libera/##covid-19/ Monday, 2020-07-06

LjLnixonix, based on skimming the study, no00:01
LjLnixonix, https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.26.20140731v1.full.pdf00:01
nixonixpcr. false positives from other coronaviruses00:03
nixonixbut not impossible, because it was that late 201900:03
LjLoh lawd... look, these people are praying, supposedly "for the handling of the new coronavirus and seeking blessings for the start of a “new normal”"    https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/bedff3e880b68832a4119f9b6c59fbbd4df3eda1/0_0_3000_2001/master/3000.jpg?width=620&quality=45&auto=format&fit=max&dpr=2&s=369b3e9641e44c7d6db30874141bbc5a00:03
LjLlook at their masks (those who have it)00:03
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia live news: Victorians may be advised to wear masks as lockdown continues – latest updates → https://is.gd/j7h21z00:04
nixonixbut how likely that there were amounts that would show up that time, without starting an epidemic that would have been noticed (unless it was less infective variant at the time). most likely just false positives imo00:04
LjLnixonix, yes they did not detect it in the October sample but detected it in all samples until March (the "official" start of the outbreak in Brazil). bit of a coincidence.00:05
LjLyes this has been said for Milan, Barcelona, wherever they did it in France... are all these people finding false positives and being clueless?00:05
nixonixbut they got their 15 minutes00:05
BrainstormUpdates for Sierra Leone: +9 cases (now 1542) since a day ago — Texas, US: +216 cases (now 199413) since 30 minutes ago — Iowa, US: +24 cases (now 31377) since an hour ago — Colombia: +3721 cases (now 117110), +63 deaths (now 4064) since 17 hours ago00:20
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live: Spain puts part of Galicia back into lockdown; doubts over Republican National Convention → https://is.gd/hxNSEk00:23
LjLi am not sure i'm positive i've made a improvement in the heuristics for showing and sorting countries that are shown as having the most concerning amount of new cases00:31
LjLwith fewer double negatives, i suck00:31
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia live news: Victorians may be advised to wear masks as lockdown continues – latest updates → https://is.gd/j7h21z00:33
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live: Spain puts part of Galicia back into lockdown; doubts over Republican National Convention → https://is.gd/hxNSEk00:52
nixonixhttps://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/07/04/kazakhstan-becomes-first-country-re-impose-nationwide-lockdown/?utm_content=telegraph&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Echobox&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=159398183701:11
nixonix%title01:11
Brainstormnixonix: From www.telegraph.co.uk: How not to do Covid: Kazakhstan first country in the world to fully return to lockdown01:11
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: U.S. House Speaker tests positive for coronavirus: Mr. Gunn is the State’s highest-ranking political figure to publicly disclose a positive test for the coronavirus → https://is.gd/91ewur01:11
LjL%cases kazakhstan01:13
BrainstormLjL: In Kazakhstan, there have been 47171 confirmed cases (0.3% of the population) and 188 deaths (0.4% of cases) as of 18 hours ago. 1.6 million tests were performed (3.0% positive). See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Kazakhstan for time series data.01:13
LjLcan't say i followed the situation there01:13
LjLok wait01:14
LjLsurely that's an error in the graph01:14
LjLbut legacy shows the same01:15
LjLbut that's impossible01:15
ryoumawhy is sweden better than az and ny?01:15
LjLryouma, i wouldn't say the trend is better than NY01:17
LjLas to Arizona, sorry, you didn't get lucky ;(01:17
ryoumahttp://www.offloop.net/covid19/?default=New%20York;Arizona;Italy;Hubei;Sweden&byPopulation=yes&cumulative=no&smooth=yes&miscType=Rate&miscPeriod=7&miscSource=Deaths01:17
nixonixless spreading in sweden before measures (another thing, were the measures enough, but it then started to go down there too)01:18
ryoumawhat measuers were taken?01:18
nixonixwhich reminded me from https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2020-07/tl-pss070120.php01:18
nixonix%title01:18
Brainstormnixonix: From www.eurekalert.org: The Lancet Infectious Diseases: Individual decisions to reduce movement -- even before state-wide stay-at-home policies were introduced -- likely helped slow the spread of COVID-19 in the USA | [...]01:18
nixonixas happened in finland too, during the 2 weeks before closure of bars and restaurants, their sales were cut about 60% because most started to avoid them (then the closure took another 20%, and what was left was deliveries and takeway)01:19
LjLShe continues: "If individual-level actions were not taken and social distancing behaviour was delayed until the state-level directives were implemented, COVID-19 would have been able to circulate unmitigated for additional weeks in some locations, inevitably resulting in more infections and deaths. This demonstrates that it is within the power of each US resident to help slow the spread of COVID-19."01:20
BrainstormUpdates for Somaliland: +10 cases (now 560) since 3 days ago — N. Cyprus: +5 cases (now 113) since 3 days ago — Guam: +8 cases (now 288) since 2 days ago — Washington, US: +406 cases (now 36543) since 23 hours ago01:20
LjLor more cogently... it demonstrates state/federal intervention has been worse than individual efforts?01:20
LjLand isn't the reason we have government, originally, to behave more efficiently collectively than we can as individuals?01:21
LjLbit pointless then01:21
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia live news: Victoria may advise wearing masks as lockdown continues – latest updates → https://is.gd/j7h21z01:21
nixonixhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Sweden#Response_from_the_authorities01:21
nixonixhttps://ourworldindata.org/policy-responses-covid01:22
AIDS_NEEDLE*dab dab dab*01:28
LjL(Sweden)  On 16 March 2020, they also recommended that employers should recommend their employees work from home.[111] One month later, statistics showed that roughly half the Swedish workforce was working from home.[114]01:30
LjLryouma, has it been similar in Arizona to your knowledge?01:30
LjL"In April, [...] a 50% drop in public transport usage, [...] a 30% drop in the number of cars,[123] and 70% fewer pedestrians.[114]"01:31
ryoumano idea.  cars were fewer during lockdown.01:31
ryoumai had the impression that sweden was sort of doing nothing.  it seems it was not.  az could be said to have been doing nothing for quite some time.01:33
LjLoh bah, Google Mobility only gives you stuff from May onwards now :(01:33
nixonixburn-murdoch has some mobility charts01:34
BrainstormUpdates for Netherlands: +286 cases (now 50621) since 3 days ago — Somalia: +36 cases (now 2997) since a day ago — Colorado, US: +199 cases (now 34065) since a day ago — Washington, US: +18 cases (now 36561) since 16 minutes ago01:35
LjLi'm loading Google's CSV, i think the full data may be there, just taking more spreadsheeting01:36
nixonixhttps://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/125200243023934259301:36
LjLwell, looking at US in general in that link, nixonix, even though it doesn't have Arizona, one does wonder how the hell is Sweden managing so relatively much better than the US01:37
LjLand the answer is...01:37
LjLi have no answer!01:37
LjLturns out my Gnumeric has no idea how to load a 5MB CSV file without killing my computer01:38
ryoumamore introverted?  less politics?  more coherent measures?01:39
ubLIX[m]healthy on average, maybe01:39
ryoumacan libreoffice calc load one with less issue?01:39
ubLIX[m]*healthier01:39
LjLi don't know, i don't have it installed ryouma01:40
LjLryouma, https://www.gstatic.com/covid19/mobility/Global_Mobility_Report.csv is the file if you want to try01:40
ryoumai can't do such things at this time01:40
LjLokay01:40
nixonixone thing in sweden is, it was mostly in stockholm city first. the rest of sweden was low prevalence. then slowly they got the cases downwards in stockholm, while at some other areas they started to increase, but slower than initially in stockholm01:43
LjLwell isn't that the story of many of the local epidemics? in Italy, outside of Lombardy and surrounding areas, they were largely unscathed (and may be "better targets" for a second wave...?)01:44
LjLbut still the mobility data suggest that Sweden *really* did much less than Europe but even the US on a qualitative basis01:45
nixonixi havent compared deaths lately, but at some point it was like 1/6 of ny city in stockholm city, and supposedly the prevalence something like that too (may 1st ab survey in ny city was 19.9%, so my estimate was around 1/6 of that in stockholm city, not county)01:45
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: Pandemic Practice: Horror Fans and Morbidly Curious Individuals Are More Psychologically Resilient During the COVID-19 Pandemic (84 votes) | https://psyarxiv.com/4c7af/ | https://redd.it/hlspzq01:46
nixonixthen some prevalence in other central sweden, and very low in most of the country that time. now its developed a bit from that01:46
nixonixyou should find stockholm mobility charts. cant remember if burn-murdoch had those, but google didnt catch01:47
LjLnixonix, yeah so my question is, considering they had even more mobility (which at this time i am conflating with an indication of "measures taken", which may be misleading, admittedly), why did that happen? why is the US now *so dramatically much worse off*? the easy answer is "bad lockdowns", but they still had more than Sweden01:47
nixonixand remember that stockholm may mean county of 2.3M or city of 1M i think01:48
nixonixand foreigners dont understand the difference, they just write stockholm01:48
LjLnixonix, Google's charts are per-county, however unless someone gets and parses the CSV, they're currently useless01:48
LjLalthough... i think i may have mirrored them locally before when they were earlier?01:48
LjLnixonix, foreigners don't "not understand they difference", it's probably just not explained to them01:49
LjLMilan is a city of 1.3M, and a province of 3M or so01:49
LjLvery similar, but when i say "Milan" on here i may myself not be specific01:49
nixonixi dont understand. both are milan?01:49
LjLcan't expect people to see the specifics when i don't give them01:49
LjLyes, Milan is a province, which has Milan as its capital01:49
nixonixsee. this is how it goes01:50
LjLMilan is also the capital of Lombardy, but Lombardy is a region, containing several provinces01:50
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Undergo quarantine before tying the knot, Rourkela administration tells grooms: With COVID-19 positive cases rising rapidly across Odisha, the Rourkela administration has come out with a peculiar order, stating that any groom comi → https://is.gd/yMwONM01:50
LjLnixonix, "province" in italian is similar to english meaning of "county", allowing for various national difference, but roughly speaking...01:50
nixonixanyways, if you wonder swedens mobility graph, when the outbreak was in stockholm city, the whole swedens mobility graph doesnt tell you how those in stockholm city changed their habits01:51
LjLno01:51
LjLbut i'm comparing it against the whole US01:51
LjLin the US, too, i expect certain places dipped, and others didn't01:51
LjLand yet, globally, the US dipped more than Sweden did01:52
LjL(though less than Italy or Spain or France)01:52
nixonixyeah but they had large lockdowns, when in sweden their actions were prob mostly local, and not much were done outside of stockholm city at the time01:52
LjLItaly, Spain and France are pretty similar, and their amount of infection was pretty similar, so the metric may be potentially solid01:52
LjLwell01:52
LjLi can't install LibreOffice and look at the CSV right now, i'm in the Alps, spreading COVID, with only mobile data :P01:53
PlanckWalk5G!01:53
LjLnot yet01:54
LjLbut i do have a glorious ZTE phone01:54
PlanckWalkHeh, I had one of those :)01:54
LjLAxon 7, best speakers in a phone ever, if you want a phone version of a boombox01:54
LjLi don't, but i still like the speaker01:54
LjLs01:54
PlanckWalkI was reading r/Coronavirus (probably a bad idea to start with), including all sorts of explanations for why the recent CFR for US cases is so much lower than March/April01:55
PlanckWalkHave they forgotten already that back then, testing was almost impossible to get?01:55
LjLwell is it easy to get now, especially in places like Arizona?01:56
PlanckWalkI mean sure there's a lot of factors, but that has to be the biggest one.01:56
PlanckWalkI don't know about "easy" but it's certainly "easier"01:57
LjLwell i remember seeing headlines about them running out of tests or somesuch but they may have just been headlines01:59
PlanckWalkBack then most people even with severe symptoms couldn't get tested unless they came from China or had documented close contact with a previously tested case.01:59
PlanckWalkAnd even some of those couldn't.02:00
LjLbut02:00
LjL%title https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/07/02/886949217/nearly-one-in-four-arizona-coronavirus-tests-positive-now02:00
BrainstormLjL: From www.npr.org: NPR Choice page02:00
LjLoh gest lost NPR02:00
LjLmy point being02:00
LjLwhen you have a 25% positive rate, yeah, sure, you have an epidemic that much is obvious, but it also tends to mean you aren't testing nearly enough02:01
PlanckWalkI agree with that02:01
PlanckWalkEven where I live having 4% test positivity rate at one stage was a sign of not enough testing.02:03
PlanckWalk24% is just horrible.02:04
PlanckWalkNY was getting > 40% at one stage, and probably only that low because a large fraction of their tests were on returned travellers with a cold.02:05
PlanckWalk(And false negatives)02:05
LjLPlanckWalk, we also passed 40% and Lombardy hovers *around* 30% or more as its *average*... and that includes negative tests made on recovered people02:09
LjL%cases Lombardy02:09
BrainstormLjL: In Lombardy, Italy, there have been 94318 confirmed cases (0.9% of the population) and 16691 deaths (17.7% of cases) as of 18 hours ago. 196302 tests were performed (48.0% positive). Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.3% (assuming testing prevalence) and less than 19.7% (considering only deaths and recoveries).. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Lombardy for time series data.02:09
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus live news: India sees record new cases as Texas warns of overwhelmed hospitals: Iran sees highest daily deaths ; UK government injects £1.57bn into arts and heritage ; Spain puts part of Galicia back into lockdown . Follow the latest updates → https://is.gd/WiinRL02:09
LjLsorry, i meant hovers around 50%, clearly02:09
LjL%cases Italy02:10
BrainstormLjL: In Italy, there have been 241611 confirmed cases (0.4% of the population) and 34861 deaths (14.4% of cases) as of 8 hours ago. 6.8 million tests were performed (3.6% positive). Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 1.6% (assuming testing prevalence) and less than 15.4% (considering only deaths and recoveries).. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Italy for time series data.02:10
PlanckWalkStill around 50% for May/June tests?02:10
LjLnooo02:10
PlanckWalkOh whew!02:10
LjLi'm not sure i have Lombardy specific figures handy02:10
LjLbut the nationwide figures are around 0.3% now02:10
LjLLombardy is going to be higher but not *insane* higher02:10
LjLalso, now part of the positives are found only because they tested positive in the nationwide serology tests02:11
LjL(they aren't automatically considered "positive" of course, but it's clear PCR is going to catch more people this way)02:12
LjLso even if the numbers aren't fully reassuringly low, it could be okay02:12
PlanckWalkIt looks like about 5 million tests for Italy in May+June, finding 6500 cases02:13
PlanckWalk(Mostly in May)02:13
PlanckWalkOops, wrong data :(02:14
PlanckWalk5M tests finding 33k cases.02:14
ryoumaLjL: idk about testing except that offloop showed a drop and this coincided with political stuff.  politics has played a strong strong strong role.02:16
LjLPlanckWalk, sounds plausible, the 0.3% i have in mind is from recent days02:16
ryoumaat least, it seems to me02:16
LjLPlanckWalk, i have Lombardy's data for today here, https://www.lombardianotizie.online/coronavirus-casi-lombardia/ it says they found 98 positives out of 8772 tests, 20 of which are "weakly positive" (they specify this too to make us feel better lol), and 43 were found as follow-up of the serology survey02:18
LjLso, slightly above 1% for Lombardy today02:18
LjLryouma, unfortunately though the testing data on Offloop/Covidly are often not quite right... anyway, where do you mean a drop? end of may?02:19
LjLthe overall trend in Arizona is still towards more tests, although it's highly variable02:20
ryoumarecent, just when i looked, so i might have caught an anomaly, so nm if not true02:20
BrainstormUpdates for Reunion: +11 cases (now 547) since a day ago — Pennsylvania, US: +144 cases (now 94305) since 5 hours ago — Togo: +4 cases (now 680) since a day ago — Zimbabwe: +18 cases (now 716) since a day ago02:20
tinwhiskersnixonix: the problem with the graph for Spain was indeed due to a quirk of the graphing library setting the y max when having a large negative value in the dataset. I've just made it to when you decumulate the data it sets any negative values to 0 (since the graph won't display them anyway).02:21
LjLryouma, i wouldn't look at the last day or two, and i would tick the Smooth box02:21
tinwhiskersHowever that probably has implications for the rate of increase, doubling time, etc. Not sure what I should do about it.02:21
LjLtinwhiskers, i don't suppose you know what the hell is up with the data for Kazakhstan? (I really don't suppose you do, it's the same data both on covidly and legacy, but there's a very crazy spike recently)02:22
tinwhiskersI could override the y max values with my own values instead of letting it handle those automatically 02:22
tinwhiskersLjL: I guess the changed the criteria for a positive test or something like that and its a correction.02:23
LjLtinwhiskers, largest correction EVER02:23
tinwhiskersthe correction of -10,000 by spain is more of a problem02:23
LjLah well that's pretty large too02:23
LjLbut 20000 beats it02:23
tinwhiskersoh, ok. I mean it's more of a problem, not because of the magnitude but because it's negative :-)02:24
LjLtinwhiskers, well honestly i'd never even have looked at Kazakhstan if it weren't it came up in the news earlier because it's the first country to reinstate a full lockdown after lifting it02:25
tinwhiskersheh. I had wondered02:25
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia live updates: Victoria may advise wearing masks as lockdown continues – latest news → https://is.gd/j7h21z02:29
LjLtinwhiskers, how about you just ignore the correction and report higher than official data? :P because really, there's NO way the real data is *lower* than the reported. it's basically just a discontinuity in what could otherwise look like a function. not statistically useful02:30
LjLhalf serious02:31
ryoumathere is some value in just showing the data as they are, negative or not02:34
BrainstormUpdates for Kagoshima, Japan: +34 cases (now 85) since 2 days ago — Puerto Rico: +2 deaths (now 155) since 3 days ago — Trinidad and Tobago: +2 cases (now 133) since 7 hours ago — Krasnoyarsk, Russia: +18 deaths (now 164) since 19 hours ago02:36
tinwhiskersI'm glad you're half serious about it because I'm half doing that :-p02:39
tinwhiskersIf you decumulate the data it is now ignoring negative values02:40
tinwhiskersbut yes, I agree there is value in including the negatives02:41
LjLi hope you catch half a fish!02:45
ubLIX[m]maybe he's fishing for data!02:47
LjLi hope he catches half a data then, which is, in the inner circles, called a datum02:48
BrainstormUpdates for Ecuador: +423 cases (now 61958) since 3 hours ago — Libya: +57 cases (now 1046), +5 deaths (now 32) since a day ago — World: +1046 cases (now 11.6 million), +13 deaths (now 536814) since 16 minutes ago — Washington, US: +147 cases (now 36708), +5 deaths (now 1359) since an hour ago02:50
CoronaBot04/r/coronavirus: Toronto hospitals reach new milestone: No covid-19 patients in the ICU (10161 votes) | https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2020/07/04/toronto-hospitals-reach-new-milestone-no-covid-19-patients-in-the-icu.html | https://redd.it/hlr2qp02:52
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus live news: India sees record new cases as Texas warns of overwhelmed hospitals: Iran sees highest daily deaths ; UK government injects £1.57bn into arts and heritage ; Spain puts part of Galicia back into lockdown . Follow the latest updates → https://is.gd/WiinRL02:58
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus Australia live update: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases as NSW border to close: Border closures announced as Covid-19 cases continue to rise and Melbourne’s ‘hard lockdown’ of public housing towers continues. Follow the latest news → https://is.gd/j7h21z03:07
ap4lmtreewhat is the difference between a banadana and a handerkiff mask?03:15
ubLIX[m]not much?03:16
ryoumaLjL: what was triage like in italy?03:18
ryoumahttps://www.azmirror.com/2020/07/03/as-covid-19-worsens-az-is-the-first-state-to-enact-crisis-care-standards/03:18
LjLryouma, the only official documents i saw were vague and also were never clearly stated to be in force03:19
LjLryouma, all i know is there were definitely doctors and nurses interviewed on TV in tears saying they had to choose who to intubate and who to do basically nothing to03:20
LjLas well as ministers and other officials saying "uh, we're not aware of any ICU needs not being fulfilled at this time"03:20
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus live news:  record new cases in India as Australian state of Victoria closes border: New South Wales-Victoria border closed for first time in 100 years; Iran sees highest daily deaths ; Spain puts part of Galicia back into lockdown . Follow the latest updates → https://is.gd/WiinRL03:26
ubLIX[m]i mean, ap4lmtree, you could make a bandana or a handkerchief out of practically any material you like, so the difference.. would be how much of the material you had, i guess. and whether it was large enough to fashion into a shape that will reliably stay in place. thicker/more layers better, etc. are surgical masks and such hard to come by where you are?03:32
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: Exaggerated risk of transmission of COVID-19 by fomites (81 votes) | https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S1473-3099%2820%2930561-2 | https://redd.it/hltayx03:35
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus Australia live update: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases as NSW border to close: NSW and Vic border closure announced as Covid-19 cases continue to rise and Melbourne’s ‘hard’ lockdown of public housing towers continues. Follow the latest news → https://is.gd/j7h21z03:46
BrainstormUpdates for Buenos Aires, Argentina: +18045 cases (now 38410), +232 deaths (now 684) since 3 days ago — Karnataka, India: +1925 cases (now 23474), +37 deaths (now 372) since 20 hours ago — Telangana, India: +1590 cases (now 23902), +7 deaths (now 295) since 20 hours ago — Uttar Pradesh, India: +1153 cases (now 27707), +12 deaths (now 785) since 20 hours ago03:54
BrainstormUpdates for Bolivia: +1226 cases (now 39297), +56 deaths (now 1434) since a day ago — World: +1227 cases (now 11.6 million), +56 deaths (now 537149) since 39 minutes ago — South Korea: +23 cases (now 13114), +1 deaths (now 284) since 21 hours ago — Fiji: +1 cases (now 19) since 3 days ago04:09
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Delhi: With 2,244 fresh virus cases, Delhi’s tally touches 99,444 → https://is.gd/GFcOpK04:24
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus Australia live update: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases as NSW border to close: NSW and Vic border closure announced as Covid-19 cases continue to rise and Melbourne’s ‘hard’ lockdown of public housing towers continues. Follow the latest news → https://is.gd/j7h21z04:44
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): Covid2019: Netanyahu sounds alarm over Israel’s new Covid-19 spike, warning ‘we’re in a state of emergency’ → https://is.gd/J6HeO005:03
LjLyikes http://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Israel05:07
LjLthe first part of that graph until it flattens off loops too much like my country's or many other countries'05:08
LjLand the second too much like these countries' likely future05:08
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus Australia live update: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases as NSW border to close: NSW and Vic border closure announced as Covid-19 cases continue to rise and Melbourne’s ‘hard’ lockdown of public housing towers continues. Follow the latest news → https://is.gd/j7h21z05:13
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Collector inspects containment zones in Coimbatore city: District Collector K. Rajamani on Sunday inspected the measures put in place in a few of the COVID-19 containment zones in the city, said a release fr → https://is.gd/Sb7S1K05:23
BrainstormUpdates for Bavaria, Germany: +79 cases (now 48744) since an hour ago — Jujuy, Argentina: +46 cases (now 233), +1 deaths (now 6) since an hour ago — World: +334 cases (now 11.6 million) since an hour ago — Belgium: +107 cases (now 62016) since 4 hours ago05:24
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus Australia live update: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases as NSW border to close: NSW and Vic border closure announced as Covid-19 cases continue to rise and Melbourne’s ‘hard’ lockdown of public housing towers continues. Follow the latest news → https://is.gd/j7h21z05:32
BrainstormUpdates for Honduras: +1022 cases (now 23943), +10 deaths (now 639) since 22 hours ago — World: +1022 cases (now 11.6 million), +10 deaths (now 537159) since 40 minutes ago05:39
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: Jayraj Bachu, founder of South African Hindu political party succumbs to Covid-19 → https://is.gd/UPJ5bc05:52
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: record new cases in India as Australian state of Victoria closes border → https://is.gd/WiinRL06:02
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: US House Speaker Philip Gunn tests positive for coronavirus → https://is.gd/RRmJIK06:11
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: National: Coronavirus India lockdown Day 104 live updates | Thiruvananthapuram placed under 7-day triple lockdown → https://is.gd/4nzfGP06:21
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia live updates: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases and two deaths as NSW border to close → https://is.gd/j7h21z06:31
BrainstormUpdates for World: +5063 cases (now 11.6 million), +55 deaths (now 537214) since an hour ago — Pakistan: +3344 cases (now 231818), +50 deaths (now 4762) since 23 hours ago — Kazakhstan: +1403 cases (now 48574) since 23 hours ago — Kyrgyzstan: +314 cases (now 7691), +4 deaths (now 92) since 23 hours ago06:39
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: National: Coronavirus India lockdown Day 104 live updates | Thiruvananthapuram placed under 7-day triple lockdown → https://is.gd/4nzfGP07:00
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: record new cases in India as Australian state of Victoria closes border → https://is.gd/WiinRL07:09
BrainstormUpdates for Kosovo: +292 cases (now 3356), +11 deaths (now 66) since 3 days ago — World: +2056 cases (now 11.6 million), +143 deaths (now 537357) since 36 minutes ago — Ukraine: +840 cases (now 49468), +16 deaths (now 1265) since 18 hours ago — Japan: +146 cases (now 19668) since 5 hours ago07:10
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases and two deaths as NSW border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z07:19
BrainstormUpdates for Sindh, Pakistan: +3807 cases (now 94528), +67 deaths (now 1526) since a day ago — Distrito Federal, Brazil: +2094 cases (now 57854), +28 deaths (now 699) since a day ago — Pernambuco, Brazil: +1672 cases (now 65129), +27 deaths (now 5143) since a day ago — Punjab, Pakistan: +1666 cases (now 81963), +40 deaths (now 1884) since a day ago07:20
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: Perspective: Vitamin D deficiency and COVID‐19 severity – plausibly linked by latitude, ethnicity, impacts on cytokines, ACE2, and thrombosis (R1) (83 votes) | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/joim.13149 | https://redd.it/hls9sx07:24
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: National: Coronavirus India lockdown Day 104 live updates | 10,100-bed capacity care centre set up in Bengaluru → https://is.gd/4nzfGP07:38
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally as Australian state of Victoria closes border → https://is.gd/WiinRL07:48
CoronaBot04/r/coronavirus: Nick Cordero, Standout Actor in Broadway Musicals, Dies of COVID-19 Complications at 41 (10018 votes) | https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/nick-cordero-dead-bullets-broadway-waitress-actor-was-41-1301841 | https://redd.it/hly79y08:06
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases and two deaths as NSW border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z08:07
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: Coronavirus Global Updates, 06 July: Australia to close state borders; New York enters Phase 3 of reopening → https://is.gd/YaRyaq08:17
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases and two deaths as NSW border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z08:27
BrainstormUpdates for World: +1098 cases (now 11.6 million), +52 deaths (now 537409) since 2 hours ago — India: +397 cases (now 698233), +3 deaths (now 19703) since 11 hours ago — Armenia: +330 cases (now 28936), +7 deaths (now 491) since 22 hours ago — Afghanistan: +239 cases (now 33190), +34 deaths (now 898) since a day ago09:05
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express (Health): Food & Wine: A COVID survivor’s recipe for an immunity-boosting kadha that helped her → https://is.gd/QP75h109:05
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Victoria records 127 new Covid-19 cases and two deaths as NSW border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z09:25
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Chennai: With lockdown restrictions relaxed, Chennai limps back to normalcy → https://is.gd/9PUn7n09:34
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Morrison backs fines for refusing Covid-19 testing as NSW border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z09:44
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Mumbai: COVID-19: Pune reports highest overnight spike of 300 new cases → https://is.gd/RzYrW809:54
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: theatre performances 'some way off', says Dowden, after £1.5bn pledged for arts → https://is.gd/hBE0hw10:13
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: Egypt arrests doctors, silences critics over virus outbreak → https://is.gd/VwwQ7t10:32
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: UK finance minister Rishi Sunak plans tax cuts to boost Covid recovery → https://is.gd/0skVVA10:42
Jigsy%cases UK10:44
BrainstormJigsy: In United Kingdom, there have been 285416 confirmed cases (0.4% of the population) and 44220 deaths (15.5% of cases) as of 17 hours ago. 10.5 million tests were performed (2.7% positive). See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=United%20Kingdom for time series data.10:44
BrainstormUpdates for World: +7960 cases (now 11.6 million), +143 deaths (now 537552) since an hour ago — Russia: +6611 cases (now 687862), +135 deaths (now 10296) since 23 hours ago — Namibia: +73 cases (now 485) since 19 hours ago — India: +584 cases (now 698817), +4 deaths (now 19707) since an hour ago10:51
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: theatre performances 'some way off', says Dowden, after £1.5bn pledged for arts → https://is.gd/hBE0hw10:52
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express: World: Mona Lisa back at work, visitors limited, as Louvre Museum reopens → https://is.gd/ouASaL11:31
BrainstormUpdates for World: +7613 cases (now 11.6 million), +129 deaths (now 537681) since 47 minutes ago — Bangladesh: +3201 cases (now 165618), +44 deaths (now 2096) since 23 hours ago — Philippines: +2079 cases (now 46333), +6 deaths (now 1303) since 23 hours ago — Malawi: +129 cases (now 1742), +2 deaths (now 19) since a day ago11:36
BrainstormNew from The Indian Express (Health): Destination of the week: Mona Lisa back at work, visitors limited, as Louvre reopens → https://is.gd/PKT2c211:40
BrainstormNew from BMJ: Government unveils roadmap for making UK a “science superpower”: The government has published a plan for strengthening science, research, and innovation to help the economy and society recover from covid-19 and to “build a greener, healthier and more resilient... → https://is.gd/G9qMzt11:50
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: treatment delays could lead to up to 35,000 excess deaths from cancer, research suggests → https://is.gd/hBE0hw12:00
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally as Australian state of Victoria closes border: India overtakes Russia with third-highest number of cases ; Peru cases pass 300,000 ; Iran sees highest daily deaths ; Spain puts part of Galicia back into lockdown → https://is.gd/WiinRL12:09
BrainstormUpdates for World: +612 cases (now 11.6 million), +19 deaths (now 537700) since 50 minutes ago — El Salvador: +250 cases (now 8027) since 3 hours ago — Romania: +250 cases (now 29223), +18 deaths (now 1768) since a day ago — Austria: +85 cases (now 18365) since a day ago12:21
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: (news): Hundreds of scientists reportedly claim WHO is downplaying risk of airborne spread of coronavirus → https://is.gd/RRKHj212:29
BrainstormUpdates for Iran: +2613 cases (now 243051), +160 deaths (now 11731) since 23 hours ago — Oman: +1557 cases (now 47735), +5 deaths (now 218) since a day ago — World: +4217 cases (now 11.6 million), +165 deaths (now 537865) since 20 minutes ago — Switzerland: +47 cases (now 32315) since 22 hours ago12:36
BrainstormNew from BBC Health: What is bubonic plague?: Authorities in China have stepped up precautions after a reports of a suspected -case. → https://is.gd/GCNXDA12:38
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Morrison backs fines for refusing Covid-19 testing as NSW/Victoria border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z12:48
BrainstormUpdates for Central Java, Indonesia: +127 cases (now 4738), +15 deaths (now 215) since 9 hours ago12:51
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally as Australian state of Victoria closes border → https://is.gd/WiinRL12:58
BrainstormUpdates for World: +1550 cases (now 11.6 million), +9 deaths (now 537874) since 32 minutes ago — India: +1322 cases (now 700724), +7 deaths (now 19714) since an hour ago — Vietnam: +14 cases (now 369) since 3 days ago — Nepal: +180 cases (now 15964), +1 deaths (now 35) since a day ago13:06
BrainstormUpdates for Madagascar: +309 cases (now 3250), +1 deaths (now 33) since a day ago — World: +309 cases (now 11.6 million), +1 deaths (now 537875) since 18 minutes ago13:21
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: ASI-protected monuments in State reopen: Locals stage protest in Somanathapura, do not want visitors till COVID-19 pandemic subsides → https://is.gd/AJkGgR13:27
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally; flights between Greece and Britain to fully resume → https://is.gd/WiinRL13:46
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Karnataka: CPCRI scientists visit arecanut plantations to study reasons for nut dropping → https://is.gd/JLvl1I14:05
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally; flights between Greece and Britain to fully resume → https://is.gd/WiinRL14:15
f8122dac91[m]%cases US14:31
Brainstormf8122dac91[m]: In US, there have been 3.0 million confirmed cases (0.9% of the population) and 132571 deaths (4.4% of cases) as of 2 hours ago. 37.6 million tests were performed (7.9% positive). Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.5% (assuming testing prevalence) and less than 9.3% (considering only deaths and recoveries).. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=US for time series data.14:31
f8122dac91[m]%cases south korea14:32
Brainstormf8122dac91[m]: Sorry, south korea not found. Either there aren't cases, or it's under a different name.14:32
f8122dac91[m]%cases14:33
Brainstormf8122dac91[m]: In World, there have been 11.6 million confirmed cases (0.2% of the population) and 537899 deaths (4.6% of cases) as of 14 minutes ago. 263.6 million tests were performed (4.4% positive). Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.2% (assuming testing prevalence) and less than 7.8% (considering only deaths and recoveries).. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=World for time series data.14:33
f8122dac91[m]%cases korea14:33
Brainstormf8122dac91[m]: In Jeju, South Korea, there have been 19 confirmed cases (0.0% of the population) and 0 deaths (0.0% of cases) as of 3 days ago. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Jeju for time series data.14:33
BrainstormUpdates for Puerto Rico, US: +669 cases (now 8585) since a day ago — World: +4524 cases (now 11.7 million), +64 deaths (now 537939) since an hour ago — US: +2335 cases (now 3.0 million), +39 deaths (now 132610) since 2 hours ago — California, US: +1609 cases (now 264832), +36 deaths (now 6373) since 11 hours ago14:36
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: The U.S. needs a unified approach to tackle rising coronavirus cases, infectious disease expert says: Over the Fourth of July holiday weekend, Florida and Texas faced a surge of cases, leaving state and local governments struggling to gain the upper hand in containment efforts. → https://is.gd/JKRYBO14:44
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus Australia updates: Q+A panel discuss Melbourne lockdown as NSW/Victoria border to close – live news → https://is.gd/j7h21z15:03
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: Is there an airborne component to the transmission of COVID-19?: a quantitative analysis study (80 votes) | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.22.20109991v2 | https://redd.it/hlxeue15:04
BrainstormUpdates for Uzbekistan: +141 cases (now 10284), +1 deaths (now 36) since 6 hours ago — World: +219 cases (now 11.7 million), +6 deaths (now 537945) since 33 minutes ago — North Macedonia: +78 cases (now 7124), +5 deaths (now 346) since 22 hours ago15:07
BrainstormNew from Scientific American: The Biggest Psychological Experiment in History Is Running Now: Bernell Grier, who leads a community development corporation in Brooklyn, N.Y., is helping black people affected by the pandemic. → https://is.gd/9kmAnv15:13
BrainstormUpdates for World: +6378 cases (now 11.7 million), +168 deaths (now 538113) since 28 minutes ago — India: +3883 cases (now 704607), +68 deaths (now 19782) since 2 hours ago — Bosnia and Herz.: +248 cases (now 5210), +4 deaths (now 195) since 2 days ago — Iraq: +1796 cases (now 62275), +94 deaths (now 2567) since 22 hours ago15:22
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: (news): Hundreds of scientists reportedly claim WHO is downplaying risk of airborne spread of coronavirus → https://is.gd/RRKHj215:23
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally; flights between Greece and Britain to fully resume → https://is.gd/WiinRL15:32
BrainstormUpdates for World: +254 cases (now 11.7 million), +6 deaths (now 538119) since 20 minutes ago — Portugal: +232 cases (now 44129), +6 deaths (now 1620) since 22 hours ago — Hong Kong: +17 cases (now 1286) since a day ago — Niger: +5 cases (now 1093) since a day ago15:37
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: No 10 says it has given up attempt to provide daily figure for number of people tested for Covid → https://is.gd/hBE0hw15:52
BrainstormUpdates for Bosnia and Herz.: +248 cases (now 5458), +4 deaths (now 199) since 32 minutes ago — Channel Islands: +6 cases (now 577) since 2 days ago — Argentina: +16 deaths (now 1523) since 14 hours ago — Dem. Rep. Congo: +10 cases (now 7432) since an hour ago15:52
Urchin[emacs]%cases croatia15:55
BrainstormUrchin[emacs]: In Croatia, there have been 3220 confirmed cases (0.1% of the population) and 113 deaths (3.5% of cases) as of an hour ago. 85997 tests were performed (3.7% positive). See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Croatia for time series data.15:55
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally; Israel reimposes restrictions after spike in infections → https://is.gd/WiinRL16:01
BrainstormUpdates for Saudi Arabia: +4207 cases (now 213716), +52 deaths (now 1968) since a day ago — World: +5487 cases (now 11.7 million), +75 deaths (now 538210) since 20 minutes ago — India: +554 cases (now 705161), +11 deaths (now 19793) since 50 minutes ago — Azerbaijan: +513 cases (now 20837), +8 deaths (now 258) since 22 hours ago16:07
razorbeamz%cases <Japan>16:08
Brainstormrazorbeamz: In World, there have been 11.7 million confirmed cases (0.2% of the population) and 538210 deaths (4.6% of cases) as of 7 minutes ago. 263.3 million tests were performed (4.4% positive). Fatality can be broadly expected to lie between 0.2% (assuming testing prevalence) and less than 7.8% (considering only deaths and recoveries).. See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=World for time series data.16:08
razorbeamz%cases Japan16:09
Brainstormrazorbeamz: In Japan, there have been 19668 confirmed cases (0.0% of the population) and 977 deaths (5.0% of cases) as of 9 hours ago. 637956 tests were performed (3.1% positive). See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Japan for time series data.16:09
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: (news): More than 70 countries at risk of running out of HIV drugs due to coronavirus pandemic, WHO says → https://is.gd/2mypPV16:11
BrainstormNew from The Hindu: Other States: COVID-19: All data is available on our website, says Mamata govt. → https://is.gd/P10xPu16:21
BrainstormUpdates for East Java, Indonesia: +308 cases (now 14321), +33 deaths (now 1053) since 12 hours ago — US: +293 cases (now 3.0 million), +3 deaths (now 132613) since an hour ago — World: +293 cases (now 11.7 million), +3 deaths (now 538213) since 21 minutes ago — Maryland, US: +272 cases (now 69904), +3 deaths (now 3246) since 22 hours ago16:22
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Spain (ENE-COVID): a nationwide, population-based seroepidemiological study (82 votes) | https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31483-5/fulltext | https://redd.it/hm64lw16:35
BrainstormUpdates for World: +35 cases (now 11.7 million), +5 deaths (now 538218) since 21 minutes ago — US: +33 cases (now 3.0 million), +2 deaths (now 132615) since 21 minutes ago — Mauritius: +1 cases (now 342) since 3 days ago — Moldova: +3 deaths (now 588) since 23 hours ago16:37
LjLnixonix, tinwhiskers, de-facto (no offense to those i don't highlight, just the people who usually bring up studies! :P) the above Spanish study should be a proper nationwide similar to the Italian one which we'll probably see in 2030 or so if i know Italy16:39
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: India cases third-highest globally; Israel reimposes restrictions after spike in infections → https://is.gd/WiinRL16:40
nixonixnice. this is the same that we got some results a few weeks ago already?16:42
nixonixSeroprevalence was 5·0% (95% CI 4·7–5·4) by the point-of-care test and 4·6% (4·3–5·0) by immunoassay, with a specificity–sensitivity range of 3·7% (3·3–4·0; both tests positive) to 6·2% (5·8–6·6; either test positive), with no differences by sex and lower seroprevalence in children younger than 10 years (<3·1% by the point-of-care test). There was substantial geographical variability, with higher prevalence around 16:43
nixonixMadrid (>10%) and lower in coastal areas (<3%)16:43
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: No 10 gives up effort to provide daily figure for people tested; fifth of kits issued are wasted → https://is.gd/hBE0hw16:50
LjLnixonix, i don't remember about results from a few weeks ago16:54
LjLalso interesting/scary https://momo.isciii.es/public/momo/dashboard/momo_dashboard.html16:55
LjLinteresting there's more excess mortality in women than men16:55
LjLbut holy crap, this is Spain-wide, not specific to Madrid or anything16:55
LjL%cases spain16:56
BrainstormLjL: In Spain, there have been 297625 confirmed cases (0.6% of the population) and 28385 deaths (9.5% of cases) as of 2 days ago. 5.4 million tests were performed (5.5% positive). See https://offloop.net/covid19/?default=Spain for time series data.16:56
nixonixok ill have a look on the paper a bit later, but they published ab survey results for spain a few weeks ago, and i used them to estimate IFR for madrid and couple other high prevalence areas16:59
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: Oxygen and mortality in COVID-19 pneumonia: a comparative analysis of supplemental oxygen policies and health outcomes across 26 countries. (82 votes) | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.03.20145763v1 | https://redd.it/hlq7ve16:59
BrainstormNew from https://covid19.specops.network *: ljl-covid: Add important Spain seroprevalence study → https://is.gd/pCsfWy16:59
nixonixinteresting (oxygen policies). too bad ive lost my faith for petty much everything else than randomized controlled trials17:00
nixonixpR*etty17:01
LjLnixonix, well in this study people on reddit were saying the IFR would turn out to be around 1%, or 2% if you look at excess mortality instead of just the recorded deaths17:01
nixonix Results Of the 26 nations included, 15 had employed conservative oxygen strategies to manage COVID-19 pneumonia. Of them, Belgium, France, USA, Canada, China, Germany, Mexico, Spain, Sweden and the UK guidelines advised commencing oxygen when oxygen saturations (SpO2) fell to 91% or less. Target SpO2 ranged from 92% to 95% in the other 16 nations17:02
LjLi had 91% last night lol ;(17:02
nixonixforgot to order oximeter. are they any good? how aboyt if i select a bith more expensive model, or better to order two middle price models for comparison?17:03
nixonixmaybe ill tattoo the target percentage in my wrist, so they dont put me in ventilator too easily17:05
BrainstormUpdates for World: +14144 cases (now 11.7 million), +327 deaths (now 538545) since 36 minutes ago — India: +7759 cases (now 712920), +280 deaths (now 20073) since an hour ago — US: +6382 cases (now 3.0 million), +47 deaths (now 132662) since 36 minutes ago — Florida, US: +6336 cases (now 206447), +46 deaths (now 3778) since 19 hours ago17:07
BrainstormNew from https://covid19.specops.network *: ljl-covid: Add Spain MoMo data together with Italy data that were already in the… → https://is.gd/j9vvbw17:09
LjLnixonix, i don't know, i wanted to buy a second oximeter to determine whether the one i have is at all reliable, but their prices spiked and so i didn't. but now they're sort of back to their normal prices, you can get one for about €1817:11
LjLnixonix, however what i can say is that my oximeter previously had em at 98% or 99% much of the time, although there were sometimes random-looking dips down to 95%. now it's more like i'm around 95% most of the time, sometimes but very rarely it goes up to 98% (97% more likely), and *never* 99%17:11
LjLso it's measuring some change17:12
LjLnixonix, i haven't bought another one yet even though the prices have gone down because there was one, for a €23-ish price, that had an 8-hour memory and showed max, min, average and simple graphs on its own display, which i kinda wanted... the one i have was a bit more expensive, €30-ish, because it has USB and can send 24h worth of data to the computer17:12
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: Immunity to the coronavirus is 'fragile' and 'short lived,' immunologist warns: Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial College London, said it was not a "safe bet" to rely on immunity to Covid-19 as a strategy for coping with the pandemic. → https://is.gd/JhC7MS17:19
BrainstormUpdates for World: +6539 cases (now 11.7 million), +82 deaths (now 538627) since 22 minutes ago — Maharashtra, India: +5368 cases (now 211987), +204 deaths (now 9026) since 13 hours ago — Tamil Nadu, India: +3827 cases (now 114978), +61 deaths (now 1571) since 13 hours ago — US: +3422 cases (now 3.0 million), +2 deaths (now 132664) since 22 minutes ago17:22
BrainstormUpdates for Andhra Pradesh, India: +1322 cases (now 20019), +7 deaths (now 239) since 13 hours ago — World: +5756 cases (now 11.7 million), +36 deaths (now 538663) since 23 minutes ago — US: +4442 cases (now 3.0 million), +1 deaths (now 132665) since 23 minutes ago — Madhya Pradesh, India: +354 cases (now 15284), +9 deaths (now 617) since 13 hours ago17:37
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: Coronavirus live news: US death toll surpasses 130,000; India's cases third-highest in world → https://is.gd/WiinRL17:38
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: No 10 gives up effort to provide daily figure for people tested; fifth of kits issued are wasted → https://is.gd/hBE0hw17:48
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): Covid2019: As the world struggles to contain the coronavirus pandemic, China is clamping down on the sale of wildlife for human consumption amid concerns about another outbreak of a zoonotic disease. → https://is.gd/Zj6s7L17:57
Jigsy>UK coronavirus live: No 10 gives up effort to provide daily figure for people tested; fifth of kits issued are wasted17:59
JigsyI feel safer already...17:59
nixonixthey have this kind of problem in uk too? https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/05/cdc-and-states-are-misreporting-covid-19-test-data-pennsylvania-georgia-texas/611935/18:00
nixonix%title18:00
Brainstormnixonix: From www.theatlantic.com: The CDC and States Are Misreporting COVID-19 Test Data - The Atlantic18:00
Jigsynixonix: Probably.18:01
Haley[mt][m]!cases France18:07
CovBotIn France there have been a total of 195,535 cases as of 2020-07-06 15:46:00 UTC. Of these 88,582 (45.3%) are still sick or may have recovered without being recorded, 77,060 (39.4%) have definitely recovered and 29,893 (15.3%) have died.18:07
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Trump demands Nascar driver Bubba Wallace apologize over noose incident – live: Trump also seems to complain about Confederate flag ban Supreme court rules against ‘faithless electors’ Frederick Douglass statue torn down Summer Taylor honored for ‘standing up for black lives’ Swing states may be up for grabs as Covid-19 [... want %more?] → https://is.gd/7lxxzt18:07
BrainstormNew from Reddit (test): CoronaVirusInfo: Could the Oxford University/AstraZeneca COVID-19 Vaccine End the Pandemic? (A discussion with sources) → https://is.gd/6M8fvQ18:17
CoronaBot04/r/coronavirus: No, the Americans With Disabilities Act doesn't say shop owners have to let maskless people into their stores (10104 votes) | https://respectfulinsolence.com/2020/07/06/americans-with-disabilities-act-mask-lie/ | https://redd.it/hm13js18:23
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: (news): More than 70 countries at risk of running out of HIV drugs due to coronavirus pandemic, WHO says → https://is.gd/2mypPV18:26
BrainstormNew from The Guardian: Coronavirus outbreak: UK coronavirus live: Johnson criticised after claiming care homes did not follow procedures during Covid crisis → https://is.gd/hBE0hw18:36
BrainstormUpdates for World: +9737 cases (now 11.7 million), +123 deaths (now 538786) since an hour ago — India: +4857 cases (now 718872), +71 deaths (now 20171) since an hour ago — Algeria: +463 cases (now 16404), +7 deaths (now 959) since a day ago — US: +2995 cases (now 3.0 million), +13 deaths (now 132678) since an hour ago18:37
BrainstormNew from Gazzetta Ufficiale italiana: ISTITUTO NAZIONALE PER L'ASSICURAZIONE CONTRO GLI INFORTUNI SUL LAVORO - COMUNICATO: Avviso pubblico ISI Agricoltura 2019-2020 -  Incentivi  alle  impreseper la realizzazione di interventi in materia di salute  e  sicurezzasul lavoro. (20A03481) → https://is.gd/Hxh7ZE18:45
BrainstormUpdates for World: +1961 cases (now 11.7 million), +8 deaths (now 538794) since 18 minutes ago — US: +791 cases (now 3.0 million), +4 deaths (now 132682) since 18 minutes ago — Israel: +587 cases (now 30749), +2 deaths (now 334) since 8 hours ago — India: +529 cases (now 719401), +2 deaths (now 20173) since 18 minutes ago18:52
CoronaBot04/r/covid19: COVID-19 Relies on Cell’s ‘Master Regulators’ for Survival (84 votes) | https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/06/417936/covid-19-relies-cells-master-regulators-survival | https://redd.it/hm761w18:54
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: Immunity to the coronavirus is 'fragile' and 'short-lived,' immunologist warns: Danny Altmann, professor of immunology at Imperial College London, said it was not a "safe bet" to rely on immunity to Covid-19 as a strategy for coping with the pandemic. → https://is.gd/JhC7MS18:55
pynawelp old friend of the family, that bought me my first computer, died of covid in florida19:00
LjL:(19:00
pynaused to love that tandy 500 HX despite the fact is only has 512k and all the cool games needed 640k19:01
nixonixIn conclusion, specific IgG Ab to SARS-CoV eventually vanish in most SARS patients. Peripheral memory B cell responses are undetectable in all the patients. However, quite a portion of the patients maintain T cell memory even 6 y postinfection. Whether the T cell anamnestic response is adequate to protect a person from reinfection requires further investigation19:14
nixonixthat was from that sars-1 paper 2011 ^19:14
BrainstormNew from CNBC Health: NY Gov. Cuomo says President Donald Trump is 'enabling' the coronavirus pandemic: "Do one simple thing: Acknowledge to the American people that Covid exists. It is a major problem," Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Monday. → https://is.gd/Xo8KlF19:15
nixonixits a bit confusing with those different t-cells and their functioning, especially when the knowledge of them has increased and older papers might not have all that information yet. theres different helper t-cells (that express cd4 protein, so they are CD4+ cells), some of them memory t-cells, and there are different types of memory t-cells also (if this went wrong, somebody correct me)19:20
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nixonixdamn those were supposed to be continuation to another chan...19:23
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tinwhiskersLjL: good lancet paper on Spain. Nice to see someone finally selecting a random sample.22:05
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LjLtinwhiskers, ours will be much better though. and it may be published just in time for SARS-COV-322:20
ryoumadidn't germany do one or are you talking pcr22:20
LjLno i'm talking antibodies. i'm not aware of germany doing a countrywide random sampling22:20
ryoumai thought they did a big one at least22:22
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LjLsecond time i see and realize that it's the WHO that claims 1m is the "safe distance", not just Italy's government22:25
LjLbut whenever i mention Italy's 1m rule to people whose countries have a 2m rule they say that's crazy22:25
LjLreading https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/06/coronavirus-scientists-claim-who-downplaying-risk-of-airborne-spread.html right now, but i read it yesterday on wikipedia as well22:25
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nixonix2m is crazy. we dont come closer than that even when shaking hands (pre-epidemic), that would be rude. my mother tested how many meters droplets can fly when coughed, i think she said something like 3 meters or so22:34
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LjLnixonix, lol, i don't think my arm is a meter long22:40
ryoumafinns stick their arms outside davinci's circle22:41
ryoumathe sudden apparent (probably not signiifcant as on rhs) drop in testing shows up clearly on this graph with smoothing on but not with smoothing off http://www.offloop.net/covid19/?default=New%20York;Arizona;Italy;Hubei;Sweden&byPopulation=yes&cumulative=no&smooth=yes&miscType=Rate&miscPeriod=7&miscSource=Deaths22:45
ryoumaum not now22:46
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nixonixLjL: what do you mean? turn your shoulders, reach and have support from wall or door handle22:49
LjLnixonix, not sure what *you* mean now but i get 70cm from the back of my shoulder to my hand at most, with some stretching22:51
LjLmaybe finns are so big they need to have a commensurately big personal space22:51
LjLin which case sadly i couldn't *not* be rude in finland if i were forced in the unfortunate situation of having to shake someone's hand22:52
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nixonixwell you can pretend you didnt see the offered hand, and just walk past. its more common than handshakes anyway22:54
ubLIX[m]ghosting people trying to shake your hand is more common than actual handshaking?22:56
ubLIX[m]lmao22:57
LjLubLIX[m], only if you have less than 1m arms though23:18
ubLIX[m]i took it that this was a norm, pre-pandemic, though (which i find believable, after reading about Finland, but still hysterically funny)23:22
ryoumawhat did you read?23:23
ryoumawalk past?  you shake hands while walking past?23:23
ryoumasomething sounds fishy here23:23
LjLwhatever you read about finland i hope you kept the book at least 1m away from your face23:24
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ubLIX[m]The Almost Nearly Perfect People - Behind the myth of the Scandinavian Utopia by Michael Booth23:24
ubLIX[m]contra the subtitle, the book is an Ode to Scandinavia23:25
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ryoumaexcept finland is not in scandinavia (then again what do i know)23:27
ubLIX[m]well, at least one Author disagrees with you23:28
ryoumanow i am getting confused.  but if you thinkt hat is going to confuse me more than the venn diagram of jurisdicitonal units in the general uk area, you're mistaken!23:34
nixonixdo you include northern ireland in that area?23:36
ryoumavaguely uncertain if it is part of gb so sure23:37
ryoumabut you get to some islands like isle of man and distant pacific thingies and australia :) and it gets more confusing23:37
nixonixdidnt you say uk?23:38
ryoumauk semantic area23:38
nixonixdid that include ni?23:38
ryoumawhat other term does one uyse to describe the enti9re venn diagram?23:38
ryoumayes23:38
nixonixand channel islands?23:38
ryoumayes23:38
nixonixile of man?23:39
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ryoumaof course keep going same answer23:39
ryoumabut i am still searching for the isle of woman23:39
nixonixbut they are not part of uk. im confused23:39
ryoumaok, nixonix, imagine being me for a second, and trying to choose a word23:39
ryoumanow, what word would i use to describe the problem ITSELF of choosing the word?23:40
ryoumathe general uk semantic area includes pacific islands, etc.  there are all sorts of terms for whether the queen has anything todo with it, whether it has independence, whether it is ont he same island, who controls this aspect of government, whether the nhs is there, etc.  subjects/citizens undertstand all this stuff.  but you draw the venn diagram and it would take some studying for some outsiders like myself to gr23:42
ryoumaasp exactlyw hat is what and what should be named what and what would occur in a war or in brexit or who gets what kind of independence and so on.23:42
ryoumalike, uk doesn't include wales.  ok that is one factoid.  i thiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiink.  but the prince of wales controls... what again?23:43
nixonixyou meant union?23:43
ryoumano clue.  i suspect there is no word but a brit will correct me.  or a man-resident.  or something.23:43
nixonixwhat, wales is a country23:43
ryoumaok see there you go!23:43
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ryoumanixonix: https://qntm.org/uk23:45
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ryoumathe word for the ENTIRE PROBLEM is yet to be identified23:45
ryoumaso i just said uk area meaning semantic area, but i am confused enough with just nearby stuff so that's ok if you want to limit it geographically23:46
nixonixso ireland is part of british islands, that is an union of those in the pic23:46
ryoumaand anyway who says finns are scandinavian?23:46
nixonixdepends who you ask. theres no official definition23:46
nixonixgeographical, language?23:46
ryoumawell there's um northern germanic or something vs. altaic?  finno-ugric?  and then there are all those norse epics and stuff which are ... non-finnish?  sure it gets confusing but still i think the uk semantic area has you beaten.  probably.23:47
ryouma(in ability to confuse me)23:48
nixonixstupid pic, theres no channel island or isle of man23:48
nixonixislands*23:48
ryoumaand when we get outside that little area we have gibraltar and all sorts of weird things23:49
ryoumanuclear test sites whatever23:49
nixonixfinno-ugric - the ugric part is mostly artificial in that, because there arent many languages in those groups (especially if you exclude those that are in fact dialects, just called languages for whatever reason). relationship with eg finnish and hungary is very distinct23:50
ryoumahmm23:51
nixonixits described to be about as close as swedish and greek. palasso isnt here, he might know if its similar..23:51
ryoumais hungary related to slavic at all?23:51
nixonixno23:51
nixonixthis visualizes it: https://imgur.com/gallery/5jsWIPD23:53
nixonixhungarian*23:53
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nixonixit seems genetically hungarians are close to CZ, a bit towards slovenians23:59

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