr22 21:21
tinwhiskersSmokers who did get it were more likely to die.21:21
skyofdustAs in Tabacco smokers?21:22
tinwhiskersI never heard smokers were less likely to contract it though21:22
tinwhiskersskyofdust: yeah21:22
commandocrypto[m> That's weird. Do you have a source commandocrypto[m?21:22
commandocrypto[mYes, the reports from ccp for tge first 3 weeks had breakdowns foe age, gebder and smoking21:22
commandocrypto[mt. official reports21:22
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 20:13 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: According to my count, using the New York Times livetracker, local state Department of health numbers and the new Massachusetts numbers, there are currently 908 confirmed cases in the USA. โ†’ https://is.gd/7DT1XJ21:23
wormfarmhow could it be 908 already 21:23
wormfarmit was just 50021:23
CatButtes[m]<wormfarm "how could it be 908 already "> Spike in tests being performed21:24
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: I'm only finding evidence saying smokers were both more likely to contract or and more likely to die from it.21:24
commandocrypto[mI mean do as i do and not what i think out loud. Ive quite smoking everything 5 weeks ago to prepare21:25
commandocrypto[mEspecially because i think smoking herb will be the lifesaving silver bullet at deaths door if i cant get to civilisation and on a respirator21:26
skyofdustI'm still blazing weed daily, I hope I won't die x'D21:26
wormfarmjesus 620/10140 is the same as 1 out of 1621:26
wormfarm630*21:26
wormfarmthat's pretty high mortality rate isn't it21:26
commandocrypto[m@petersjt014:matrix.org: how much for respirator?21:26
commandocrypto[mEr peter roberts21:27
commandocrypto[m> commandocrypto: I'm only finding evidence saying smokers were both more likely to contract or and more likely to die from it.21:27
commandocrypto[mOne sec. Ill find sauce21:27
pwr22commandocrypto: what's up?21:28
ubLIXfrom this account from an Italian medic, number 5 is chilling, and you can imagine it being extended to smokers even without comorbidities: https://threader.app/thread/123714289107769753821:29
ubLIX"5/ Patients above 65 or younger with comorbidities are not even assessed by ITU, I am not saying not tubed, Iโ€™m saying not assessed and no ITU staff attends when they arrest. Staff are working as much as they can but they are starting to get sick and are emotionally overwhelmed. "21:29
CatButtes[m]Yeah, that is some sobering shit21:29
wormfarmchina is seeing a strong correlation between critical patients and hypertension21:32
tinwhiskersubLIX: holy crap21:32
commandocrypto[m> commandocrypto: what's up?21:32
commandocrypto[mLol just asking if ur selling papc21:32
pwr22What's papc?21:33
pwr22<wormfarm "china is seeing a strong correla"> That's not good for me21:33
CatButtes[m]Ditto. I may have to start watching my diet much more closely21:34
wormfarmdo you have high hypertension?21:34
CatButtes[m]Hopefully it isn't too late for me to get into a better shape21:34
wormfarmtell me your BP pwr22 21:34
wormfarmwhat's an ITU vs an ICU? i never heard ITU before21:36
pwr22It's not constant21:36
skyofdust%data argentina21:37
Brainstormskyofdust: In all areas, Argentina, there are 17 cases, 1 deaths (5.9% of cases), 0 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 06:13:07 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Argentina for time series data.21:37
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 20:27 UTC: /u/BlatantConservative: At this moment, there are 49,145 active cases worldwide, plus 65,051 recovered cases and 4,268 deaths, for a total infection number of 118,464 people. โ†’ https://is.gd/i4ro1J21:37
commandocrypto[m<tinwhiskers "commandocrypto: I'm only finding"> https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.25.20027664v1.full.pdf21:39
ubLIXwormfarm: I don't speak Italian, but it's presumably Unitร  di terapia intensiva (ITU), a translation of ICU21:39
ubLIX^ (thx to google translate)21:39
commandocrypto[m<pwr22 "What's papc?"> Positive Air Pressure ... thing. a respirator machine. i thought you colelcted them?21:40
wormfarmthis dude is using ICU and ITU in the same memo21:40
wormfarmso it made me think ITU is not the same as ICU21:41
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: i don't see anything there about smokers21:41
pwr22No, I meant that as a society we will value having them more knowing that SARS-COV-2 is out there21:41
commandocrypto[mIntestive Treatment Centre > Intestive Care Unit (usually). the former is like uber powerful, the later is like "life support" ... pretty boring21:42
commandocrypto[mIf you are ADHD, you wanna work int he ITU, not the ICU as the latter is kinda boring21:43
wormfarmT could stand for triage21:44
LjLubLIX, it would be nice if that italian medic wrote in italian21:44
LjLi'm sure we'd all understand him better ;(21:44
LjLi do strongly suspect ITU is just ICU though21:45
pwr22commandocrypto: I've removed that video as it could be distressing and doesn't add to the discussion ๐Ÿ˜บ21:45
wormfarmwhat's 'ED' ljl ?21:45
CatButtes[m]<wormfarm "what's 'ED' ljl ?"> Emergency Department usually21:46
LjLemergency department i assume21:46
CatButtes[m]Could be erectile disfunction but given the context of the discussion I doubt it...21:46
commandocrypto[m<tinwhiskers "commandocrypto: i don't see anyt"> in the screencap i shared, the last 2 lines are "smoking status". Or just download the pdf and grep for "smoking status", it will be on page 24. Far lower incidence of smokers than in the general wuhan population21:46
wormfarm"people are told to avoid ED but still hang out in groups"21:46
ubLIX"intensive therapy unit" a plain synonym of ICU according to wikipedia21:47
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: yeah, I saw that but I don't think that means what you think it means21:47
LjLubLIX, it's definitely what we call them here, although in italian i'd expect them to be abbreviated to UTI21:47
ubLIXright answer for the wrong reason!21:48
CatButtes[m]That might be avoided to avoid confusion with Urinary Tract Infections21:48
commandocrypto[m<pwr22 "commandocrypto: I've removed tha"> ah ok... i was just illustrating what ICU looks like in wuhan. serious question tho - most of my pics and videos are ... distressing. i find this whole disease distressing, especially since everyone wants to dismiss it21:48
ubLIXthe medic you wrote that account might even not be italian and they just call them ITU wherever they are from21:48
LjLCatButtes[m], that would be ITU in italian ;)21:48
ubLIX*you>who21:48
commandocrypto[m<tinwhiskers "commandocrypto: yeah, I saw that"> oh? explain21:48
tinwhiskersThat's the p value and was used to account for smoking in their model but their model doesn't say anything about the change in risk for becoming infected or dying from smoking.21:48
LjLi believe the person is just writing in english but with mostly italian terms in mind21:48
ubLIXmost likely21:49
LjLso it's my turn: what's NIV?21:49
commandocrypto[m<tinwhiskers "That's the p value and was used "> ya i understand that. i was just adding ancilliary data regarding smoking - namely that only a tiny fraction of cases were smokers. which jumped out to me: doesn't that seem strange to anyone else?21:50
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: that's not the case21:50
tinwhiskersYou're misinterpreting the data21:50
ubLIX"non-invasive ventilation" maybe21:51
commandocrypto[mlike i said i quit anyways but i have wondered about it for the last few weeks.21:51
commandocrypto[mcool, finally i'll get an explaination21:51
LjLplease try to avoid overusing the Matrix reply functionality, it's very confusing to see on IRC. i have no problem with it being used when it's not clear what you're replying to but if you use it every time it really makes things very confusing to read on this side21:51
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 20:44 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Coronavirus outbreak: Bernie Sanders cancels Cleveland rally โ†’ https://is.gd/kqKuUE21:51
LjLubLIX, good guess21:51
wormfarmNIV = noninvasive ventilation i think, like a cpap machine?21:54
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: for some reason that I do not know they have not reported the numbers of smokers in those tables, just the significance and have not drawn any conclusions about smokers. They have merely corrected their model for being a smoker or not. That paper has no information on the prevalence of smokers in the data.21:55
LjLwormfarm, it was used *next* to CPAP so probably something at least slightly different21:56
wormfarmthere are two different types of cpap21:56
wormfarmthe CPAPs for anti-snoring and the more legit ones for hospitals21:57
wormfarmok i'm full of shit i'll stop speculating21:57
ubLIXCPAP provides a continuous pressure whereas NIV varies the pressure according to whether you're inhaling or exhaling. "Non-invasive" just means mask rather than intubation21:58
ubLIXhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-invasive_ventilation21:58
LjLubLIX, ah, although in the sleep therapy area, CPAP can refer to both kinds of thing21:58
LjLalthough i guess technically the "continuous" part would disqualify it21:59
LjLbut people with sleep apnea usually talk about CPAP that's either continuous or not21:59
LjLwe really need to delay getting this thing. my parents are not going to survive it if they get it, if the reports from doctors in lombardy are true22:00
LjLand i wish they weren't but i have no particular reason to believe otherwise22:00
commandocrypto[m> commandocrypto: for some reason that I do not know they have not reported the numbers of smokers in those tables, just the significance and have not drawn any conclusions about smokers. They have merely corrected their model for being a smoker or not. That paper has no information on the prevalence of smokers in the data.22:01
commandocrypto[mWhat? Use words man. It literally says 111 former/current smokers and 1479 nonsmokers out of the 1590 in the study22:01
commandocrypto[mAnyone else wanna take a stab at this?22:01
commandocrypto[mWe need to stop the damn thing and then erradicate22:02
dunnpwheres the paper?22:02
commandocrypto[mI dont want the population pyramid for my country looking like nigeria22:03
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: i see. The table you linked to only had a p value, not actual numbers. I'll take a look at the bit your referring to22:03
commandocrypto[mOk thankyou22:03
dunnplink to the paper?22:04
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 20:55 UTC: WHO gives advice on handling mental health toll from the coronavirus: The World Health Organization acknowledged that the coronavirus is causing stress in the global population and published mental health tips that include specific advice for health care workers and caretakers of children or older adults. โ†’ https://is.gd/27SX0v22:05
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: just so you're clear, that's 7%, not less than 1%. That is low though considering about 25% of the population smoke.22:06
tinwhiskersAbout 2% of Chinese women smoke and something like 55% of males22:07
tinwhiskersI'm guessing some sampling bias because most literature I see says you have an increased chance of being infected and an increased chance of dying22:08
tinwhiskersBut to be fair I'm now struggling to find anything either22:09
ubLIXI can't remember where I saw this link (was it this channel?) - https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus22:10
ubLIXbut it has this image: https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2020/03/Coronavirus-CFR-by-health-condition-in-China.png22:10
ubLIXsmoking correlates with all of the illnesses described in the image 22:11
LjLit was indeed posted here at some point22:11
LjLi think i added it to the paste22:11
tinwhiskershttps://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202003.0078/v122:12
tinwhiskersSmoking *increases* your chances of becoming infected and the poor outcome for smokers who become infected are well documented22:13
LjLhurray22:13
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +131 cases (now 134476) ๐Ÿ”ถ US: +77 cases (now 950) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +4 cases (now 34) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ontario, Canada: +2 cases (now 36) ๐Ÿ”ธ Channe22:14
tinwhiskersStill, I'm struggling to find actual case data22:14
romarewhoa, Turkish MoH is going to make an announcement at 12.30pm local time which is a weird time to do that22:16
LjLuh oh22:16
LjLromare, does that mean 0:30 or 12:30 i never know22:16
romare00:30 for europeans22:17
romareand I meant am, not pm, sorry22:17
LjLyou're european, technically22:17
dunnpso in 13 mins?22:18
romareyeah22:18
romareit's weird that they're doing in the middle of the night22:18
BrainstormNew from r/Italy Live at 21:12 UTC: /u/pixelcraftables: Coronavirus: Ue,in arrivo fondo da 25mld - Ultima Ora - ANSA โ†’ https://is.gd/85dqnN22:19
LjLslash_, โ†‘22:19
LjLromare, do you know what the name of a turkish news channel i can get on satellite might be22:20
LjLalso prepare to translate realtime like i did22:20
romareLjL, trt world maybe?22:20
LjLlet's see22:20
LjLi'll take forever to tune into it though, i can't use remote controls22:20
romarehttps://www.trtworld.com/live22:21
wormfarmwhy u interest in turkish news ljl ?22:21
tinwhiskers"Among Chinese patients diagnosed with COVID-19 associated pneumonia, the odds of disease progression (including to death) were 14 times higher among people with a history of smoking compared to those who did not smoke. This was the strongest risk factor among those examined".22:21
romareLjL, though it's an international channel so they might not stream it there22:21
LjLwormfarm, right now i am interested in this damned virus22:21
wormfarmthere is also a strong correlation with hypertension22:21
tinwhiskersyeah22:21
wormfarmbut hypertension is probably strongly correlated with smoking so...22:21
wormfarmit could really just be the correlation with smoking22:22
tinwhiskersah. maybe22:22
wormfarmwhat's your thought process on turkish news tho ljl 22:22
wormfarmwhat on your mind vis a vis turkish news22:22
LjLi found TRT World22:22
LjLthey're broadcasting something about Russia22:23
LjLwormfarm, i a not familiar with Turkish news, but i assume they're tightly controlled by the government at this point22:23
romareyeah I guess TRT world wouldn't stream the announcement22:23
LjLi think TRT World is just broadcasting their normal news carousel22:24
wormfarmare you worried about coronavirus in turkey?22:24
LjLromare, what's the channel name that *you* are watching this on?22:24
LjLwormfarm, i am worried about coronavirus everywhere22:24
wormfarmromare why is ljl interested in turkey22:24
wormfarmljl is not being as forthcoming as i would like22:24
LjLwhy in the world wouldn't i be? this isn't a channel about any particular country22:24
wormfarmi see22:25
romareLjL: I don't have a TV so I'll just see what people say on social media22:25
LjLoh22:25
LjLromare, well what's the first public tv channel name?22:25
romareif I had a TV I still wouldn't know which channel to watch. FOX, maybe?22:25
romarewe have turkish fox22:25
romareLjL, TRT122:26
romareCNN Turk22:26
romareNTV22:26
wormfarmlol CNN and Fox22:27
LjLhttp://www.trt.net.tr/anasayfa/canli.aspx?y=tv&k=trt122:27
romareall are basically "erdog TV"22:27
commandocrypto[mlol the newfags in this room are awesome... imma have to just pretend ur all 12 to be as patient as the mods are22:27
commandocrypto[m> why would u be interested in cases in a country at war with syria and who is sending millions of people across its borders into europe22:27
LjLbroadcasting commercials at the moment22:27
wormfarmis it true that ERdog can flip off twitter with a switch?22:27
commandocrypto[mi'm sure anyone in greece would be VERY interested to know what they are gonna announce. turkish deepstate is very dangerous to us all22:27
wormfarmi'm worried about turkey right now actually22:27
commandocrypto[mAll cases in study test positive 2 weeks after "recovery"22:27
commandocrypto[mhttp://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.278322:28
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +111 cases (now 134587) ๐Ÿ”ถ Germany: +128 cases (now 1565) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +4 cases (now 34) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ontario, Canada: +2 cases (now 36) ๐Ÿ”ธ22:28
LjLwhat is even a "newfag"? let's use english that isn't 4channish please :(22:28
wormfarmerdog is too top down and authoritative right now22:28
commandocrypto[m^ for those who were wondering about recovery numbers earlier - they're all bullshit. none of the reported recovered are actually ok. they are all still pozzed22:28
LjLTRT1 doesn't look like it's about to broadcast breaking news22:29
commandocrypto[m * ^ for those who were wondering about recovery numbers earlier - they're all bullshit. none of the reported recovered are actually ok. they are all stil positive22:29
commandocrypto[mEDIT: engrish22:29
romareLjL, I'll just let you know once they announce anything. I just follow underground social media22:29
commandocrypto[m * lol the nubs in this room are awesome... imma have to just pretend ur all 12 to be as patient as the mods are22:29
commandocrypto[m> why would u be interested in cases in a country at war with syria and who is sending millions of people across its borders into europe22:29
wormfarmwhich city is most impacted right now romare?22:30
wormfarmankara?22:30
romarewormfarm, there are no cases yet22:30
wormfarmwtf22:30
dunnpLjL: is there a way to prevent edits in this room?22:30
LjLdunnp, none that i know of22:30
dunnpvery spamy22:30
freebobby[m]as this room grows and becomes more active, i would recomend thinking about additional mods and rooms, fwiw22:31
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: you can't claim they are *all* still postive.22:31
LjLromare, there is also https://www.saglik.gov.tr/ that may have info and/or a stream i guess but i can't get it google translated22:31
romarecommandocrypto[m, why not? not everybody in turkey wants to be at war with syria, not everybody in turkey is happy with the refugee crisis22:31
commandocrypto[mi'm not claiming anything i'm just bringing the sauce.22:31
tinwhiskersthat paper showed 4 out of 4 remained postive several weeks after getting two negative tests. This demonstrates that the cases of "reinfection" are likely not reinfection at all so is probably good news.22:32
LjLfreebobby[m], i'd say there are more than enough rooms already... also this is partly (mainly?) an IRC channel on freenode22:32
commandocrypto[mromare: i'm unironically very sure that most of you poor saps don't support erdo or any of the deep state. lmk if you'22:32
commandocrypto[mre ready to kick off, i'm more than happy to show up and provide the fireworks22:32
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 21:17 UTC: Massachusetts declares emergency as coronavirus cases more than double overnight with 51 new infections: Government officials in Massachusetts have declared a state of emergency on Tuesday after the state's number of confirmed or presumptive positive cases jump to just under 100. โ†’ https://is.gd/kHLk4e22:32
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: however you said, "for those who were wondering about recovery numbers earlier - they're all bullshit. none of the reported recovered are actually ok. they are all still pozzed". This is not true.22:32
romarecommandocrypto[m, I don't support anything that's islamic22:33
commandocrypto[mah ya sorry i did provide the commentary - but regardless, are you saying the study is suspect?22:33
tinwhiskersNo22:33
LjLtinwhiskers, i don't think it's good news if many (most?) people remain infected for... how long? indefinitely? :(22:33
tinwhiskersI'm saying your conclusion is suspect22:33
tinwhiskersLjL: It's good news that the "reinfections" may not be reinfections. It's not good news that people may remain positive.22:34
LjLtinwhiskers, well... i think i'd rather have reinfections :\ not sure22:34
tinwhiskerswe don't know how long after you remain positive or how many people remain positive, just that it can happen. It was only four people in the group.22:35
LjLtinwhiskers, reinfections could be something that just happens in rare cases when your immune system doesn't learn too well about the virus... something like this, on the other hand, ugh. it would quite possibly mean we're forever at risk of developing life-threatening COVID-19 once we've had it22:35
tinwhiskersmaybe22:35
LjLtinwhiskers, well, if it was four people taken genuinely at random, that's not a huge sample but it's more than enough to make me very worried22:35
LjLbeyond the very worried i already was22:35
tinwhiskersIt's an interesting finding but... onyl 4 people tested.22:35
tinwhiskersyeah, enough to be interesting22:36
commandocrypto[mSHUT IT DOWN22:37
skyofdustIt would suck if it turned out to be the way herpes, hiv and hep c express even after a recovery :/ that's really scary22:37
LjLromare, TRT Haber is talking about the coronavirus but it also just sounds like recorded general footage22:37
CatButtes[m]From what I can see of that abstract though, they never tested negative. Others may come clean after a while?22:37
commandocrypto[mwhy is the public taking risks with a disease which could do all kinds of scary stuff?22:37
tinwhiskersCatButtes[m]: Four patients with COVID-19 who met criteria for hospital discharge or discontinuation of quarantine in China (absence of clinical symptoms and radiological abnormalities and 2 negative RT-PCR test results) 22:38
commandocrypto[mthe ADE is almost proven at this stage - so many people in so many forums try to disprove that it's happening when you can't and further it's almost proven that ADE is happening22:38
tinwhiskers2 negative RT-PCR test results22:38
ubLIXwhat is ADE?22:38
commandocrypto[mwhich by the way is the strongest evidence that this is that one SARS1 vaccine which worked on rheus maccaus (but killed all human test patients) 7 years ago22:39
commandocrypto[mAntibody Dependent Enhancement. It comes about because the protien spikes on coronavirus are from HIV22:39
romareLjL I'm watching these guys rn: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4Gdb_YZUoI22:39
romarewill let you know once announcement is made22:40
LjLokay22:40
commandocrypto[mIt means that the virus is capable of completely overwhelming the macrophages of the antibodies if you get reinfected (or, even worse, if it's just THERE in you long term, in your spinal cord, or as some korean doctors have suggested, passed the blood brain barrier)22:41
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ World: +33 cases (now 134620) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +4 cases (now 107) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +4 cases (now 34) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ontario, Canada: +2 cases (now 36) ๐Ÿ”ธ Channel Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ22:41
ubLIXcommandocrypto[m: the paper you cited is completely orthogonal to that claim22:41
commandocrypto[mhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antibody-dependent_enhancement22:41
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: you seem hell-bent on spreading FUD22:42
commandocrypto[mwhat paper22:44
romarethe internet is getting slower here. it mostly happens when something ugly happens. they slow it down22:44
LjL:\22:44
ryoumawhere?22:46
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 21:41 UTC: Major DC lobby firm for drug industry closes after visitor tests positive for coronavirus: PhRMA learned Monday night that the individual, who is not an employee and last visited the office on March 5, was diagnosed with the coronavirus, according to spokesperson Holly Campbell. โ†’ https://is.gd/tLJcKK22:46
romareryouma: turkey22:47
commandocrypto[mtinwhiskers: i'm hellbent on getting ppl to take this as seriously as it needs to. that's the only thing that's gonna help. saying stupid shit like "vaccine will help us" and "it's just a flu" is dangerous to mankind when there is real evidence this reinfects, is capable of ADE, causes cytokine storm in young healthy people22:48
pwr22commandocrypto you've made your point now so might I suggest changing the subject?22:48
pwr22People don't have to necessarily agree with you22:48
commandocrypto[myou're reasonable so please point out where FUD is coming from me22:48
tinwhiskersThat's a good motive and I agree. So stop the hyperbole and conspiracies and more people will take what you say seriously. 22:49
commandocrypto[mcool i didn't think we had even really broached the subject there are many medical papers on ADE which are all very relevant to what's about to happen to europe and aftrica and america and maybe russia too22:49
commandocrypto[mok let's move on i'll just say i normally slay conspiracy theories for fun but the last 6 weeks of my life has basically been watching every worst case theory come true22:50
LjLromare, is he speaking?22:51
pwr22That's circumstantial in terms of SARS-COV-2 right now. If anything concrete comes off it then let's revisit ๐Ÿ‘Œ22:51
tinwhiskerscommandocrypto[m: For example you said "everyone is still infected after testing negative", "ADE comes from AIDS", "Smokers have a lower rate of infection". This is not helpful stuff.22:52
LjLugh22:52
LjLromare died, just as the Ministry of Health begins speaking22:52
LjLgood sign22:52
tinwhiskersdang22:52
commandocrypto[mRIP22:53
pwr22They'll probably turn the internet back on later22:53
TimvdeWho is Romare?22:54
TimvdeAnd wtf, 134k cases worldwide? That's like 20k more than when I last checked?22:54
tinwhiskersromare (~st.pauli@unaffiliated/romare) has quit (Ping timeout: 240 seconds)22:54
TimvdeOh, lol, nvm22:54
tinwhiskerswb romare22:54
LjLTimvde, romare is the only one i know atm who has a clue what the ministry of health of turkey is saying22:55
romareyeah he says one confirmed case22:55
romarehe's quarantined22:55
TimvdeAha :p22:55
LjLone, lol, k22:55
romareL I E22:55
commandocrypto[mtinwhiskers: you are misrepresenting me. let me clarify. "the only ppl who bothered to look into it found that all test subjects were still infected weeks after", "the reason COVID-19 is capable of ADE is because it's protein spikes are literally the protien spikes of HIV (as in, copied. use a good text editor)" and finally "for some crazy reason, most of the cases in hubei weren't smokers"  why would i say they22:56
commandocrypto[mhave a lower rate of infection, and then quit smoking22:56
tinwhiskersYou are misinterpreting and (intentionally?) spreading FUD about these things. That paper did not find anything about the effect of smoking on your risk of contracting the virus. Your commentaries about the papers are the FUD, not the papers themselves.22:57
commandocrypto[mlook i've given you that22:58
tinwhiskers"Antibody Dependent Enhancement. It comes about because the protien spikes on coronavirus are from HIV" - FUD22:58
commandocrypto[mi'm only claiming that 7% of cases were smokers, and there are a LOT more smokers in the population in wuhan. like ... you said it. i agreed with you22:58
pwr22commandocrypto I feel things have been explained enough so please take this discussion to direct message or I will kick you22:59
tinwhiskers "for those who were wondering about recovery numbers earlier - they're all bullshit. none of the reported recovered are actually ok. they are all still pozzed" - FUD22:59
commandocrypto[mit bothers me that anyone thinks i said it reduced your risk: no such statement was ever made22:59
tinwhiskers"Wait are ppl still peddling the bat accident story to cover up for Dr Charles Lieber???" - FUD23:00
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health at 21:56 UTC: (news): United Airlines' US bookings plunge 70% as coronavirus spreads โ†’ https://is.gd/s8h3ZX23:00
pwr22!cases23:00
Albright70%, dang.23:01
pwr22tinwhiskers I think the point has been made so perhaps we can let this alone?23:01
Tangent-Man[m]I've got a question: If the Hospitals in America are charging approx. 1000 dollars for a PCR test for C19 how are we getting accurate data from USA?23:02
AlbrightI hope the airlines aren't going to ask congress for another goddamn bailout.23:02
tinwhiskersok23:02
CatButtes[m]<Tangent-Man[m] "I've got a question: If the Hosp"> We arenโ€™t. 23:02
tinwhiskersTangent-Man[m]: that's an easy one. We're not.23:02
LjLTangent-Man[m], i don't think they're charging that for people who are tested because of being tested due to being contacts of someone who tested positive23:02
LjLother countries usually test on that basis only, or on the basis of clear symptoms23:02
Birosso"France, Amid Coronavirus Outbreak, Holds Largest-Ever Gathering of People Dressed as Smurfs, for Some Reason"23:03
pwr22I wonder how much runway cash airlines have generally to deal with this sort of thing?23:03
Tangent-Man[m]American Healthcare costing is notouriously synical though. I bet there are loads of possible cases that are'nt getting tested due to cost no? .. 23:04
pwr22The smurf thing seemed ill advised23:04
commandocrypto[mflybe airline declared bankruptcy the day after cases were announced in it's HQ city23:04
BirossoI don't know what it is with Europeans and painting faces blue.23:04
pwr22<commandocrypto[m "flybe airline declared bankruptc"> It was already in the verge of going bust23:05
CatButtes[m]commandocrypto: Flybe were on the ropes already. I believe they had already asked for a bail out back in January?23:05
pwr22So it's not as much a spectacle as the news portrayed23:05
LjL%cases italy23:05
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Norway: +36 cases (now 392) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +4 cases (now 34) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ontario, Canada: +2 cases (now 36) ๐Ÿ”ธ Channel Islands: +1 cases (now 2) ๐Ÿ”ธ 23:05
Tangent-Man[m]Flybe went bankrupt after the UK Gov said they would bail them out.. then didn't.. didn't give them the bail out.23:06
BrainstormLjL: In all areas, Italy, there are 10149 cases, 631 deaths (6.2% of cases), 1004 recoveries as of Tue Mar 10 23:00:00 2020. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.23:06
LjLdeath rate sure went up after the artificially low number of new cases today...23:06
Tangent-Man[m]Using Coroan as an excuse I guess...23:06
CatButtes[m]Tangent-Man: that sounds depressingly like our government23:06
tinwhiskersLjL: artifically low numbers?23:06
pwr22I'm glad we didn't bail them out, we need that 100m to spend on medical shit now23:06
LjLtinwhiskers, something unclear happened, first they said Lombardy had a delay in processing tests, then they also said something about a change in testing protocols, something about testing only symptomatic patients (but i thought that was already the case, since it was repeatedly stated)23:07
tinwhiskersah23:07
LjLtinwhiskers, anyway, the number of new cases today is simply unrealistic even if you're an optimist if you compare it to yesterday's23:08
tinwhiskersI see. It does look a bit low23:08
LjL50% of cases worldwide are recovered, according to the bot. even if countries were actively avoiding to look at any consequences they may have, that's about 65000 people who are supposedly well again. surely if *many* of them are actually still positive in a way that gives them consequences, it couldn't be easily hidden from view? just a thought23:09
slash_so Turkey has now reported their first case finally23:10
romareyeah23:10
commandocrypto[mLjL:  most of those are in wuhan city. have you seen the webcams today?23:10
tinwhiskersLjL: makes sense23:11
romarethey didn't say which city tho23:11
commandocrypto[msame as yesterday and all last week: is kill23:11
LjLcommandocrypto[m, i haven't, but well, the lockdown is still in effect, what would i see?23:11
commandocrypto[mnothing. no food deliveries. nothing23:12
tinwhiskersPeople are still allowed to leave their houses once a week or once every two weeks depending where you hear it, so no, there are no food deliveries23:12
commandocrypto[mhow did i know you'd be ready to counterpoint me lol. accept my dm invite if you want m8. anyways the point is 90% of recovered are in wuhan and that explains how they are "hidden", LjL 23:13
commandocrypto[malso how on earth are you supposed to leave ur house every week or two when the door is welded shut?23:14
tinwhiskersThere's no evidence ALL doors were welded shuit but they were doing it to control access. More FUD.23:15
slash_are all doors in China made from steel?23:16
tinwhiskersheh. exactly23:17
slash_can't weld shut a wooden door in a wooden frame easily lol23:17
LjLwhat i saw weren't doors themselves being welded, but a bar of steel being nailed in front of the door23:18
LjL(i assume doors open outwards in china, or else i have no idea how that would work)23:18
tinwhiskersBuildings have controlled access where you have your temperature taken, upon arrival and so they can ensure people are adhering to the (extremely strict) rules. To do that they need to ensure people can't sneak past the control point, hence reducing the number of access points to buildings.23:18
tinwhiskersHow else would you do it?23:19
commandocrypto[mslash_:  don't speak on it if you don't know how they did it. all the instances which i saw evidence of showed them making a metal frame around the door, regardless of the material of the door23:19
slash_but then what about the windows?23:20
slash_or the fire escapes23:20
commandocrypto[mLjL:  ya an asian explained that they do it so they can keep all their shoes and slippers behind the door inside, where our doors would open too23:20
tinwhiskerswell, it's China so they probably don't mind closing up the fire escapes in a situation like this.23:20
tinwhiskersWe couldn't do that stuff here23:21
slash_yeah that's true23:21
commandocrypto[mwhich is why we are in trouble23:21
tinwhiskersyeah23:21
Brainstorm๐Ÿ”ถ Washington, US: +100 cases (now 267) ๐Ÿ”ถ Massachusetts, US: +51 cases (now 92) ๐Ÿ”ธ Australia: +10 cases (now 113) ๐Ÿ”ธ Victoria, Australia: +3 cases (now 18) ๐Ÿ”ธ Western Australia, Australia: +2 cases (now 6) ๐Ÿ”ธ Austria: +25 cases (now 182), +2 recoveries (now 4) ๐Ÿ”ธ Bahrain: +8 recoveries (now 30) ๐Ÿ”ธ Brazil: +4 cases (now 34) ๐Ÿ”ธ Cambodia: +1 cases (now 3) ๐Ÿ”ธ Canada: +3 cases (now 80) ๐Ÿ”ธ Ontario, Canada: +2 cases23:21
tinwhiskersThe amount of vehicles driving around spraying some sort of disinfectant on the roads and people wandering around spraying everything in sight is interesting. It might just all be for show of course but I think it's mostly for real. 23:25
LjLi've seen it in a bit too many countries now to believe it's just for show23:25
LjLi've now seen it in italy too23:25
tinwhiskersThere was that footage of a lady continuing to spray even though there was no fluid left in the sprayer 23:25
tinwhiskersoh, really. that's good news23:25
LjLthey briefly showed it happening on a smallish scale in a stadium (milan's i presume) when mentioning that finally they are stopping soccer games23:26
LjLtinwhiskers, well that's the only place i've seen it23:26
tinwhiskersok23:26
tinwhiskersYou have to wonder how useful spraying down roads is, but meh23:27
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 22:21 UTC: /u/slakmehl: Zeke Miller su Twitter: "PIERRE, S.D. (AP) โ€” South Dakota confirms first 5 coronavirus cases, and 1st death." โ†’ https://is.gd/0u5Nxr23:27
LjLtinwhiskers, well, i know i'm trying harder than usual to avoid wearing shoes inside23:28
tinwhiskersoh. I hadn't thought of that23:29
tinwhiskersI'm now considering flying back home to NZ to get someone to look at what's up with my lungs. I guess I need to do that really soon if I do it at all. I went back to the hospital here and this doctor said it was just seasonal flu, but I've had it a month now. I don't know what to do.23:30
tinwhiskersA really expensive way to find out this doctor is right23:30
LjLtinwhiskers, and potentially risky23:31
yuttle[m]youve had pnuemonia for that long?23:31
LjLtinwhiskers, how do you know you have something with your lungs in the first place? i know you've mentioned it before but i may be missing some context23:31
yuttle[m]not un heard of for a flu23:31
azbycxdoes being inoculated with the pneumonia shot, help keep an older sicker person alive?23:32
tinwhiskersWell, the doctor can't hear any gurgling so probably not pneumonia but I'm breathing like I have a small case of asthma, my lungs feel heavy and burning. It seems to be something like pleurisy. I've had two courses of antibiotics so it's probably not bacterial. it *could* just be a the flu I guess.23:33
tinwhiskersI want to wait another week before making a call, but my wife wants me to book tickets now to save money.23:34
LjLazbycx, not with COVID-19, the pneumonia shot is for bacterial pneumonia, this is viral23:35
tinwhiskersI have some other surgery that needs taking care of so I could get that done then as well, although I was planning to go somewhere cheaper for that since hernias are considered elective surgery.23:35
skyofdustazbycx, the pneumonia shot is for a bacteria, so it's unlikely it will help...23:35
azbycxahh, very informative, thank you. :)23:35
commandocrypto[mHave u been tested for sars2-ncov yet?23:36
tinwhiskersno, but there are no cases in this country23:36
tinwhiskersalthough I did have lunch with someone who had just returned from Italy a day or so after their first cases were reported, but that's exceptionally unlikely.23:36
LjLazbycx, sometimes antibacterial therapy (and presumably vaccination too) can be helpful because there are opportunistic bacterial infections that occur together with the viral ones. but with this disease i don't think i've heard of a "double pneumonia"...23:37
yuttle[m]coinfection is a risk yeah23:37
LjLtinwhiskers, when our first cases were reported, but it turns out (according to some italian presumed experts) we had this around back in november even23:37
tinwhiskersoh. right23:37
LjLtinwhiskers, still doesn't make it very likely, i guess, but who knows what the real percentages of infected are23:38
tinwhiskersyeah23:38
yuttle[m]its been a month?23:38
tinwhiskersyeah23:38
yuttle[m]if it is covid then your at least past the danger zone23:38
tinwhiskerstrue :-)23:39
yuttle[m]congrats haha23:39
LjLi don't know what to suggest really, but i'd be scared of getting stranded and/or quarantined somewhere if i were travelling now (i mean, obviously as an italian, but not just as an italian)23:39
tinwhiskersI'm much more worried about it being a complication if I do get covid-1923:39
yuttle[m]you can really just do ur best23:39
tinwhiskersLjL: well, NZ is home and I can stay with my mother there, but would have to leave my wife here on the island23:40
yuttle[m]where ever you are beginning shelter in place considerations are probably the goto atm23:41
tinwhiskersyeah23:41
azbycxthank you for all the info. :)23:41
tinwhiskersthat's a consideration. But if things don't get better with my lungs in the meantime then I could be in deep doodoo23:41
LjLtinwhiskers, in NZ you'd be with someone who's presumably elderly, and in a country that's more exposed (not *very* exposed maybe, but kinda more)23:41
tinwhiskersLjL: yes. it's concerning23:42
LjLtinwhiskers, isn't there just a better doctor there that will take all your money in exchange of testing you thoroughly?23:42
tinwhiskersThe first doctor I saw seemed pretty good. I think if I'd seen him again I may have made some progress, but I have no idea how to organise that. Me not speaking a word of Tongan is a problem with most of the administrative staff. However, it's a good idea. I'll ask around and see if there are any doctors who might be more amenable to that.23:44
contingoI've been hospitalized for pleurisy before, tinwhiskers 23:47
tinwhiskersWhat did they do for it?23:47
contingoput a canula in and injected me with gallons of antibiotics23:48
tinwhiskersah. ok23:48
tinwhiskershow painful was the canula?23:48
contingonothing major23:49
tinwhiskersSo oral antibiotics hadn't helped?23:49
LjLi do have a slightly productive cough since... months, it's annoying23:49
contingothis was in the early 90s, I was 14. I'd just moved back to Singapore. In the space of a day or two developed a fever, a feeling of very heavy lungs and a deep aching pain when inhaling deeply23:51
LjLi don't think i know what a feeling of "heavy lungs" is. maybe i'd know when i felt one23:51
contingodoc said go to A&E and they put me on heavy dose antibiotics right away23:52
tinwhiskersAh. I see23:52
LjLBirosso, the hell23:52
BirossoI tried banning you, said I need to be op23:52
BirossoI got mad.23:52
LjL...23:53
BirossoDangerous.23:53
LjLnot as much as covid23:53
BirossoTouche.23:53
LjLi don't op people who don't put the proper accents on words23:54
LjLsorry23:54
BrainstormNew from Reddit WorldNews Live at 22:51 UTC: /u/slakmehl: BBC Breaking News su Twitter: "Health minister Nadine Dorries says she has tested positive for coronavirus and is self-isolating https://t.co/79GYWaeJDb" โ†’ https://is.gd/1TcJyD23:55
BirossoLjL: E scortรฉse.23:55
LjLBirosso, i hear that with a strong milanese accent23:56
LjL%wik Nadine Dorries23:56
BrainstormLjL, from English Wikipedia: Nadine Vanessa Dorries (nรฉeย Bargery; born 21 May 1957) is a British Conservative politician serving as Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Health and Social Care since 2019, and has served as Member of Parliament (MP) for Mid Bedfordshire since 2005. Considered to be on the political right of the [... want %more?] โ†’ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nadine_Dorries23:56
ubLIXtinwhiskers: that's a very tough call re go to NZ or wait more23:59
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